天堂国产午夜亚洲专区-少妇人妻综合久久蜜臀-国产成人户外露出视频在线-国产91传媒一区二区三区

當(dāng)前位置:主頁(yè) > 科技論文 > 電力論文 >

考慮氣候?yàn)?zāi)害的架空線路停運(yùn)模型研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-28 10:42

  本文關(guān)鍵詞: 停運(yùn)率 架空線路 可靠性 模糊規(guī)則 模糊推理 臺(tái)風(fēng) 冰災(zāi) 出處:《華北電力大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類(lèi)型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:架空線路作為連接不同地區(qū)電力設(shè)施的必要部分,是電網(wǎng)中最重要的電力元件。隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)和城市化的不斷發(fā)展,電能傳輸需求的不斷增加,電網(wǎng)不斷延伸,系統(tǒng)的安全性和可靠性越來(lái)越得到人們的重視。架空線路跨越范圍廣,不但連接不同地區(qū)變電站、發(fā)電廠和負(fù)荷點(diǎn),還起著傳輸電能的作用。架空線路故障可能造成電網(wǎng)的大面積停電,嚴(yán)重影響生產(chǎn)、生活,甚至造成重大經(jīng)濟(jì)損失。研究架空線路可靠性,提高架空線路安全穩(wěn)定性,有重大的實(shí)際意義。建立合理的架空線路停運(yùn)模型,得到精確的可靠性原始參數(shù),是架空線路可靠性研究的重要工作之一,也為整個(gè)電力系統(tǒng)的可靠性評(píng)估打下基礎(chǔ)。 近年來(lái)氣候異常,氣候?yàn)?zāi)害越來(lái)越頻繁。架空線路又架設(shè)在地面之上,常年暴露在外界環(huán)境中,是電力系統(tǒng)中受臺(tái)風(fēng)、冰凍災(zāi)害影響最大的設(shè)備。極端氣候雖持續(xù)時(shí)間不長(zhǎng),但其造成的影響卻極其惡劣,使停運(yùn)率急劇增加。若不考慮氣候?yàn)?zāi)害對(duì)架空線路停運(yùn)率的影響,會(huì)使評(píng)估結(jié)果遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)偏離實(shí)際,給電力系統(tǒng)規(guī)劃和調(diào)度人員帶來(lái)誤導(dǎo)。建立氣候?yàn)?zāi)害下架空線路的停運(yùn)模型,得到停運(yùn)率,有利于氣候?yàn)?zāi)害條件下的線路風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估。 本文分析了臺(tái)風(fēng)和冰災(zāi)等自然災(zāi)害對(duì)架空線路停運(yùn)的影響,介紹了關(guān)于氣候?yàn)?zāi)害對(duì)電力系統(tǒng)影響的研究現(xiàn)狀,分析了幾種常用研究方法的優(yōu)缺點(diǎn);研究了偏最小二乘建模和模糊建模兩種基于小樣本的元件停運(yùn)率建模方法,分析了兩種方法的優(yōu)缺點(diǎn)及適用范圍。分析了正常氣候下影響線路停運(yùn)的主要因素,并分別建立了基于線路老化和運(yùn)行工況的正常氣候條件下架空線路的停運(yùn)模型。分析了臺(tái)風(fēng)的特點(diǎn)和發(fā)生規(guī)律,研究了架空線路受臺(tái)風(fēng)影響的停運(yùn)因素,建立了以風(fēng)力載荷、地形系數(shù)和現(xiàn)在自身狀況系數(shù)為輸入的模糊推理模型,并通過(guò)實(shí)際算例驗(yàn)證了模型的有效性。分析了冰災(zāi)的特點(diǎn),研究了架空線路受冰災(zāi)影響的停運(yùn)因素,建立了以風(fēng)力載荷、海拔高度和除冰措施為輸入的停運(yùn)模型,并通過(guò)算例分析驗(yàn)證了模型的優(yōu)越性。
[Abstract]:Overhead line is the most important power element in the power network, as a necessary part to connect the power facilities in different areas. With the development of economy and urbanization, the demand for electric power transmission is increasing, and the power grid is extending. More and more attention has been paid to the safety and reliability of the system. Overhead lines span a wide range, not only connected to different regions of the substation, power plants and load points. The fault of overhead line may cause power outage in a large area of the power network, seriously affect production, life and even cause great economic losses. Study on reliability of overhead line. It is of great practical significance to improve the safety and stability of overhead lines. It is one of the important tasks to establish a reasonable outage model of overhead lines and obtain accurate original reliability parameters. It also lays the foundation for the reliability evaluation of the whole power system. In recent years, the climate is abnormal, climate disasters are more and more frequent, overhead lines are set up on the ground, exposed to the external environment all the year round, it is a typhoon in the power system. The equipment with the greatest impact of freezing disaster. Although the extreme climate does not last for a long time, but its impact is extremely bad, resulting in a sharp increase in the outage rate. If we do not consider the impact of climate disasters on the overhead line outage rate. The evaluation results will deviate from the actual situation and mislead the power system planning and dispatching personnel. The outage model of overhead lines under the climate disaster will be established and the outage rate will be obtained. It is beneficial to the route risk assessment under the condition of climate disaster. In this paper, the influence of natural disasters, such as typhoon and ice disaster, on overhead line outage is analyzed, and the research status of climate disaster on power system is introduced, and the advantages and disadvantages of several common research methods are analyzed. Two modeling methods of component outage rate based on small sample, partial least squares modeling and fuzzy modeling, are studied, the advantages and disadvantages of the two methods and their application range are analyzed, and the main factors affecting line outage in normal climate are analyzed. The outage models of overhead lines under normal climatic conditions are established based on the aging and operating conditions of the lines respectively. The characteristics and occurrence rules of typhoons are analyzed and the factors affecting the outage of overhead lines are studied. The fuzzy inference model with wind load, terrain coefficient and present condition coefficient as input is established, and the validity of the model is verified by practical examples. The characteristics of ice disaster are analyzed. The outage factors of overhead lines affected by ice disaster are studied, and the outage model with wind load, altitude and deicing measures as input is established, and the superiority of the model is verified by an example.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:TM752

