本文關(guān)鍵詞： 跑道入侵 危險(xiǎn)識(shí)別 危險(xiǎn)與可操作性分析 業(yè)務(wù)流程建模與標(biāo)注 事故樹(shù) 本體　出處：《中國(guó)民航大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：跑道入侵危險(xiǎn)分析對(duì)有效預(yù)防跑道入侵的發(fā)生至關(guān)重要。目前,針對(duì)跑道入侵的危險(xiǎn)識(shí)別與分析多以頭腦風(fēng)暴的方式進(jìn)行,自動(dòng)化支持程度較低。為了提高跑道入侵危險(xiǎn)分析的規(guī)范性和自動(dòng)化支持,避免過(guò)分依賴(lài)自然語(yǔ)言進(jìn)行描述,提出基于危險(xiǎn)與可操作性分析和本體技術(shù)的危險(xiǎn)分析方法�；跇I(yè)務(wù)流程建模與標(biāo)注和本體推理技術(shù)對(duì)跑道入侵進(jìn)行危險(xiǎn)與可操作性分析危險(xiǎn)識(shí)別。建立跑道入侵發(fā)生場(chǎng)景模型,應(yīng)用危險(xiǎn)與可操作性分析方法對(duì)跑道入侵發(fā)生場(chǎng)景開(kāi)展危險(xiǎn)分析。建立危險(xiǎn)與可操作性節(jié)點(diǎn)分析本體,構(gòu)建概念間的術(shù)語(yǔ)集合描述邏輯關(guān)系并實(shí)施推理。對(duì)跑道入侵危險(xiǎn)因素進(jìn)行定性定量分析。根據(jù)危險(xiǎn)與可操作性分析的危險(xiǎn)識(shí)別結(jié)果,對(duì)危險(xiǎn)因素進(jìn)行發(fā)生場(chǎng)景分析,創(chuàng)建事故樹(shù),開(kāi)展跑道入侵危險(xiǎn)因素的定性、定量分析。其中定量分析采用層次分析法確定基本事件的權(quán)重,得到基本事件發(fā)生概率�；诒倔w技術(shù)設(shè)計(jì)了一種跑道入侵風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析本體。跑道入侵風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析本體基于事故樹(shù)分析理論和跑道入侵風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估理論,包含事故樹(shù)和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析兩個(gè)頂層的類(lèi)。構(gòu)建一個(gè)計(jì)算機(jī)可復(fù)用的通用跑道入侵風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析本體,該本體利用本體的可復(fù)用性、知識(shí)獲取、形式化描述以及可推理能力可以實(shí)現(xiàn)對(duì)跑道入侵的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析,為下一步實(shí)現(xiàn)推理操作提供了事實(shí)基礎(chǔ)。結(jié)果表明,基于危險(xiǎn)與可操作性分析和本體技術(shù)的危險(xiǎn)分析方法能夠在形式化邏輯推理的支持下識(shí)別出系統(tǒng)內(nèi)復(fù)雜交互行為帶來(lái)的危險(xiǎn),是一種比傳統(tǒng)危險(xiǎn)分析更為有效的方法。
[Abstract]:Runway intrusion risk analysis is very important to prevent runway intrusion. At present, the risk identification and analysis of runway intrusion is mostly conducted by brainstorming. In order to improve the normative and automated support of runway intrusion risk analysis, we can avoid over-reliance on natural language description. A hazard analysis method based on hazard and maneuverability analysis and ontology technology is proposed. Hazard identification and operability analysis of runway intrusion based on business process modeling and tagging and ontology reasoning technology are carried out. Runway entry is established. Invasion scenario model. The hazard and maneuverability analysis method is applied to analyze the risk of runway intrusion scene, and the ontology of hazard and maneuverability node analysis is established. Construct the set of terms between concepts to describe the logical relationship and carry out reasoning. Qualitative and quantitative analysis of runway intrusion risk factors. According to hazard and operational analysis of the risk identification results. The occurrence scene analysis of risk factors, the creation of accident tree, the qualitative and quantitative analysis of risk factors of runway intrusion are carried out, in which AHP is used to determine the weight of basic events. Based on ontology technology, a runway intrusion risk analysis ontology is designed. The runway intrusion risk analysis ontology is based on accident tree analysis theory and runway intrusion risk assessment theory. It consists of two top-level classes of accident tree and risk analysis. It constructs a general-purpose runway intrusion risk analysis ontology which can be reused by computers. The ontology utilizes the reusability of ontology and acquires knowledge. Formal description and reasoning ability can be used to analyze the risk of runway intrusion, which provides a factual basis for further reasoning operation. The results show that. The hazard analysis method based on hazard and maneuverability analysis and ontology technology can identify the danger caused by complex interaction behavior in the system with the support of formal logic reasoning. It is a more effective method than traditional hazard analysis.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國(guó)民航大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：V328;V355

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