本文選題：地方性政府支出 + 城鄉(xiāng)居民消費(fèi)�。� 參考：《南京大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：從1978年以來,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長率一直處于較高的水平,但是居民消費(fèi)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的貢獻(xiàn)率卻處于一個(gè)比較低的水平。在如今,居民消費(fèi)疲軟已經(jīng)直接制約著我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的健康持續(xù)發(fā)展。且我國區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡,城鄉(xiāng)二元化結(jié)構(gòu)仍較嚴(yán)重,故在分析我國財(cái)政支出對(duì)居民消費(fèi)影響時(shí)應(yīng)考慮到我國的區(qū)域差異及城鄉(xiāng)差異。 在這一背景下,本文對(duì)地方性政府財(cái)政支出與我國不同區(qū)域城鄉(xiāng)居民消費(fèi)之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了分析研究。在前人研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上,本文首先從理論上對(duì)政府支出與居民消費(fèi)的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了分析。然后考察了我國地方性政府支出與城鄉(xiāng)居民消費(fèi)的現(xiàn)狀,緊接著本文再對(duì)地方性分類政府支出與城鄉(xiāng)居民消費(fèi)進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究,來確定兩者之間的關(guān)系。最后根據(jù)實(shí)證分析,本文整理了關(guān)于政府財(cái)政支出的政策建議,以此來更有效的刺激居民消費(fèi)。本文的第二章回顧了財(cái)政支出與居民消費(fèi)的相關(guān)理論。本文的第三章并分析了近年來我國地方性政府支出的總量及結(jié)構(gòu)、居民消費(fèi)水平的變動(dòng)等情況。本文將地方性政府支出分為民生性支出、經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)支出及行政管理支出,把我國分為東中西三個(gè)區(qū)域�？疾旖Y(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn),雖然我國政府支出與居民消費(fèi)在總額上都保持著增長的態(tài)勢,但我國東部、中部、西部不論在政府支出水平還是在居民消費(fèi)水平上都存在著較大差距,且在我國城鄉(xiāng)二元化經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)背景下,我國城鄉(xiāng)居民消費(fèi)差距仍然較大。本文在計(jì)量方法上采用了面板數(shù)據(jù)方法,對(duì)我國30個(gè)省從1998年到2011年14年的地方性政府分類財(cái)政支出及城鄉(xiāng)居民私人支出的數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行計(jì)量分析,來研究兩者之間的關(guān)系。最后基于前文的分析,本文認(rèn)為各地區(qū)應(yīng)依據(jù)自身經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展及社會(huì)發(fā)展的情況來制定財(cái)政政策,而不是一味的擴(kuò)大財(cái)政支出的總量,并提出了刺激居民消費(fèi)的地方性政府財(cái)政支出的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since 1978, the economic growth rate of our country has been in a high level, but the contribution rate of resident consumption to economic growth is at a relatively low level. At present, the weak consumption of residents has directly restricted the healthy and sustainable development of our economy. The regional economic development of our country is unbalanced, and the urban-rural dual structure is still serious, so we should take into account the regional and urban-rural differences when analyzing the influence of our country's fiscal expenditure on the consumption of residents. This paper analyzes the relationship between local government expenditure and urban and rural residents' consumption in different regions of China. Based on the previous research results, this paper firstly analyzes the relationship between government expenditure and resident consumption. Then it investigates the current situation of local government expenditure and urban and rural residents' consumption. Then this paper makes an empirical study on the local classified government expenditure and urban and rural residents' consumption to determine the relationship between the two. Finally, according to the empirical analysis, this paper collates the policy recommendations on government fiscal expenditure, in order to stimulate residents' consumption more effectively. The second chapter reviews the related theories of fiscal expenditure and resident consumption. The third chapter also analyzes the total amount and structure of local government expenditure and the change of resident consumption level in recent years. This paper divides the local government expenditure into three areas: people's livelihood expenditure, economic construction expenditure and administrative expenditure, and divides our country into three regions: East, West and West. The results show that, although the total amount of government expenditure and resident consumption in our country has maintained a trend of growth, there is a big gap between the eastern, central and western parts of China, whether in the level of government expenditure or in the level of residents' consumption. Under the background of urban-rural dual economic structure, the consumption gap between urban and rural residents is still large. In this paper, the panel data method is used to analyze the data of local government classified fiscal expenditure and urban and rural residents' private expenditure from 1998 to 2011 in 30 provinces of China, to study the relationship between them. Finally, based on the previous analysis, this paper believes that each region should formulate fiscal policies according to its own economic development and social development, rather than blindly expand the total amount of fiscal expenditure. And put forward the policy suggestion of local government expenditure that stimulates the resident consumption.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F126.1;F812.45

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本文編號(hào)：1994183