【摘要】：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演進(jìn)與城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展密切，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)換是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的表現(xiàn)形式，經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)發(fā)展是城鎮(zhèn)化的前提，而城鎮(zhèn)化是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的必然結(jié)果。工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、空間結(jié)構(gòu)變遷的過(guò)程，二者互為動(dòng)力，，共同發(fā)展。從我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展的歷史經(jīng)驗(yàn)來(lái)看，在東部經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)，由于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級(jí)速度快，城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展迅速；而在經(jīng)濟(jì)欠發(fā)達(dá)的中西部區(qū)域，由于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不合理，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展緩慢，嚴(yán)重影響了這些區(qū)域的城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展。城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展以產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)為依托，而城市職能的完善，體系的增加又可以促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)一步優(yōu)化升級(jí)。因此，研究產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)與城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展的互動(dòng)機(jī)制，探討兩者之間的互動(dòng)規(guī)律，是實(shí)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)與城鎮(zhèn)化協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的理論基礎(chǔ)。根據(jù)中國(guó)各省份資源豐裕度（RAI）的排名，煤炭?jī)?chǔ)量達(dá)2800億噸的山西省位列第一，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)也以采掘業(yè)和上游原料生產(chǎn)為主，第二產(chǎn)業(yè)始終高于全國(guó)平均水平。然而豐富的資源并沒有帶來(lái)經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展，2011年山西省GDP為12112.81億元，在全國(guó)省份中排名僅為21名，相應(yīng)地，2012年，山西城鎮(zhèn)化水平為51.2%，滯后于其工業(yè)化水平。山西如何擺脫“資源詛咒”，推進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級(jí)，促進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化良好快速發(fā)展是實(shí)現(xiàn)山西由能源大省轉(zhuǎn)型到經(jīng)濟(jì)大省的關(guān)鍵。 本文通過(guò)對(duì)山西產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)與城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展歷程的分析，梳理總結(jié)了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展的特征與問題，在此基礎(chǔ)上，選取1991-2011年的城鎮(zhèn)化率與二次、三次產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值作為指標(biāo)，通過(guò)協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)與格蘭杰因果分析，從實(shí)證角度分析了山西省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展的長(zhǎng)期作用機(jī)制，得到了三者之間的因果關(guān)系。格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)表明，城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)二次產(chǎn)業(yè)、三次產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展有重要作用，而產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)并不是推動(dòng)城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展的格蘭杰原因。文章共分為五個(gè)部分進(jìn)行：首先，是論文的引言部分，陳述本文的研究目的與意義，回顧總結(jié)國(guó)內(nèi)外文獻(xiàn)研究，介紹最新研究動(dòng)態(tài)；其次，闡述產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)與城鎮(zhèn)化的內(nèi)涵與經(jīng)典理論以及二者的相互作用機(jī)理。再次，分析山西省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)與城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展歷程及現(xiàn)狀，歸納總結(jié)發(fā)展特點(diǎn)；接下來(lái)，利用數(shù)據(jù)，實(shí)證分析21年來(lái)城鎮(zhèn)化和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)過(guò)程，分析兩者之間的互動(dòng)關(guān)系，得出兩者互動(dòng)規(guī)律。并對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)如何協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展作出思考。最后，對(duì)論文的不足與展望進(jìn)行總結(jié)。
[Abstract]:The evolution of industrial structure is closely related to the development of urbanization. The transformation of industrial structure is the manifestation of economic development, the sustainable development of economy is the premise of urbanization, and urbanization is the inevitable result of economic growth. Industrialization and urbanization are the changing process of industrial structure and spatial structure in economic development. From the historical experience of China's urbanization development, in the eastern economically developed areas, due to the rapid speed of industrial structure optimization and upgrading, urbanization is developing rapidly; However, in the underdeveloped central and western regions, the development of tertiary industry is slow due to unreasonable industrial structure, which seriously affects the urbanization development of these regions. The development of urbanization is based on the evolution of industrial structure, and the perfection of urban functions and the increase of system can promote the further optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. Therefore, to study the interactive mechanism between the evolution of industrial structure and the development of urbanization, and to explore the interactive law between them, is the theoretical basis to realize the harmonious development of industrial structure upgrading and urbanization. Shanxi Province, which has 280 billion tons of coal reserves, ranks first in terms of the (RAI) ranking of the provinces' abundance of resources. The industrial structure is also dominated by extractive industries and upstream raw materials production, and the secondary industry is always above the national average. However, the abundant resources have not brought about the rapid economic development. The GDP of Shanxi Province in 2011 was 1.211281 trillion yuan, ranking only 21 in the whole country. Accordingly, in 2012, the urbanization level of Shanxi Province was 51.2, lagging behind its industrialization level. How to get rid of the "resource curse", promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure, and promote the good and rapid development of urbanization are the key to realize the transformation of Shanxi from a large energy province to a large economic province. Based on the analysis of the evolution of Shanxi's industrial structure and the development of urbanization, this paper summarizes the characteristics and problems of industrial structure and urbanization development. On this basis, the paper selects the urbanization rate and the second time in 1991-2011. By cointegration test and Granger causality analysis, this paper analyzes the long-term mechanism of industrial structure and urbanization development in Shanxi Province from the perspective of empirical analysis, and obtains the causal relationship between them. Granger causality test shows that urbanization plays an important role in the development of secondary industry and tertiary industry, and the evolution of industrial structure is not the Granger reason to promote the development of urbanization. The article is divided into five parts: first, the introduction of the paper, the purpose and significance of this paper, review and summarize the domestic and foreign literature research, introduce the latest research trends; Secondly, it expounds the connotation and classical theory of industrial structure evolution and urbanization, as well as their interaction mechanism. Thirdly, it analyzes the evolution of industrial structure and the development of urbanization in Shanxi Province, and summarizes the characteristics of the development. Then, using the data, the paper empirically analyzes the process of urbanization and industrial structure evolution in the past 21 years, analyzes the interactive relationship between the two, and obtains the interaction law between the two. And the urbanization and industrial structure how to coordinate the development of thinking. Finally, the paper summarizes the shortcomings and prospects.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山西師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F299.2

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本文編號(hào)：2382095