配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險管理研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-05 17:35
本文選題:配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險 切入點:風險識別 出處:《華北電力大學》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文
【摘要】:電力工業(yè)是國民經(jīng)濟的第一基礎產業(yè),是關系國計民生的基礎產業(yè),是國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略中首先發(fā)展的重點。作為國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)展重要的基礎性產業(yè),它的發(fā)展關系到國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)展和人民生活水平的提高。隨著我國經(jīng)濟的不斷發(fā)展,對電的需求量不斷擴大,電力施工項目也大量增加。電力施工項目的典型代表就是配網(wǎng)工程項目施工。配網(wǎng)工程項目施工由于前期投入大、技術要求高、工期長等方面,造成在施工過程中受到各種不確定性因素的干擾。項目主體不可避免地面臨各種大大小小的風險及其造成的損失后果,如果不做好事前預測風險和事中控制風險工作,則很可能會影響施工項目的順利開展,甚至會帶來嚴重后果。為此,有必要對配網(wǎng)工程項目施工過程進行風險管理。 本文首先在闡述配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險概念和理論的基礎上,分析了配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險的特征,對配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險進行了分類,簡單介紹了配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險管理過程。探討了配網(wǎng)工程項目施工的特點和風險來源,研究了配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險識別、風險評估、風險控制,并且建立了配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險管理體系。在風險識別方面主要分析了風險識別的過程和風險識別的方法。在風險評估方面通過分析各類風險評估方法的特點,確定配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險評估采用模糊評判法和專家打分法,依據(jù)相關標準確定了配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險因素的評估標準并探討了配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險的評估過程。而風險控制是根據(jù)風險評估的結果對風險進行控制,配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險控制的策略包括了風險規(guī)避、風險轉移、風險緩解、風險自留和風險利用等。在本文最后以10kV開發(fā)區(qū)雙回線路的施工為例,對整個施工過程進行風險管理,最終的結果論證了本文所建立的配網(wǎng)工程項目施工風險管理體系的科學性和實用性。
[Abstract]:The electric power industry is the first basic industry of the national economy, the basic industry related to the national economy and the people's livelihood, and the first focus of the development strategy of the national economy. As an important basic industry in the development of the national economy, Its development is related to the development of national economy and the improvement of people's living standard. The typical representative of the electric power construction project is the distribution network project construction. Due to the large investment in the early stage, high technical requirements, long construction period and so on, The main body of the project inevitably faces all kinds of risks, large and small, and the consequences of their losses. If we do not do a good job of predicting the risks in advance and controlling the risks in the event, Therefore, it is necessary to carry out risk management in the construction process of distribution network project. On the basis of explaining the concept and theory of construction risk of distribution network project, this paper analyzes the characteristics of construction risk of distribution network project, and classifies the construction risk of distribution network project. This paper briefly introduces the construction risk management process of distribution network project, probes into the characteristics and sources of construction risk of distribution network project, and studies the risk identification, risk assessment and risk control of distribution network project. In the aspect of risk identification, the process of risk identification and the method of risk identification are analyzed. In the aspect of risk assessment, the characteristics of all kinds of risk assessment methods are analyzed. It is determined that fuzzy evaluation method and expert scoring method are used to evaluate the construction risk of distribution network project. According to the relevant standards, the evaluation criteria of construction risk factors of distribution network project are determined and the evaluation process of construction risk of distribution network project is discussed. The risk control is to control the risk according to the result of risk assessment. The construction risk control strategies of distribution network project include risk evasion, risk transfer, risk mitigation, risk retention and risk utilization. The risk management of the whole construction process is carried out, and the final results demonstrate the scientific nature and practicability of the construction risk management system of the distribution network project established in this paper.
【學位授予單位】:華北電力大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:TM73
【參考文獻】
相關期刊論文 前8條
1 姚俊,曾萍;企業(yè)風險管理的發(fā)展與風險管理戰(zhàn)略[J];財經(jīng)科學;2004年S1期
2 朱啟超,匡興華,沈永平;風險矩陣方法與應用述評[J];中國工程科學;2003年01期
3 汪晶;風險評價技術的原理與進展[J];環(huán)境科學;1998年02期
4 查興;施工企業(yè)項目風險管理[J];建筑;2001年08期
5 張桂新;蔣景楠;;項目風險評估方法探討[J];技術經(jīng)濟;2006年03期
6 邵駿;從風險價值到壓力測試——一個全面的風險分析框架[J];科學與管理;2004年01期
7 鐘登華,張建設,曹廣晶;基于AHP的工程項目風險分析方法[J];天津大學學報;2002年02期
8 傅鴻源;工程項目風險評價方法的研究[J];系統(tǒng)工程理論與實踐;1995年10期
,本文編號:1571232
本文鏈接:http://sikaile.net/kejilunwen/dianlilw/1571232.html