本文選題：流域　切入點(diǎn)：梯級(jí)　出處：《中南大學(xué)》2014年博士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：摘要：流域梯級(jí)水電工程項(xiàng)目在流域發(fā)電、防洪、灌溉、供水、航運(yùn)、旅游、養(yǎng)殖等方面產(chǎn)生重要的社會(huì)效益和綜合效益。流域梯級(jí)水電開(kāi)發(fā)過(guò)程投入資金多、建設(shè)規(guī)模大、時(shí)間跨度長(zhǎng)、影響范圍廣,對(duì)整個(gè)項(xiàng)目周期的決策工作有嚴(yán)格的要求。因此,充分積累流域項(xiàng)目開(kāi)發(fā)經(jīng)驗(yàn),不斷提高項(xiàng)目開(kāi)發(fā)的決策水平和管理能力,是新時(shí)期我國(guó)實(shí)現(xiàn)流域社會(huì)、經(jīng)濟(jì)、生態(tài)環(huán)境可持續(xù)發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵因素。項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)旨在總結(jié)工程開(kāi)發(fā)過(guò)程的經(jīng)驗(yàn)教訓(xùn),是提高項(xiàng)目科學(xué)決策能力、增加工程開(kāi)發(fā)經(jīng)驗(yàn)的重要途徑。但是,當(dāng)前缺乏從流域開(kāi)發(fā)的角度對(duì)水電工程群的建設(shè)工作進(jìn)行后評(píng)價(jià)理論和方法研究。針對(duì)該問(wèn)題,論文在對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)研究進(jìn)行綜述的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合流域水電開(kāi)發(fā)的現(xiàn)實(shí)特征,梳理了流域水電工程后評(píng)價(jià)的基本理論和作用機(jī)制,然后由點(diǎn)及線(xiàn),首先從水電項(xiàng)目的建設(shè)過(guò)程、發(fā)展目標(biāo)、社會(huì)和生態(tài)環(huán)境影響四個(gè)方面,研究了流域水電開(kāi)發(fā)的基本組成單元——單項(xiàng)水電工程后評(píng)價(jià)的指標(biāo)體系和評(píng)價(jià)方法；其次,從梯級(jí)電站整體的效益視角,闡述了流域水電開(kāi)發(fā)的經(jīng)濟(jì)和開(kāi)發(fā)時(shí)序后評(píng)價(jià)的理論框架和評(píng)價(jià)模型；最后,結(jié)合以上的研究成果,以沅水流域水電開(kāi)發(fā)項(xiàng)目為對(duì)象進(jìn)行后評(píng)價(jià)實(shí)證分析,驗(yàn)證相關(guān)理論的科學(xué)性和方法的有效性。論文研究工作如下。 (1)梳理流域水電開(kāi)發(fā)后評(píng)價(jià)的理論體系和作用機(jī)制。提出系統(tǒng)控制論和可持續(xù)發(fā)展的項(xiàng)目評(píng)價(jià)理論是流域水電工程后評(píng)價(jià)的兩個(gè)基本理論,前者把整個(gè)項(xiàng)目管理視為一個(gè)系統(tǒng),項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)是項(xiàng)目管理系統(tǒng)中重要的控制系統(tǒng)。后者要求項(xiàng)目建設(shè)要有利于可持續(xù)發(fā)展的目標(biāo),充分考慮經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、生態(tài)環(huán)境的影響,達(dá)到?jīng)Q策目標(biāo)的最大綜合效益；構(gòu)建水電項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)機(jī)制設(shè)計(jì)的基本原則,分析了項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)的監(jiān)督控制作用,剖析了適合我國(guó)流域梯級(jí)水電工程項(xiàng)目的后評(píng)價(jià)三級(jí)管理機(jī)構(gòu)體系管理和運(yùn)行機(jī)制,設(shè)計(jì)了適合流域梯級(jí)水電工程項(xiàng)目的反饋流程圖,其目的是通過(guò)理論分析,使后評(píng)價(jià)的成果能順利地反饋到?jīng)Q策、設(shè)計(jì)、建設(shè)和運(yùn)營(yíng)單位,為項(xiàng)目的決策及建設(shè)起到控制作用和借鑒意義。 (2)流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目單項(xiàng)后評(píng)價(jià)理論和方法。從流域單項(xiàng)水電工程的建設(shè)過(guò)程、整體目標(biāo)以及對(duì)社會(huì)、自然環(huán)境的影響四個(gè)維度進(jìn)行后評(píng)價(jià)研究,對(duì)于具有動(dòng)態(tài)控制作用的建設(shè)過(guò)程后評(píng)價(jià),結(jié)合實(shí)際工程建設(shè)過(guò)程后評(píng)價(jià)控制作用,探討了單項(xiàng)水電工程具有動(dòng)態(tài)控制作用后評(píng)價(jià)的內(nèi)容和評(píng)價(jià)方法,并建立了后評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系；對(duì)于目標(biāo)可持續(xù)后評(píng)價(jià),梳理了流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目可持續(xù)性的研究范圍、內(nèi)涵、定義以及特征,提出了流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目目標(biāo)可持續(xù)后評(píng)價(jià)的概念以及基本內(nèi)容,從而構(gòu)建指標(biāo)評(píng)價(jià)體系；對(duì)于和諧發(fā)展觀的社會(huì)影響評(píng)價(jià),分析了其基本內(nèi)容,并構(gòu)建了指標(biāo)體系,另外詳細(xì)分析了項(xiàng)目與社會(huì)的適應(yīng)性以及移民安置后評(píng)價(jià)等內(nèi)容；對(duì)環(huán)境影響后評(píng)價(jià)研究中,構(gòu)建了流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目生態(tài)環(huán)境的后評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,建立了生態(tài)環(huán)境影響后評(píng)價(jià)的物元—層次分析耦合模型。 (3)流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)效益后評(píng)價(jià)理論和方法。從國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)后評(píng)價(jià)和財(cái)務(wù)后評(píng)價(jià)兩個(gè)方面,深入探究了流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目總體經(jīng)濟(jì)效益內(nèi)容、指標(biāo)體系。針對(duì)流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目補(bǔ)償效益的現(xiàn)實(shí),將梯級(jí)補(bǔ)償效益指標(biāo)引入了總體經(jīng)濟(jì)后評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系中,詳細(xì)探討了流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目補(bǔ)償效益機(jī)理以及指標(biāo)計(jì)算方法,并從三種分?jǐn)偡绞饺胧?深入剖析了流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目效益補(bǔ)償分?jǐn)倖?wèn)題,給出三種分?jǐn)偡绞降挠?jì)算方法；研究了基于DEA模型的流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目總體經(jīng)濟(jì)效益后評(píng)價(jià),構(gòu)建了流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目總體經(jīng)濟(jì)效益后評(píng)價(jià)的“靜態(tài)分析—綜合評(píng)價(jià)”的理論框架,建立了評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,提出了流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目總體經(jīng)濟(jì)后評(píng)價(jià)DEA模型。 (4)流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目開(kāi)發(fā)時(shí)序后評(píng)價(jià)理論和方法�；仡櫫耸澜缌饔蜷_(kāi)發(fā)的基本方式,針對(duì)我國(guó)“流域、梯級(jí)、滾動(dòng)、綜合”開(kāi)發(fā)的方針,運(yùn)用結(jié)構(gòu)模型解析(ISM)技術(shù),分析出了流域梯級(jí)水電開(kāi)發(fā)時(shí)序后評(píng)價(jià)的關(guān)鍵因素,探討了小型、大中型流域開(kāi)發(fā)利用的管理模式。闡述了模糊優(yōu)選模型建模的基本理論,提出了基于模糊優(yōu)選模型進(jìn)行流域梯級(jí)水電開(kāi)發(fā)時(shí)序后評(píng)價(jià)的模型。 (5)沅水流域開(kāi)發(fā)項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)實(shí)證分析。