【摘要】：改革開放以來，伴隨著廣東對外貿(mào)易的迅猛發(fā)展，對外貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)也出現(xiàn)了種種變化。對外貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)是一國或地區(qū)在某一特定時(shí)期對外貿(mào)易質(zhì)量的綜合反映；貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的變化將影響一國或地區(qū)對外貿(mào)易的持續(xù)穩(wěn)定發(fā)展，以及對外貿(mào)易對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長促進(jìn)作用的充分發(fā)揮。因此，本文結(jié)合國際貿(mào)易理論中有關(guān)貿(mào)易發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系的相關(guān)理論，運(yùn)用實(shí)證分析，從貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的一般變化及其內(nèi)部構(gòu)成變化兩個(gè)角度重新審視改革開放以來廣東外貿(mào)發(fā)展與其經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的關(guān)系。 首先，本文采用描述性統(tǒng)計(jì)分析方法，分別對廣東歷年來經(jīng)濟(jì)增長情況、對外貿(mào)易發(fā)展規(guī)模以及對外貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的動態(tài)變化進(jìn)行探討，，以求發(fā)現(xiàn)廣東對外貿(mào)易發(fā)展的基本特征及存在的問題。 其次，本文通過選取適當(dāng)?shù)淖兞恐笜?biāo)，構(gòu)建VAR模型，對廣東對外貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)變化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究，并結(jié)合實(shí)際對實(shí)證結(jié)果進(jìn)行分析。 本文主要結(jié)論有：第一，通過建立的廣東制成品、初級品進(jìn)出口相對指標(biāo)衡量貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)顯示，二十世紀(jì)九十年代后，廣東貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)處于不斷升級過程中；第二，廣東貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)變化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)表明，目前拉動廣東經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的不是貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)，而是貿(mào)易規(guī)模的不斷擴(kuò)大；第三，實(shí)證分析廣東貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)內(nèi)部構(gòu)成對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響發(fā)現(xiàn)，廣東制成品產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易的發(fā)展以及加工貿(mào)易增值率的提升，都促進(jìn)了廣東經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of Guangdong ' s foreign trade since the reform and opening up , the foreign trade structure has changed . The foreign trade structure is a comprehensive reflection of the foreign trade quality of a country or region in a certain period ;
The change of trade structure will affect the sustained and steady development of foreign trade in one country or region , as well as the full play of the contribution of foreign trade to economic growth . Therefore , this paper analyzes the relationship between the development of foreign trade and its economic growth since the reform and opening up since the reform and opening up in terms of the general change of trade structure and its internal composition .

First , a descriptive statistical analysis method is used to discuss the economic growth , the scale of foreign trade and the dynamic change of foreign trade structure in Guangdong in recent years , in order to find out the basic characteristics and problems of Guangdong ' s foreign trade development .

Secondly , this paper studies the relationship between the change of foreign trade structure and economic growth of Guangdong by selecting the appropriate variable index , and makes an empirical study on the relationship between the change of foreign trade structure and economic growth in Guangdong .

The main conclusions of this paper are as follows : First , the trade structure is measured by the establishment of Guangdong manufactured goods and the relative indexes of import and export of primary products . After the 1990s , Guangdong trade structure is in the process of continuous upgrading ;
Secondly , the causality test between the change of Guangdong ' s trade structure and the economic growth shows that the current economic growth of Guangdong is not the trade structure , but the expansion of the trade scale .
Third , the empirical analysis of the impact of the structure of Guangdong ' s trade structure on the economic growth found that the development of the intra - industry trade in Guangdong and the promotion of the value - added rate of processing trade all promoted the development of Guangdong economy .
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣東商學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F752.8;F127

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