本文選題：歐元區(qū) + 經(jīng)濟(jì)周期��； 參考：《復(fù)旦大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：歐元區(qū)的設(shè)立是根據(jù)Mundell提出的最優(yōu)通貨區(qū)的理論發(fā)展出來的。在開始階段,歐元區(qū)的實(shí)踐曾取得非常出色的經(jīng)濟(jì)表現(xiàn),在21世紀(jì)初歐元區(qū)對成員國和世界主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展都做出了重大的貢獻(xiàn)。歐債危機(jī)爆發(fā)后,歐元區(qū)對受危機(jī)影響的歐元區(qū)國家的救助遲遲達(dá)不成共識(shí)。隨后越來越多的歐元區(qū)國家被卷入了此次危機(jī)。這場歐債危機(jī)使得人們對于歐元區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)周期協(xié)動(dòng)程度產(chǎn)生了興趣,在危機(jī)前,歐元區(qū)各成員國是否已經(jīng)出現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)動(dòng)程度增強(qiáng)的現(xiàn)象?如果是的話,這個(gè)現(xiàn)象又是由什么原因造成的?為了解答這些問題,本文試圖從貿(mào)易深化、統(tǒng)一的貨幣政策和更為整合的金融市場,以及財(cái)政協(xié)調(diào)三個(gè)方面對歐元區(qū)成立前后成員國協(xié)動(dòng)程度變化的內(nèi)在邏輯進(jìn)行分析,并提出理論假設(shè)。本文以瑞典、英國、美國、日本這四個(gè)在地理位置、貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)或者經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系與歐元區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)體比較接近的區(qū)外國家作為參照來研究歐元區(qū)設(shè)立前后其第一批成員國的經(jīng)濟(jì)周期協(xié)動(dòng)程度的變化,驗(yàn)證了根據(jù)理論推導(dǎo)得出假設(shè)。本文發(fā)現(xiàn)盡管受全球經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的影響,各主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體經(jīng)濟(jì)周期協(xié)動(dòng)性都出現(xiàn)不同程度地提高,但在歐元區(qū)成立之后,其成員國經(jīng)濟(jì)周期協(xié)動(dòng)程度明顯增強(qiáng),并出現(xiàn)向以德國為首的核心組國家不斷趨近的趨勢。最后,本文根據(jù)歐元區(qū)的實(shí)踐和經(jīng)驗(yàn),對未來東亞地區(qū)可能的一體化提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:The establishment of the eurozone was developed on the basis of the theory of the best currency area proposed by the Mundell. In the beginning, the practice of the eurozone had achieved remarkable economic performance. In the early twenty-first Century, the euro area made a significant contribution to the economic development of the member countries and the major economies of the world. A growing number of euro zone countries were involved in the crisis. The euro zone countries were involved in the crisis. In order to answer these questions, this article tries to analyze the internal logic of the changes in the coordination degree of the member countries before and after the establishment of the euro area, and put forward the theoretical hypothesis in three aspects of the deepening of trade, the unified monetary policy and the more integrated financial market, and the financial coordination. The changes in the economic cycle CO activity of the first group of member countries before and after the establishment of the euro area are studied by the four countries, such as the United Kingdom, the United States, the United States, and Japan, which are close to the eurozone economies. With the influence of economic integration, the economic cycle synergy of the major economies has been improved in varying degrees. But after the establishment of the eurozone, the economic cycle of its member countries has increased significantly, and the trend towards the core group countries headed by Germany. Finally, this article is based on the practice and experience of the euro area to the future East Asia. The possible integration of the region put forward corresponding policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：復(fù)旦大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F113.7

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本文編號：2040581