【摘要】：出口貿(mào)易在推動(dòng)一個(gè)國(guó)家和地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)中發(fā)揮著重要的作用�？κ驳貐^(qū)是經(jīng)濟(jì)欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)，但是通過(guò)發(fā)展出口貿(mào)易，促進(jìn)喀什地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)，喀什地區(qū)具有諸多的優(yōu)勢(shì)條件，符合喀什地區(qū)現(xiàn)在及今后的發(fā)展實(shí)際。 通過(guò)對(duì)喀什地區(qū)外貿(mào)發(fā)展的整體情況做全面了解的基礎(chǔ)上，從中研析出喀什地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系、作用、貢獻(xiàn)及喀什出口貿(mào)易如何促進(jìn)喀什經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)這個(gè)現(xiàn)實(shí)和緊迫的問(wèn)題具有十分重要意義。在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)理論、出口貿(mào)易理論的指導(dǎo)下，理論聯(lián)系實(shí)際，采取查閱相關(guān)年鑒與文獻(xiàn)以及去統(tǒng)計(jì)局、外經(jīng)貿(mào)局等單位實(shí)地調(diào)研獲取相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)與資料，并到相關(guān)外貿(mào)企業(yè)實(shí)地了解有關(guān)情況等，根據(jù)有關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)和發(fā)展實(shí)際采用定量分析和定性分析相結(jié)合的方法，對(duì)喀什地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和對(duì)外貿(mào)易不同時(shí)期的發(fā)展特點(diǎn)，運(yùn)用比較分析；對(duì)喀什地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的現(xiàn)狀，從出口貿(mào)易對(duì)GDP的依存度、貢獻(xiàn)度、拉動(dòng)度角度進(jìn)行了相關(guān)分析，以及分別對(duì)出口貿(mào)易與GDP、出口貿(mào)易與三次產(chǎn)業(yè)建立模型，進(jìn)行單位根檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)和面板數(shù)據(jù)模型等對(duì)喀什地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易對(duì)喀什地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的貢獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析，并對(duì)分析結(jié)果進(jìn)行了整理。 通過(guò)對(duì)喀什地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的定量和實(shí)證分析，得出以下結(jié)論：（1）喀什地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)勢(shì)頭良好，三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)逐步優(yōu)化，人均GDP不斷上升。（2）喀什地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展趨勢(shì)良好，出口貿(mào)易依存度、貢獻(xiàn)度、拉動(dòng)度也逐步上升，出口貿(mào)易主體、貿(mào)易國(guó)別不斷擴(kuò)大。（3）從長(zhǎng)期看來(lái)，喀什地區(qū)GDP與出口貿(mào)易之間存在著穩(wěn)定的關(guān)系，出口貿(mào)易的增長(zhǎng)促進(jìn)了經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)。（4）從短期看來(lái)，出口貿(mào)易對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的作用較小。（5）出口對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)影響來(lái)看，出口貿(mào)易增加對(duì)第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展作用較為突出，對(duì)第二產(chǎn)業(yè)還不明顯。（6）喀什地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展中存在出口貿(mào)易總量不足，出口商品技術(shù)含量低，生產(chǎn)加工企業(yè)和本地產(chǎn)品所占比重少，，外經(jīng)貿(mào)人才匱乏，貿(mào)易市場(chǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)不平衡，基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施不完善等問(wèn)題。（7）針對(duì)喀什地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易存在的問(wèn)題，對(duì)進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大出口貿(mào)易量,支持高技術(shù)含量、高附加值產(chǎn)品出口，增加生產(chǎn)加工企業(yè)，提高本地產(chǎn)品出口比重，培訓(xùn)和培養(yǎng)外經(jīng)貿(mào)人才，調(diào)整貿(mào)易市場(chǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)、改善基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施方面提出了建議。
[Abstract]:Export trade plays an important role in promoting the economic growth of a country and region. Kashi region is an underdeveloped region, but by developing export trade to promote the economic growth of Kashi region, Kashi region has many advantages, which is in line with the present and future development of Kashi region. On the basis of a comprehensive understanding of the overall situation of the development of foreign trade in Kashgar, the relationship between export trade and economic growth in Kashi is analyzed from China and China. It is of great significance to make contribution and how to promote the economic growth of Kashi. Under the guidance of economic growth theory and export trade theory, combining theory with practice, we should consult relevant yearbooks and documents, go to the Bureau of Statistics, foreign trade bureau, and other units to investigate and obtain relevant data and materials on the spot. And to the relevant foreign trade enterprises to find out the relevant situation on the spot, according to the relevant data and the actual development of the use of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis of the Kashi region economic growth and foreign trade in different periods of development characteristics, Using comparative analysis, this paper analyzes the current situation of export trade and economic growth in Kashi region, and analyzes the dependence, contribution and pull degree of export trade on GDP. As well as establishing models of export trade and GDP, export trade and three industries respectively, carrying on unit root test, cointegration test, Granger causality test and panel data model to Kashi region export trade to Kashi region economic growth. The contribution of industrial structure optimization is analyzed empirically, and the results are sorted out. Through quantitative and empirical analysis of export trade and economic growth in Kashi region, the following conclusions are drawn: (1) Kashi region has a good economic growth momentum and three industrial structures are gradually optimized. The per capita GDP is rising. (2) the export trade in Kashi region has a good development trend, the dependence, contribution and pull degree of export trade are also rising gradually. (3) in the long run, the main body of export trade and the countries of trade continue to expand. (3) in the long run, There is a stable relationship between GDP and export trade in Kashgar region. The growth of export trade promotes economic growth. (4) in the short term, export trade has little effect on economic growth. (5) the impact of export on industrial structure. The increase in export trade plays a more prominent role in the development of the tertiary industry, but not in the secondary industry. (6) in the development of export trade in Kashi, the total amount of export trade is insufficient and the technical content of export commodities is low. Production and processing enterprises and local products account for a small proportion, foreign economic and trade personnel are scarce, trade market structure is unbalanced, infrastructure is not perfect, etc. (7) in view of the problems existing in export trade in Kashi region, it is necessary to further expand the volume of export trade. Some suggestions are put forward for supporting the export of high technology, high added value products, increasing production and processing enterprises, increasing the proportion of export of local products, training and training talents in foreign trade and economic cooperation, adjusting the structure of trade market and improving infrastructure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：新疆師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F752.8

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