簡(jiǎn)述了沅水流域水電開(kāi)發(fā)基本情況；運(yùn)用層次分析法結(jié)合專(zhuān)家打分方式,對(duì)沅水流域梯級(jí)水電工程過(guò)程進(jìn)行后評(píng)價(jià)；在定性分析沅水水電工程的可持續(xù)影響因素基礎(chǔ)上,評(píng)價(jià)了該工程目標(biāo)可持續(xù)性；全面分析了沅水流域梯級(jí)水電開(kāi)發(fā)社會(huì)環(huán)境影響因素；評(píng)價(jià)了該工程在發(fā)電、航運(yùn)以及防洪對(duì)受益區(qū)的影響情況,并分析了該工程移民安置的情況；運(yùn)用物元—層次分析模糊模型進(jìn)行了沅水流域水電工程環(huán)境影響后評(píng)價(jià)；以“靜態(tài)分析—綜合評(píng)價(jià)”的兩階段評(píng)價(jià)的方式,運(yùn)用DEA模型評(píng)價(jià)了梯級(jí)水電開(kāi)發(fā)的總體經(jīng)濟(jì)效益；運(yùn)用模糊優(yōu)選模型,計(jì)算出該工程理想開(kāi)發(fā)時(shí)序,結(jié)合工程實(shí)際開(kāi)發(fā)情況,進(jìn)行沅水流域梯級(jí)水電開(kāi)發(fā)時(shí)序后評(píng)價(jià)。全面總結(jié)沅水流域梯級(jí)水電工程開(kāi)發(fā)的主要結(jié)論,提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議。 論文通過(guò)對(duì)流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)研究,探索了流域水電開(kāi)發(fā)后評(píng)價(jià)的理論體系和作用機(jī)制,剖析了水電項(xiàng)目單項(xiàng)后評(píng)價(jià)的指標(biāo)指標(biāo)和評(píng)價(jià)方法,建立了流域梯級(jí)水電開(kāi)發(fā)經(jīng)濟(jì)影響和開(kāi)發(fā)時(shí)序后評(píng)價(jià)的基本理論和評(píng)價(jià)模型,實(shí)證評(píng)價(jià)了沅水流域開(kāi)發(fā)項(xiàng)目。論文的研究工作對(duì)流域梯級(jí)水電項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)相關(guān)理論和應(yīng)用研究起到了積極的推動(dòng)作用。
[Abstract]:Abstract: cascade hydropower projects in the river basin flood control, power generation, irrigation, water supply, shipping, tourism, have important social benefits and comprehensive benefits of breeding. The hydropower development process of capital investment, large construction scale, long time span, wide range of influence, for the entire project cycle decision work strictly the requirements. Therefore, the accumulation of full basin project development experience, and constantly improve the project decision-making level and management ability, is the new period of China's social economy, realize the watershed, key factors of sustainable development of the ecological environment. To sum up experiences and lessons of the development process of engineering project post evaluation, is to improve the decision-making ability of science project, an important way to increase project development experience. However, the current lack of research on the theory and method of evaluation of Hydropower Engineering Group construction work from the watershed development perspective to solve this problem, The paper on the related research at home and abroad, combined with the practical characteristics of hydropower development, combing the basic theory and mechanism of basin hydropower project post evaluation, and then from the point and the line, first from the construction process of hydropower projects, development goals, social and environmental effects in four aspects of indicators system and evaluation method of single hydropower project post evaluation: basic unit of hydropower development; secondly, from the perspective of the overall benefit of the cascade hydropower stations, the theoretical framework and evaluation and expounds the economic development timing valley hydropower development evaluation model; finally, combining with the above research results, analysis in Yuanshui River Basin Hydropower Development project as the object of empirical evaluation, validation of scientific theory and method. The research work is as follows.
(1) the theory of the system and mechanism of combing river basin hydropower development evaluation. Put forward the theory of sustainable development system and control evaluation theory are two basic theory of basin hydropower project post evaluation, the whole project management as a system, project post evaluation is an important control system of project management system. The latter requires the project construction should be conducive to the goal of sustainable development, to fully consider the economic, social, ecological and environmental impact, the maximum comprehensive benefit to the decision goal; basic principles of evaluation mechanism design construction of hydropower project, analysis the function of supervision and control of project post evaluation, analyzes the evaluation of three level management institutions management system and operation mechanism suitable for China's hydropower project, designed for the feedback flow chart of cascade hydropower project, its purpose is through theoretical analysis, the The results of the evaluation can be successfully fed back to the decision-making, design, construction and operation units, which can play a control role and use for reference for the decision and construction of the project.
