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國際電力工程項(xiàng)目總承包的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-31 19:18

  本文選題:風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理 切入點(diǎn):國際電力總承包項(xiàng)目 出處:《東南大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文


【摘要】:近些年,隨著國外尤其是非洲地區(qū)社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)發(fā)展,對(duì)于電力的需求不斷增加。由于其國內(nèi)技術(shù)水平及資金等的限制,需要通過國外投資者的引入,才能夠滿足其國內(nèi)電力的需求。在這樣的背景下,國外企業(yè)進(jìn)入到了這些國家的電力市場(chǎng)中。而由于工程所在國的環(huán)境與我國有較大的差異,因此國際電力工程承包歷來被認(rèn)為風(fēng)險(xiǎn)較高。因此,開展國際電力工程承包,對(duì)于項(xiàng)目投資人而言,必須要實(shí)現(xiàn)開展系統(tǒng)的項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析,通過項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的識(shí)別、評(píng)價(jià),明確項(xiàng)目實(shí)施過程中所存在的各類風(fēng)險(xiǎn)及影響值情況,進(jìn)而提出相應(yīng)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)策略,進(jìn)而保證投資人投資目標(biāo)的順利實(shí)現(xiàn)。本文主要是結(jié)合坦桑尼亞Kinyerezi Ⅳ燃機(jī)電廠工程項(xiàng)目的具體案例,從項(xiàng)目業(yè)主方的視角出發(fā),對(duì)項(xiàng)目業(yè)主方的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理問題進(jìn)行系統(tǒng)探討。在遵循風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別-風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)-風(fēng)險(xiǎn)對(duì)策的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理基本流程的基礎(chǔ)上,提出了該項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的體系,為該項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理工作的開展提供了較好支撐。本文共分為六個(gè)章節(jié):第一章為緒論部分,針對(duì)本文研究的背景、研究的意義、國內(nèi)外有關(guān)國際工程項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的研究現(xiàn)狀、本文研究?jī)?nèi)容及技術(shù)路線、研究方法等進(jìn)行了分析;第二章為國際電力總承包項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理基礎(chǔ)理論及項(xiàng)目概況部分,對(duì)國際電力總承包項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理有關(guān)概念進(jìn)行了界定,對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理相關(guān)理論進(jìn)行了介紹,并對(duì)坦桑尼亞Kinyerezi Ⅳ燃機(jī)電廠總承包項(xiàng)目的基本情況進(jìn)行了介紹;第三章為坦桑尼亞Kinyerezi Ⅳ燃機(jī)電廠總承包項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別部分,從項(xiàng)目業(yè)主方的視角出發(fā),對(duì)該項(xiàng)目實(shí)施過程中所存在的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行了識(shí)別,并構(gòu)建了項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)清單;第四章為坦桑尼亞Kinyerezi Ⅳ燃機(jī)電廠總承包項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)部分,針對(duì)識(shí)別出來的各類風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素的影響值情況進(jìn)行了評(píng)價(jià),為風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)策略的制定提供了支撐;第五章為坦桑尼亞Kinyerezi Ⅳ燃機(jī)電廠總承包項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)部分,根據(jù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)的結(jié)果,針對(duì)所需要采取應(yīng)對(duì)措施的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素,分別制定風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)策略,確保項(xiàng)目的順利實(shí)施;第六章為結(jié)論部分,對(duì)全文研究成果進(jìn)行了總結(jié)。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the sustained development of social economy abroad, especially in Africa, the demand for electricity has been increasing. Due to the limitations of its domestic technical level and capital, it needs to be introduced through foreign investors. In this context, foreign enterprises have entered the electricity market of these countries. However, the environment of the countries where the project is located is quite different from that of China. Therefore, for the project investors, it is necessary to carry out systematic project risk analysis, identify and evaluate the project risk. Make clear all kinds of risk and influence value in the process of project implementation, and then put forward the corresponding risk response strategy, This paper is mainly based on the specific case of Tanzania Kinyerezi IV gas turbine power plant project, from the perspective of the project owner. On the basis of following the basic process of risk management of risk identification, risk evaluation and risk countermeasure, this paper puts forward the risk management system of the project. This paper is divided into six chapters: the first chapter is the introduction, aiming at the background of this paper, the significance of the study, the current situation of international project risk management research at home and abroad. The second chapter is the basic theory of risk management of international electric power general contract project and the general situation of the project, and defines the related concepts of risk management of international power general contract project. The related theory of risk management is introduced, and the basic situation of the general contracting project of Tanzania Kinyerezi IV gas turbine power plant is introduced. Chapter 3 is the risk identification part of Tanzania Kinyerezi IV general contract project. From the view of the owner of the project, this paper identifies the risks existing in the implementation of the project, and constructs the risk list of the project. Chapter four is the risk evaluation part of the general contract project of Tanzania Kinyerezi IV gas turbine power plant. The impact value of all kinds of risk factors identified is evaluated, which provides support for the formulation of risk coping strategy. Chapter 5 is the risk response part of Tanzania Kinyerezi IV general contract project, according to the results of risk evaluation. Aiming at the risk factors that need to be taken, the author formulates the risk coping strategies separately to ensure the smooth implementation of the project. The sixth chapter is the conclusion part, which summarizes the research results of the full text.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:東南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號(hào)】:F416.61

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