【摘要】：目前我國正處于工業(yè)化加速發(fā)展階段，經(jīng)濟的持續(xù)高速發(fā)展與相對薄弱的安全生產(chǎn)環(huán)境致使安全生產(chǎn)形勢嚴峻。尤其是作為工業(yè)主要支撐的煤礦能源，，出現(xiàn)了濫采濫挖、產(chǎn)能過剩的現(xiàn)象。由于人為或自然原因，煤礦安全事故發(fā)生頻繁。但是我國煤礦安全事故應急救援起步較晚，存在應急裝備不足、應急技術水平較弱、專業(yè)救護隊伍較少以及統(tǒng)一標準化信息平臺缺乏等問題。在相關約束條件下如何科學合理地調(diào)度有限的應急資源是煤礦安全事故應急救援行動迅速有效地開展的關鍵環(huán)節(jié)。不合理不科學的煤礦應急資源調(diào)度會貽誤最佳應急救援時間，造成更多的人員傷亡和更嚴重的危害結果。因此，對于煤礦安全事故應急資源調(diào)度的研究具有十分重要的理論意義和實際意義。 首先，本文在分析了我國煤礦安全事故特點及其危害的基礎上，對煤礦安全事故應急資源的構成及其特點進行了分析，并且構建了基于案例推理方法的煤礦安全事故應急資源需求預測模型，同時將層次分析法和灰色關聯(lián)分析法相結合求出了模型的解。然后，在確定我國煤礦安全事故應急資源需求的種類、數(shù)量和結構的基礎上，對我國煤礦安全事故應急資源調(diào)度的目標、原則和特征進行分析，同時闡述了煤礦安全事故應急資源調(diào)度的影響因素及其基本流程。最后，提出了煤礦安全事故應急資源調(diào)度多目標決策問題，構建了以煤礦安全事故應急資源調(diào)度時間最短、應急出救點數(shù)目最少和應急資源調(diào)度路徑可靠性最高為目標的煤礦安全事故應急資源調(diào)度多目標決策模型，并且運用逼近理想解法求出模型的解，同時引入案例進行了實證分析。
[Abstract]:At present our country is in the industrialization accelerated development stage, the sustained high-speed development of the economy and the relatively weak safe production environment cause the safety production situation to be severe. Especially, as the main support of industry, coal mine energy has been overexploited and overcapacity. Coal mine safety accidents occur frequently because of man-made or natural reasons. However, the emergency rescue of coal mine accidents in our country starts late, there are some problems, such as the shortage of emergency equipment, the weak level of emergency technology, the lack of professional rescue teams and the lack of unified and standardized information platform. How to dispatch the limited emergency resources scientifically and rationally under the relevant constraints is the key link for the rapid and effective development of emergency rescue operations for coal mine safety accidents. Unreasonable and unscientific scheduling of coal mine emergency resources will delay the optimal emergency rescue time, resulting in more casualties and more serious harm. Therefore, the research on emergency resource scheduling of coal mine safety accident has very important theoretical and practical significance. First of all, on the basis of analyzing the characteristics and hazards of coal mine safety accidents in China, this paper analyzes the composition and characteristics of emergency resources of coal mine safety accidents. Finally, a case-based reasoning method is proposed to predict the emergency resource demand of coal mine safety accidents, and the solution of the model is obtained by combining the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the grey relational analysis (Grey Relational Analysis) method. Then, on the basis of determining the type, quantity and structure of emergency resource demand for coal mine safety accident in our country, the target, principle and characteristic of emergency resource dispatching for coal mine safety accident in our country are analyzed. At the same time, the influencing factors and basic flow of emergency resource dispatching of coal mine safety accident are expounded. Finally, the multi-objective decision-making problem of emergency resource scheduling for coal mine safety accidents is put forward, and the shortest scheduling time of emergency resources for coal mine safety accidents is constructed. The multi-objective decision-making model of coal mine safety accident emergency resource scheduling is based on the minimum number of emergency rescue points and the highest reliability of emergency resource scheduling path, and the approximate ideal solution is used to find the solution of the model. At the same time, a case is introduced to carry on the empirical analysis.
【學位授予單位】：江西理工大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：TD771

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