【摘要】：金融是現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)的核心,在優(yōu)化資源配置與促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級中舉足輕重；江蘇“十二五”規(guī)劃、國家產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整目錄的出臺(tái)意味著當(dāng)前我省正面臨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的轉(zhuǎn)型升級。在此背景下,研究如何更好地發(fā)揮江蘇金融對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的支持作用,進(jìn)而促進(jìn)我省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展,具有較強(qiáng)的理論和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文在文獻(xiàn)回顧的基礎(chǔ)上,從理論和實(shí)證上研究了江蘇金融發(fā)展對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級調(diào)整的影響。本文的主要研究集中如下： 1、在理論研究上,首先,本文分析了金融影響產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的傳遞機(jī)制與一般作用機(jī)制、銀行信貸與資本市場對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級調(diào)整的影響機(jī)理以及一個(gè)理論模型；其次,分別概述和評價(jià)了支持產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的兩種金融發(fā)展模式——銀行主導(dǎo)型和資本市場主導(dǎo)型,作為國際經(jīng)驗(yàn)借鑒。 2、在描述性分析上,分別從固定資產(chǎn)投資、銀行信貸、資本市場與利用外資四個(gè)角度詳細(xì)分析了金融發(fā)展對江蘇產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的影響。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)：江蘇固定資產(chǎn)投資結(jié)構(gòu)的變動(dòng)趨勢與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的變動(dòng)趨勢基本一致,第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)的投資收益較高。銀行信貸對三大產(chǎn)業(yè)的投入都大大促進(jìn)了各自產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展,但是信貸結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)出現(xiàn)一定程度的偏離。江蘇上市公司產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)體現(xiàn)為工業(yè)化推動(dòng)型,新興產(chǎn)業(yè)與現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的上市公司偏少,與三大產(chǎn)業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)有一定差距,未能反映產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演化方向。外資的進(jìn)入促進(jìn)了我省技術(shù)進(jìn)步和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級。 3、在實(shí)證研究上,本文搜集了江蘇1986-2010年間的相關(guān)歷史數(shù)據(jù),金融發(fā)展從金融規(guī)模、金融結(jié)構(gòu)、金融效率三個(gè)方面來考察,分別選擇金融相關(guān)率、金融結(jié)構(gòu)比率、貸存率與金融產(chǎn)出率作為解釋變量,選擇產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級率作為被解釋變量,建立經(jīng)濟(jì)計(jì)量模型,分析江蘇金融發(fā)展對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的影響。得知金融相關(guān)率、金融產(chǎn)出率都促進(jìn)我省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級；金融結(jié)構(gòu)比率、貸存率在短期對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的支持作用未能顯現(xiàn)；而在長期,兩者都能以較大力度加快產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級,說明了兩者對我省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的支持作用具有一定的滯后性。 最后,本文提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議：加強(qiáng)金融資本與產(chǎn)業(yè)資本的融合；建立健全的金融服務(wù)體系；建立多層次資本市場體系；盡快建立風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資體系；大力發(fā)展科技金融。在經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型升級的時(shí)代背景下,為我省如何更好發(fā)揮金融發(fā)展對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的促進(jìn)作用,提供了一些有益指導(dǎo)。
[Abstract]:Finance is the core of modern economy, which plays an important role in optimizing the allocation of resources and promoting the upgrading of industrial structure. Under this background, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study how to better play the role of Jiangsu finance in supporting the upgrading of industrial structure so as to promote the economic development of our province. On the basis of literature review, this paper studies the influence of Jiangsu financial development on industrial structure upgrading and adjustment theoretically and empirically. The main research focus of this paper is as follows: 1. In the theoretical research, firstly, this paper analyzes the transfer mechanism and general mechanism of financial impact on the upgrading of industrial structure. The influence mechanism of bank credit and capital market on industrial structure upgrading and adjustment and a theoretical model. Secondly, the paper summarizes and evaluates two kinds of financial development models supporting industrial structure upgrading, namely, bank-oriented and capital-market-oriented. As a reference for international experience, the paper analyzes the impact of financial development on the upgrading of Jiangsu's industrial structure from four angles of fixed asset investment, bank credit, capital market and foreign capital utilization respectively in terms of descriptive analysis. It is found that the change trend of investment structure of fixed assets in Jiangsu is basically consistent with that of industrial structure, and the investment returns of the second and third industries are higher. The investment of bank credit to the three industries greatly promotes the development of their respective industries, but the credit structure deviates from the industrial structure to a certain extent. The industrial structure of the listed companies in Jiangsu Province is characterized by industrialization promotion. There are few listed companies in the emerging industries and the modern service industries, and there is a certain gap with the industrial structure of the three major industries, which fails to reflect the direction of the evolution of the industrial structure. The entry of foreign capital has promoted the technological progress and industrial structure optimization and upgrading of our province. 3. In the empirical research, this paper collects the relevant historical data of Jiangsu Province from 1986 to 2010, the financial development from the financial scale, the financial structure, Financial efficiency is investigated from three aspects: financial correlation rate, financial structure ratio, loan-to-deposit ratio and financial output ratio as explanatory variables, and industrial structure upgrading rate as explained variable to establish econometric model. This paper analyzes the impact of Jiangsu financial development on the upgrading of industrial structure. We know that the financial correlation rate and the financial output rate promote the upgrading of the industrial structure in our province; the financial structure ratio and the loan-deposit ratio can not support the upgrading of the industrial structure in the short term; but in the long run, Both of them can speed up the upgrading of industrial structure with a great effort, which shows that they have a certain lag in supporting the upgrading of industrial structure in our province. Finally, this paper puts forward the corresponding policy suggestions: to strengthen the integration of financial capital and industrial capital; to establish a sound financial service system; to establish a multi-level capital market system; to establish a venture capital system as soon as possible; and to vigorously develop science and technology finance. Under the background of economic transformation and upgrading, this paper provides some useful guidance on how to play the role of financial development in promoting the upgrading of industrial structure in our province.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號(hào)】：F832;F121.3;F224

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本文編號(hào)：2141682