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 劉有飛;蔡斌;吳素農(nóng);;電網(wǎng)冰災(zāi)事故應(yīng)急處理及反思[J];電力系統(tǒng)自動(dòng)化;2008年08期

2 孫榮富;程林;孫元章;;基于惡劣氣候條件的停運(yùn)率建模及電網(wǎng)充裕度評(píng)估[J];電力系統(tǒng)自動(dòng)化;2009年13期

3 孫元章,程林,劉海濤;基于實(shí)時(shí)運(yùn)行狀態(tài)的電力系統(tǒng)運(yùn)行可靠性評(píng)估[J];電網(wǎng)技術(shù);2005年15期

4 程林;何劍;孫元章;;線路實(shí)時(shí)可靠性模型參數(shù)對(duì)電網(wǎng)運(yùn)行可靠性評(píng)估的影響[J];電網(wǎng)技術(shù);2006年13期

5 彭向陽(yáng);周華敏;潘春平;;2008年廣東電網(wǎng)輸電線路冰災(zāi)受損情況及關(guān)鍵影響因素分析[J];電網(wǎng)技術(shù);2009年09期

6 周中秋;;臺(tái)風(fēng)對(duì)配電網(wǎng)的影響和防御對(duì)策[J];廣東電力;2009年05期

7 蔣興良;杜珍;莫文強(qiáng);李亞軍;張志勁;;重慶地區(qū)電網(wǎng)覆冰的海拔高度特性[J];高電壓技術(shù);2011年06期

8 歐陽(yáng)麗莎;黃新波;李俊峰;王常飛;;1000 kV特高壓輸電線路覆冰區(qū)的研究與劃分[J];高壓電器;2010年05期

9 張勇軍;許亮;吳成文;;計(jì)及多因素的電網(wǎng)冰災(zāi)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估模型研究[J];電力系統(tǒng)保護(hù)與控制;2012年15期

10 宋曉U,

本文編號(hào):1470529


資料下載
論文發(fā)表

本文鏈接:http://sikaile.net/kejilunwen/dianlilw/1470529.html


Copyright(c)文論論文網(wǎng)All Rights Reserved | 網(wǎng)站地圖 |

版權(quán)申明:資料由用戶67c07***提供,本站僅收錄摘要或目錄,作者需要?jiǎng)h除請(qǐng)E-mail郵箱bigeng88@qq.com
国产国产精品精品在线| 99热在线播放免费观看| 精品人妻一区二区四区| 人妻中文一区二区三区 | 精品国产亚洲一区二区三区| 日本人妻中出在线观看| 国产一区二区三区四区免费| 色丁香之五月婷婷开心| 色播五月激情五月婷婷| 插进她的身体里在线观看骚| 久久热在线视频免费观看| 中文字幕一区二区三区中文| 国产精品熟女在线视频| 激情综合网俺也狠狠地| 日本人妻中出在线观看| 日本一级特黄大片国产| 日本人妻精品有码字幕| 国产成人人人97超碰熟女| 日韩精品少妇人妻一区二区| 大香蕉伊人精品在线观看| 日韩一区二区三区18| 国产av天堂一区二区三区粉嫩| 四季精品人妻av一区二区三区| 精品亚洲av一区二区三区| 伊人国产精选免费观看在线视频| 国产原创中文av在线播放 | 狠狠亚洲丁香综合久久| 中国一区二区三区不卡| 国产传媒精品视频一区| 又大又长又粗又黄国产| 91人妻人人做人碰人人九色| 久久永久免费一区二区| 久久福利视频视频一区二区 | 少妇毛片一区二区三区| 亚洲成人精品免费在线观看| 日本高清一道一二三区四五区| 国产一区二区精品高清免费| 国产亚洲精品久久99| 亚洲中文字幕视频在线播放| 欧美成人欧美一级乱黄| 高清亚洲精品中文字幕乱码|