【摘要】：近年來,隨著安徽省經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,機(jī)電產(chǎn)品的出口也取得了長足進(jìn)步,已成為全省第一大類出口產(chǎn)品。機(jī)電產(chǎn)品大部分是資本和技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)品,其附加值高,發(fā)展速度快,帶動(dòng)作用強(qiáng),其發(fā)展水平往往代表了一個(gè)國家和地區(qū)工業(yè)發(fā)展的實(shí)力。因此,本文從省域?qū)ν赓Q(mào)易的角度出發(fā),研究了安徽省機(jī)電產(chǎn)品出口對(duì)其經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的促進(jìn)效應(yīng)。 本文首先介紹了安徽省機(jī)電產(chǎn)品的出口情況并分析了機(jī)電產(chǎn)品的出口競(jìng)爭力。經(jīng)分析發(fā)現(xiàn),安徽省機(jī)電產(chǎn)品呈現(xiàn)出出口增長迅速,出口產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu)不斷優(yōu)化,出口企業(yè)主體加強(qiáng),出口市場(chǎng)不斷多元化等特點(diǎn),但同時(shí),與國內(nèi)機(jī)電出口大省(如廣東、江蘇和浙江)相比,安徽省機(jī)電產(chǎn)品出口還有不足之處,如出口競(jìng)爭力較弱,出口產(chǎn)品的科技含量較低,附加值較低等。 本文研究的重心在于機(jī)電產(chǎn)品出口對(duì)安徽省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的實(shí)證分析。首先分析了機(jī)電產(chǎn)品通過規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)、產(chǎn)業(yè)集群效應(yīng)和競(jìng)爭效應(yīng)這三個(gè)方面促進(jìn)了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長；然后對(duì)機(jī)電產(chǎn)品出口與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長進(jìn)行了協(xié)整檢驗(yàn),得出二者之間存在著長期動(dòng)態(tài)均衡關(guān)系；接著通過Granger因果檢驗(yàn)方法檢驗(yàn)了機(jī)電產(chǎn)品出口與安徽省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的因果關(guān)系,得出機(jī)電出口帶動(dòng)了安徽經(jīng)濟(jì)增長,而安徽經(jīng)濟(jì)增長并沒有推動(dòng)機(jī)電產(chǎn)品的出口的結(jié)論；并進(jìn)一步用聯(lián)立方程模型估計(jì)了機(jī)電產(chǎn)品出口對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的直接影響及通過消費(fèi)、投資和進(jìn)口對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長間接影響之和,得出機(jī)電產(chǎn)品出口正向帶動(dòng)了安徽省的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長,但從數(shù)值上看,對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的貢獻(xiàn)率不高,并隨之簡要分析了影響機(jī)電產(chǎn)品出口對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長貢獻(xiàn)率的一些因素。 論文最后就如何提高機(jī)電產(chǎn)品出口對(duì)安徽省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的促進(jìn)效應(yīng),從政府、行業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)和企業(yè)三個(gè)層面提出了一些建議,政府要對(duì)機(jī)電出口企業(yè)加大經(jīng)濟(jì)政策支持力度,積極引進(jìn)外資,做好服務(wù)工作等；行業(yè)協(xié)會(huì)要發(fā)揮好自身職能,做好協(xié)調(diào)、咨詢、服務(wù)等工作；企業(yè)要加大自主創(chuàng)新力度,注重品牌建設(shè),積極應(yīng)對(duì)貿(mào)易摩擦等。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the economic development of Anhui Province, the export of mechanical and electrical products has made considerable progress, has become the province's largest category of export products. Mechanical and electrical products are mostly capital-and technology-intensive products with high added value, fast development speed and strong driving force, and their development level often represents the strength of a country and a region's industrial development. Therefore, from the point of view of provincial foreign trade, this paper studies the promoting effect of the export of mechanical and electrical products in Anhui Province on its economic development. This paper first introduces the export situation of mechanical and electrical products in Anhui Province and analyzes the export competitiveness of mechanical and electrical products. It is found that the export of mechanical and electrical products in Anhui Province is increasing rapidly, the structure of export products is constantly optimized, the main body of export enterprises is strengthened, and the export market is diversifying, etc., but at the same time, with the large export provinces of China, such as Guangdong, Compared with Zhejiang Province, Anhui Province has some shortcomings in the export of mechanical and electrical products, such as weak export competitiveness, low scientific and technological content of export products, low added value and so on. The focus of this study is the empirical analysis of the export of mechanical and electrical products to the economic growth of Anhui Province. First of all, the paper analyzes that electromechanical products promote economic growth through three aspects: scale economy effect, industrial cluster effect and competition effect, and then carries out cointegration test on the export of electromechanical products and economic growth. It is concluded that there is a long-term dynamic equilibrium relationship between the two, and then the Granger causality test method is used to test the causality between the export of mechanical and electrical products and the economic growth of Anhui Province, and it is concluded that the export of machinery and electrical products drives the economic growth of Anhui Province. However, the economic growth of Anhui has not promoted the export of mechanical and electrical products, and the direct effect of export of mechanical and electrical products on economic growth is estimated by using the simultaneous equation model, and the sum of indirect effects of consumption, investment and import on economic growth is estimated. It is concluded that the export of mechanical and electrical products has a positive effect on the economic growth of Anhui Province, but the contribution rate to economic growth is not high from a numerical point of view, and some factors affecting the contribution rate of export of mechanical and electrical products to economic growth are analyzed briefly. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions on how to improve the promoting effect of export of mechanical and electrical products on Anhui province's economic growth from three aspects: government, trade association and enterprise. The government should strengthen the economic policy support to the mechanical and electrical export enterprises. We should actively introduce foreign capital and do a good job in service; trade associations should give full play to their own functions, coordinate, consult, and serve; and enterprises should increase independent innovation, pay attention to brand building, and actively deal with trade frictions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：安徽大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F752.62

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本文編號(hào)：2255905