本文關(guān)鍵詞：國際石油價格和人民幣實際有效匯率對中國經(jīng)濟影響的實證分析，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

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宏觀經(jīng)濟管理與可持續(xù)發(fā)展

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數(shù)學(xué)

貿(mào)易經(jīng)濟

經(jīng)濟體制改革

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經(jīng)濟統(tǒng)計

實際有效匯率     

    A Positive Study on the Effect of RMB Real Effective Exchange Rate on the International Reserve:1996～2004

    人民幣實際有效匯率波動對外匯儲備影響的實證研究:1996～2004

短句來源

    Empirical Relationship between Real Effective Exchange Rate and Bilateral Trade Balance of China with the USA and Japan

    人民幣實際有效匯率和對外貿(mào)易收支的關(guān)系——中美和中日雙邊貿(mào)易收支的實證研究

短句來源

    Fluctuations of Real Effective Exchange Rate of RMB and Disparity of Regional Economic Growth in China

    人民幣實際有效匯率波動與我國地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長差異

短句來源

    Analysis on the Cointegration between Real Effective Exchange Rate and China′s Foreign Direct Investment

    實際有效匯率和我國外商直接投資的協(xié)整分析

短句來源

    The Empirical Analysis about the Impact of RMB Real Effective Exchange Rate on Machinery & Electronic Products

    人民幣實際有效匯率變動對我國機電產(chǎn)品進(jìn)出口影響的實證分析

短句來源

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    Firstly This research amend the Balassa- Samuelson hypothesis effect model according to the actual and economic characteristics in China, and our target is to analysis the cointegration between Real effect exchange rate and the difference of relative productivity.

    本文首先根據(jù)我國的實際經(jīng)濟特點,引入實際有效匯率,對Balassa-Samuelson假說效應(yīng)模型進(jìn)行一定的修正,探討B(tài)alassa-Samuelson假說效應(yīng)在中國的適用性;

短句來源

    Since 1995,actual effective exchange rate of RMB,whether calculated by CPI or EPI,and RMB itself are under evaluated and there exists pressure for revalue;

    自1995年以來,無論是按照CPI還是EPI計算的人民幣實際有效匯率,人民幣幣值一直被低估,升值壓力確實存在;

短句來源

    China's International Competitiveness: Secular Change and Source of Shock

    中國國際競爭力的歷史變遷與沖擊來源——來自“制造業(yè)單位勞動成本指數(shù)測算的人民幣實際有效匯率”的證據(jù)

短句來源

    An Empirical Analysis on the Role of International Oil Prices and RMB Real Exchange Rate in China's Economy

    國際石油價格和人民幣實際有效匯率對中國經(jīng)濟影響的實證分析

短句來源

    Unit-Labor-Cost-Based REER is often used to evaluate a country's International Competitiveness.

    采用制造業(yè)部門單位勞動力成本指數(shù)(UnitLaborCost,ULC)測算的一國實際有效匯率(REER-ULC)經(jīng)常被用來衡量該國的國際競爭力狀況。

短句來源

    An Empirical Research on Renminbi Real Valid Exchange Rate and its Imbalance Situation

    人民幣實際有效匯率及其失調(diào)狀況的實證研究

短句來源

    The Relationship Analysis between REER Volatility and Import & Export Trade during the Period of Reform and Openness in China

    中國轉(zhuǎn)型期實際有效匯率變動與進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易的相關(guān)性分析

短句來源

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  real effective exchange rate

There is an obvious cointegration between China's export and RMB exchange rate misalignment, real effective exchange rate, domestic GDP and foreign weighted average GDP.

The model is estimated on quarterly data from 1975:02 to 1996:03 and the exchange rate is measured alternatively in terms of the trade and export weighted real effective exchange rate.

This goal was achieved by incorporating the real effective exchange rate into a standard real reserve demand equation from the literature.

Trade liberalization still had a sizeable effect, while other factors had only a little impact (income convergence, real effective exchange rate changes) or played no role (trade costs).

But appreciation is mainly limited to the real effective exchange rate for oil sector and is statistically insignificant for non-oil manufacturing.

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  the effective exchange rate

Test of a simple model of the determination of the effective exchange rate for the mark (March 1973-December 1979)

This paper uses the interest rate parity equation and as well some explanation of exchange rate expectations to explain the movement of the effective exchange rate for the mark over the period March 1973 to December 1979.

The model was estimated for a sample of 13 countries for which the effective exchange rate was available, using pooled quarterly data over the 1973-1985 period.

A notable development is the increased focus on the effective exchange rate as opposed to any particular bilateral rate.

A real depreciation in the effective exchange rate can also adversely affect firms with foreign currency debt.

更多          

Unit-Labor-Cost-Based REER is often used to evaluate a country's International Competitiveness. In view of this, this paper first estimates China's unit labor costs in manufacturing, then we estimate RMB's real effective exchange rate by that index. And based on the measure, we analyze the secular changes of, and source of shock to, China's International Competitiveness.

