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基于碳排放的重慶產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-08-02 14:22
【摘要】:隨著全球氣候變暖及能源危機(jī)的加劇,轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式、調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、實(shí)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)的低碳化轉(zhuǎn)型已成為各國的共識(shí)。改革開放30余年,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)增長,產(chǎn)出水平不斷提高,相應(yīng)地,我國能源需求也不斷增加,二氧化碳排放量逐年上升。面對(duì)巨大的減排壓力,發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)是我國走可持續(xù)發(fā)展道路的必然選擇。重慶是我國最大的中央直轄市,,也是具有重化工特征的老工業(yè)基地。作為五省八市低碳城市的國家試點(diǎn)之一,重慶以重工業(yè)為主的高污染、高能耗、高排放的粗放型經(jīng)濟(jì)模式亟待改變。此外,重慶還擔(dān)負(fù)著實(shí)現(xiàn)低碳轉(zhuǎn)型,為區(qū)域乃至全國積累經(jīng)驗(yàn)的歷史重任。如何轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式、調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),是重慶實(shí)現(xiàn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展亟待解決的重大問題。 本文從產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)視角出發(fā),以重慶市為研究對(duì)象,在對(duì)相關(guān)理論及研究成果歸納整理的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合重慶市產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)及碳排放現(xiàn)狀,采用灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析法、投入產(chǎn)出法以及四象限分析法等,基于產(chǎn)業(yè)部門的碳排放影響力和經(jīng)濟(jì)影響力,提出重慶市產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的方向及政策建議。 本文首先對(duì)重慶市三次產(chǎn)業(yè)與碳排放的關(guān)聯(lián)關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。由于對(duì)該問題的研究屬于對(duì)信息不完備的不確定性系統(tǒng)的研究。故本文運(yùn)用灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析法進(jìn)行測算。結(jié)果顯示,重慶市三大產(chǎn)業(yè)中,第二產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)碳排放的影響最大,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)次之,第一產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)碳排放的影響最小。 在此基礎(chǔ)上,本文運(yùn)用投入產(chǎn)出法,從碳排放和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展雙重角度,對(duì)重慶市29個(gè)產(chǎn)業(yè)部門的調(diào)整路徑進(jìn)行了探析。依據(jù)各產(chǎn)業(yè)部門的碳排放影響力和經(jīng)濟(jì)影響力大小,利用四象限分析法,對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)部門進(jìn)行分類,根據(jù)其所處的象限區(qū)域,確定了產(chǎn)業(yè)部門的結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整策略,包括產(chǎn)業(yè)扶植、產(chǎn)業(yè)改造、產(chǎn)業(yè)控制和產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)。 最后,根據(jù)實(shí)證結(jié)果,本文進(jìn)一步提出低碳背景下重慶產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的政策建議。該建議提出重慶應(yīng)以重點(diǎn)發(fā)展部門和重點(diǎn)調(diào)控部門的結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整為主線,以金融、財(cái)稅、技術(shù)三大支持體系為支撐,實(shí)現(xiàn)重慶產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的低碳化轉(zhuǎn)型。
[Abstract]:With the global warming and the aggravation of the energy crisis, it has become the consensus of all countries to change the economic development model, adjust the industrial structure and realize the low carbonization transformation of the industry. After more than 30 years of reform and opening up, the economy of our country has been increasing continuously, and the output level has been improving constantly. Accordingly, the energy demand of our country is also increasing, and the carbon dioxide emissions are rising year by year. Facing the huge pressure of emission reduction, developing low-carbon economy is the inevitable choice for our country to take the road of sustainable development. Chongqing is the largest municipality directly under the Central Government of China and an old industrial base with heavy chemical characteristics. As one of the national pilot projects of low-carbon cities in five provinces and eight cities, Chongqing's extensive economic model, which is characterized by heavy industry, high pollution, high energy consumption and high emission, needs to be changed urgently. In addition, Chongqing is also responsible for the realization of low-carbon transition, for regional and national accumulation of experience. How to change the mode of economic development and adjust the industrial structure is an important problem to be solved to realize sustainable development in Chongqing. In this paper, from the perspective of industrial economics, taking Chongqing as the research object, on the basis of summing up the relevant theories and research results, combining the industrial structure of Chongqing and the present situation of carbon emissions, the grey relational analysis method is adopted. The input-output method and the four-quadrant analysis method are used to put forward the direction and policy suggestions of industrial structure adjustment in Chongqing based on the influence of carbon emission and economic influence of industrial sector. In this paper, the relationship between three industries and carbon emissions in Chongqing is analyzed empirically. Because the study of this problem belongs to the uncertain system with incomplete information. Therefore, this paper uses grey relational analysis method to calculate. The results show that among the three major industries in Chongqing, the secondary industry has the greatest impact on carbon emissions, the tertiary industry has the second, and the primary industry has the least impact on carbon emissions. On this basis, the paper analyzes the adjustment paths of 29 industrial departments in Chongqing from the perspective of carbon emission and economic development by using the input-output method. According to the influence of carbon emission and economic influence of each industrial sector, the paper classifies the industrial sector by using the four-quadrant analysis method. According to the quadrant region, the structure adjustment strategy of the industrial sector is determined, including industry support. Industrial transformation, industrial control and industrial upgrading. Finally, according to the empirical results, this paper further puts forward the policy recommendations of industrial structure adjustment in Chongqing under the background of low carbon. This proposal puts forward that Chongqing should take the structural adjustment of key development departments and key regulatory departments as the main line, and support the three supporting systems of finance, taxation and technology to realize the low-carbon transformation of Chongqing's industrial structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:重慶大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F127;F205

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