(2) the theory and method of monomial evaluation after the cascade hydropower project in the basin. From the construction process of single basin hydropower project, the overall objectives and the society, of the four dimensions of the post evaluation of the influence of natural environment, evaluation for construction process with dynamic control effect after the combination of the actual construction process post evaluation on control effect the content and evaluation methods of single hydropower project with dynamic control effect evaluation, and the establishment of the post evaluation index system for evaluation; the goal of sustainable, combing the research scope, the sustainability of cascade hydropower project connotation, definition and characteristics, put forward the concept of cascade hydropower project target basin sustainable post evaluation and basic content. In order to construct the evaluation index system; evaluation for the harmonious development of the society of view, analyzes its basic contents, and constructs the index system, in addition A detailed analysis of the project and the social adaptability and post resettlement evaluation and so on; the environmental impact assessment study, the evaluation index system of ecological environment construction of cascade hydropower project in the basin, the establishment of the ecological environment impact assessment of matter element analytic model.
(3) the theory and method of economic benefit of basin cascade hydropower project post evaluation. The two aspects of the evaluation from the national economy and finance, the in-depth study of the overall economic benefit of hydropower project in the basin, the index system. According to the compensation benefits of cascade hydropower project reality, will introduce the overall index of cascade compensation benefits of economic evaluation in the index system, discusses the calculation method of compensation benefits of cascade hydropower project and the index mechanism of river basin, and starting from the three allocation methods, in-depth analysis of the cascade hydropower project benefit compensation allocation problem, three kinds of methods to calculate the allocation; studied the evaluation based on the overall economic benefits of cascade hydropower project in DEA model after and build the overall economic benefits of cascade hydropower project after the watershed assessment framework "static analysis comprehensive evaluation, established evaluation indices The DEA model is proposed for the overall economic post evaluation of cascade hydropower projects in the basin.
(4) the theory and method of basin cascade hydropower project development timing evaluation. A review of the basic mode of development in our country in the world, "river, cascade, rolling, integrated development approach, analytic structural model (ISM) technology, analyzes the key factors of the cascade hydropower development timing evaluation, study the small, the management mode of development and utilization of large and medium sized basin. Expounds the basic theory of fuzzy optimization model, put forward the evaluation based on fuzzy optimization model of cascade hydropower development timing model.
(5) the empirical analysis and evaluation of Yuanshui river basin development project. The basic situation of hydropower development in Yuanshui River Basin; using AHP and expert scoring method of cascade hydropower project in Yuanshui River process post evaluation; qualitative analysis in the shadow of sustainable Yuanshui hydropower project on the basis of the influencing factors, the goal of the project sustainability evaluation; comprehensive analysis of the Yuanshui river basin hydropower development in the social environment factors; evaluation of the project in power generation, shipping and flood control effect on benefit area, and analyzes the project resettlement; AHP fuzzy model of hydropower project environmental impact evaluation of Yuanshui river basin after matter element; the two stage static analysis comprehensive evaluation "evaluation method, we use DEA model to evaluate the overall economic benefits of hydropower development; using the fuzzy optimization model, The ideal development timing of the project is calculated. Combined with the actual development of the project, post evaluation of cascade hydropower development in Yuanshui basin is carried out. The main conclusions of cascade hydropower development in Yuanshui basin are summarized, and corresponding policy recommendations are put forward.
The study on Evaluation of cascade hydropower project, exploring the theoretical system and the mechanism of river basin hydropower development evaluation, analysis of the hydropower project after the evaluation index of individual indicators and evaluation methods, established the basic theory and evaluation of cascade hydropower development and economic development impact timing evaluation model, empirical evaluation of the Yuanshui river river basin development project. The research work related theory and application research has played a positive role in promoting the cascade hydropower project post evaluation.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：中南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：TV51;F426.91;F426.61

