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南昌市金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2019-05-29 07:53
【摘要】:金融是現(xiàn)代市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)的核心和主要推動(dòng)力,健全完善的金融體系是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵。二者之間究竟存在怎樣的作用機(jī)制和相互關(guān)系一直是學(xué)術(shù)界研究的熱點(diǎn)。國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者通過(guò)大量的研究,從理論與實(shí)證方面對(duì)兩者的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了細(xì)致的分析與探討。多數(shù)研究表明,金融發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間聯(lián)系密切、相互促進(jìn),但也有學(xué)者的研究表明兩者間的聯(lián)系不密切,不存在因果互動(dòng)關(guān)系。由于我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展地域之間差異較大,不同地區(qū)在市場(chǎng)發(fā)育程度和經(jīng)濟(jì)金融化程度方面存在很大差距,因此對(duì)金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間關(guān)系研究往往會(huì)得出不同的結(jié)論;,本文的研究將立足于南昌市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的具體情況,借鑒前人的理論與方法,依據(jù)理論分析和實(shí)證分析相結(jié)合的原則,研究探討南昌市金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)間的關(guān)系。通過(guò)相關(guān)結(jié)論的分析指出當(dāng)前南昌市金融發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在的問(wèn)題,并針對(duì)這些問(wèn)題提出促進(jìn)南昌經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和金融發(fā)展協(xié)調(diào)互動(dòng)的政策建議。 首先,緒論部分主要闡述了本文的選題背景和研究意義,對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)研究進(jìn)展進(jìn)行了梳理,在此基礎(chǔ)上提出了論文的研究?jī)?nèi)容及研究方法。 其次,論文對(duì)金融發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的相關(guān)概念進(jìn)行界定,回顧主要的金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)理論,并在此基礎(chǔ)上分析了金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)間的作用機(jī)制,以便為后文的分析奠定理論基礎(chǔ)。 第三,從總量和結(jié)構(gòu)兩個(gè)方面對(duì)南昌市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和金融發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀展開(kāi)分析,并結(jié)合與中部其他省會(huì)城市的對(duì)比分析,指出南昌市當(dāng)前金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)過(guò)程中存在的問(wèn)題與不足。 第四,在指標(biāo)選取及數(shù)據(jù)處理的基礎(chǔ)上,運(yùn)用ADF檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、向量誤差修正模型和格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)等方法,,對(duì)南昌市金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)間存在的相互關(guān)系及問(wèn)題進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。 第五,根據(jù)南昌市金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)現(xiàn)狀問(wèn)題和實(shí)證分析得出的結(jié)論,提出促進(jìn)南昌市金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)協(xié)調(diào)互動(dòng)的政策建議。 最后,總結(jié)本文的主要結(jié)論,并對(duì)文章的研究進(jìn)行前景展望。
[Abstract]:Finance is the core and main driving force of modern market economy, and a sound and perfect financial system is the key to economic development. What kind of mechanism and relationship between the two have always been the focus of academic research. Through a large number of studies, scholars at home and abroad have made a detailed analysis and discussion on the relationship between the two from the theoretical and empirical aspects. Most studies show that financial development and economic growth are closely related to each other and promote each other, but some scholars have also shown that the relationship between the two is not close and there is no causal interaction. Because there are great differences between the regions of economic development in China and there are great differences in the degree of market development and economic financialization in different regions, different conclusions are often drawn from the study of the relationship between financial development and economic growth. Therefore, the research of this paper will be based on the specific situation of Nanchang's economic development, draw lessons from the previous theories and methods, according to the principle of the combination of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, study and explore the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Nanchang. Through the analysis of the relevant conclusions, this paper points out the problems existing between the financial development and economic growth in Nanchang City, and puts forward some policy suggestions for promoting the coordinated interaction between economic growth and financial development in Nanchang. First of all, the introduction part mainly expounds the background and significance of this paper, combs the related research progress at home and abroad, and on this basis, puts forward the research content and research methods of the paper. Secondly, the paper defines the related concepts of financial development and economic growth, reviews the main theories of financial development and economic growth, and on this basis, analyzes the mechanism between financial development and economic growth. In order to lay a theoretical foundation for the following analysis. Third, this paper analyzes the present situation of economic growth and financial development of Nanchang City from two aspects of total amount and structure, and combines with the comparative analysis with other provincial capital cities in the middle of China. The problems and shortcomings in the process of financial development and economic growth in Nanchang City are pointed out. Fourth, on the basis of index selection and data processing, ADF test, cointegration test, vector error correction model and Granger causality test are used. This paper makes an empirical analysis on the relationship and problems between financial development and economic growth in Nanchang City. Fifthly, according to the present situation of financial development and economic growth in Nanchang City and the conclusions of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the coordination and interaction between financial development and economic growth in Nanchang City. Finally, the main conclusions of this paper are summarized, and the prospect of the research is prospected.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:江西師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F127;F832.7

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