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水磨鎮(zhèn)泥石流主溝影響因子權(quán)重分析與危險(xiǎn)性評(píng)價(jià)

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-13 01:18

  本文選題:泥石流 + 影響因子; 參考:《中國(guó)地質(zhì)大學(xué)(北京)》2017年碩士論文


【摘要】:本論文通過查閱以前研究學(xué)者的資料以及現(xiàn)場(chǎng)勘查,確定該研究區(qū)的區(qū)域地質(zhì)環(huán)境條件和研究區(qū)主溝泥石流的基本特征,根據(jù)研究區(qū)主溝泥石流的基本特征計(jì)算了該研究區(qū)主溝以及山王廟溝和連三坡溝兩條支溝的泥石流基本特征值,主要包括:泥石流流體重度、泥石流峰值流量、泥石流一次最大沖出量等,其次,作者基于層次-主成分分析法計(jì)算研究區(qū)主溝泥石流評(píng)價(jià)因子的權(quán)重值和綜合權(quán)重值,首先確定該研究區(qū)主溝泥石流的影響因子,構(gòu)建層次結(jié)構(gòu)模型,然后再構(gòu)建判斷矩陣,并運(yùn)用MATLAB計(jì)算判斷矩陣的最大特征值及其對(duì)應(yīng)的特征向量,最后計(jì)算出各個(gè)影響因子的權(quán)重值以及綜合權(quán)重值。得出了該研究區(qū)泥石流主要影響因子的權(quán)重值按從大到下的順序依次為:相對(duì)高差降雨山坡坡高主要河流地表徑流地貌類型地震烈度不合理的削坡工程地質(zhì)巖性建筑擠占河道距斷裂帶距離坡地農(nóng)業(yè)耕種。這將為該研究區(qū)泥石流的預(yù)防和治理提供了很重要的思路和方向。另外,根據(jù)研究區(qū)主溝泥石流的基本特征,泥石流類型,爆發(fā)的頻率等應(yīng)用評(píng)估模型對(duì)研究區(qū)主溝泥石流進(jìn)行危險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià),得出該研究區(qū)屬于泥石流易發(fā)區(qū),研究區(qū)的受災(zāi)體是比較危險(xiǎn)的,泥石流造成地質(zhì)災(zāi)害損失的概率非常大,而且治理非常緊迫。最后還應(yīng)用FLAC3D模型在暴雨條件下對(duì)研究區(qū)主溝泥石流進(jìn)行數(shù)值模擬分析,得到最危險(xiǎn)的地方為坡腳位置,最大位移約為5.6×102m,存在很大的危險(xiǎn),有極大的滑移的可能性;泼嬉步茷閳A弧形,倘若在研究區(qū)域內(nèi)真有暴雨,這里有很大可能會(huì)爆發(fā)泥石流。因此,我們對(duì)于該研究區(qū)主溝泥石流的產(chǎn)生要引起高度的重視,必須盡快治理,以保護(hù)當(dāng)?shù)鼐用竦纳踩?避免財(cái)產(chǎn)上的損失。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the regional geological environment conditions and the basic characteristics of the main gully debris flow in the study area are determined by referring to the previous research scholars' data and site survey. According to the basic characteristics of debris flow in the main gully of the study area, the basic characteristic values of the debris flow in the main ditch in the study area and the two branch ditches in Shanwangmiaogou and Lianshanpo gully are calculated, which mainly include: the debris flow is heavy, and the peak flow of debris flow. Secondly, based on the hierarchical principal component analysis method, the author calculates the weight value and the comprehensive weight value of the evaluation factors of the main gully debris flow in the study area, and determines the influence factors of the main gully debris flow in the study area. The hierarchical structure model is constructed, then the judgment matrix is constructed, and the maximum eigenvalue of the judgment matrix and its corresponding eigenvector are calculated by using MATLAB. Finally, the weight values of each influence factor and the comprehensive weight value are calculated. It is concluded that the weight value of the main influencing factors of debris flow in this study area is in order from large to low: relative height difference rainfall slope height main river surface runoff geomorphology type of seismic intensity unreasonable clipping engineering geological lithology The construction occupies the river channel distance from the fault zone to the sloping land agricultural cultivation. This will provide a very important idea and direction for the prevention and control of debris flow in this research area. In addition, according to the basic characteristics of main gully debris flow in the study area, debris flow types, frequency of debris flow and so on, the risk assessment of the main ditch debris flow in the study area is carried out, and it is concluded that the study area belongs to the debris flow prone area. The disaster body in the study area is dangerous, the probability of geological disaster loss caused by debris flow is very large, and the control is very urgent. Finally, the FLAC3D model is used to simulate the debris flow of the main gully in the study area. The most dangerous place is the position of the slope foot, the maximum displacement is about 5.6 脳 10 ~ 2 m, there is a great danger and the possibility of slip is very great. The slip surface is similar to a circular arc, if there is a real rainstorm in the study area, debris flow is likely to erupt here. Therefore, we should attach great importance to the occurrence of debris flow in the main ditch in the study area, and we must treat it as soon as possible in order to protect the life safety of local residents and avoid the loss of property.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:中國(guó)地質(zhì)大學(xué)(北京)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:P642.23

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