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 吳恒安;后評(píng)價(jià)與水利項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)[J];北京水利;1998年01期

2 鄧志國(guó),綦振平;重大建設(shè)項(xiàng)目可持續(xù)性評(píng)價(jià)研究[J];山東工商學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào);2004年05期

3 陳守煜;;系統(tǒng)模糊優(yōu)選理論解水電站最優(yōu)排序[J];大連理工大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào);1989年01期

4 劉勝祥,劉家武,賀占魁,楊少宗,胡秀云,王嵐,袁道凌,薛聯(lián)芳;水利水電建設(shè)工程生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量定量評(píng)價(jià)體系研究[J];環(huán)境科學(xué)與技術(shù);2002年05期

5 黃一夫;可持續(xù)發(fā)展與投資項(xiàng)目評(píng)價(jià)[J];系統(tǒng)工程;1999年03期

6 朱東愷;投資項(xiàng)目社會(huì)評(píng)價(jià)探析[J];中國(guó)工程咨詢(xún);2004年07期

7 張禮安;李華啟;李剛;洪保民;;建設(shè)項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)方法和程序[J];國(guó)際石油經(jīng)濟(jì);2005年11期

8 唐健;黃健元;;模糊優(yōu)選模型及其應(yīng)用[J];大學(xué)數(shù)學(xué);2005年06期

9 張虎成;魏浪;張習(xí)傳;;水利水電建設(shè)項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)研究現(xiàn)狀與發(fā)展趨勢(shì)[J];貴州水力發(fā)電;2007年05期

10 劉鵬;譚洪林;;淺談項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)的實(shí)踐應(yīng)用及其重要意義[J];東方企業(yè)文化;2013年04期

，

本文編號(hào)：1633336