采用制造業(yè)部門單位勞動力成本指數(shù)(UnitLaborCost,ULC)測算的一國實際有效匯率(REER-ULC)經(jīng)常被用來衡量該國的國際競爭力狀況。鑒于此,本文首先測算了1980￣2002年期間中國制造業(yè)部門的單位勞動力成本指數(shù),然后采用該指數(shù)測算了同時期的人民幣實際有效匯率,在此基礎(chǔ)上,我們對該時期中國國際競爭力的歷史變遷與沖擊來源進(jìn)行了分析。

Real effective exchange rate is an important factor that affects China′s foreign direct investment. Studies showthatthere exists a long-term relationship of cointegration between China′s absorption to FDI and its index of real effectiveexchange rate. Since 1985, China′s real effective exchange has been devaluated on the whole. Renminbi devaluation ofreal effective exchange rate can enhance China′s absorption toFDI, but it is not a reliable source ofChina′s absorptiontoFDI. Therefore, China should adopt a long-termstrategytokeep...

Real effective exchange rate is an important factor that affects China′s foreign direct investment. Studies showthatthere exists a long-term relationship of cointegration between China′s absorption to FDI and its index of real effectiveexchange rate. Since 1985, China′s real effective exchange has been devaluated on the whole. Renminbi devaluation ofreal effective exchange rate can enhance China′s absorption toFDI, but it is not a reliable source ofChina′s absorptiontoFDI. Therefore, China should adopt a long-termstrategytokeep Renminbi exchange rate relativelystable and createa superior investment environment.

實際有效匯率是影響我國外商直接投資的重要因素。我國實際有效匯率與吸收外商直接投資之間存在長期的協(xié)整關(guān)系。1985年以來,我國人民幣實際有效匯率綜合貶值,促進(jìn)了我國吸收外商直接投資,但是人民幣貶值不是我國外商直接投資的可靠來源。保持人民幣匯率相對穩(wěn)定,注重創(chuàng)造良好的投資環(huán)境應(yīng)當(dāng)是我國長期堅持的戰(zhàn)略選擇。

Marshall-Lerner condition holds that if the absolute value of a nation's export flexibility plus that of import flexibility is bigger than one,devalue of home currency can improve international balance of the nation.Since 1995,actual effective exchange rate of RMB,whether calculated by CPI or EPI,and RMB itself are under evaluated and there exists pressure for revalue;the absolute value of Chinese export flexibility plus that of import flexibility is bigger than one and it satisfies Marshall-Lerner precondition...

Marshall-Lerner condition holds that if the absolute value of a nation's export flexibility plus that of import flexibility is bigger than one,devalue of home currency can improve international balance of the nation.Since 1995,actual effective exchange rate of RMB,whether calculated by CPI or EPI,and RMB itself are under evaluated and there exists pressure for revalue;the absolute value of Chinese export flexibility plus that of import flexibility is bigger than one and it satisfies Marshall-Lerner precondition but by calculating the impact of SAM in 2000,we can't draw the conclusion that devalue of RMB calculated by actual effective exchange rate will improve China's trade balance,i.e.,Marshall-Lerner condition is not applicable in China.Conclusions: firstly,revalue of RMB should be handled carefully,mild and slow revalue having less influence upon the society and economy;secondly,revalue of RMB will improve China's trade balance;finally,domestic employment pressure caused by the revalue of RMB will possibly have a negative effect on the formation of capital,individual income tax and transferred payment of government to businesses.

馬歇爾勒納條件認(rèn)為,若一國的出口彈性與進(jìn)口彈性的絕對值之和大于1,則本幣貶值可改善本國國際收支。自1995年以來,無論是按照CPI還是EPI計算的人民幣實際有效匯率,人民幣幣值一直被低估,升值壓力確實存在;中國出口和進(jìn)口彈性的絕對值之和大于1,滿足馬歇爾勒納條件的前提條件。但對2000年SAM沖擊分析的計算結(jié)果表明,不能得到按照實際有效匯率計算的人民幣貶值有助于中國貿(mào)易平衡項得到改善的結(jié)論,即馬歇爾勒納條件在中國不適用。研究結(jié)論:第一,應(yīng)該慎重對待人民幣升值問題,通過溫和、緩慢的升值對社會、經(jīng)濟的影響較小;第二,人民幣升值將有利于改善中國貿(mào)易平衡項;最后,人民幣升值所產(chǎn)生的國內(nèi)就業(yè)壓力將有可能對資本形成、個人所得稅和政府對企業(yè)的轉(zhuǎn)移支付產(chǎn)生一定的消極影響。

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  本文關(guān)鍵詞：國際石油價格和人民幣實際有效匯率對中國經(jīng)濟影響的實證分析，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。