本文選題：廈漳泉 + 相對資源承載力　； 參考：《福建農(nóng)林大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：相對資源承載能力是可持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要體現(xiàn)，可體現(xiàn)某一區(qū)域在一定時期內(nèi)相對于某參照區(qū)其承載資源所能夠供養(yǎng)的人口數(shù)。廈漳泉區(qū)域近年來加快了城市一體化的趨勢，進入了大都市區(qū)同城化建設(shè)階段。從可持續(xù)發(fā)展的視角來看，研究該區(qū)域的相對資源承載力，，對于促進廈漳泉大都市區(qū)的構(gòu)建，增強其可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力，具有重要的現(xiàn)實意義。因此，本文在可持續(xù)發(fā)展理論、灰色系統(tǒng)理論等理論知識的指導下，選取廈漳泉區(qū)域作為研究區(qū)，應用相對資源承載力研究方法對其資源承載力進行研究，從而得出其可持續(xù)發(fā)展過程中面臨的問題，并提出相關(guān)建議。 本文應用相對資源承載力研究方法進行研究，首先通過文獻綜述總結(jié)出該研究方法存在的不足之處。在吸收同類研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上確定研究指標，在灰色系統(tǒng)理論的指導下，選取基于灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度求解指標權(quán)重的改進方法計算指標權(quán)重，從而構(gòu)建整個計算模型。其次，選取福建省作為參照區(qū)，以2004-2011年為參照年份，對廈漳泉區(qū)域的相對資源承載力進行動態(tài)分析，得出其相對資源綜合承載力并不高，并且與實際資源承載人口相比，其承載狀態(tài)從富余到超載，資源與人口之間關(guān)系不協(xié)調(diào)。第三，以福建省為參照區(qū)，對廈漳泉區(qū)域內(nèi)部之間的相對資源承載力的差異進行分析，并總結(jié)其差異所在，主要的差異是廈門市和泉州市在經(jīng)濟資源和社會資源方面比較有優(yōu)勢，漳州市自然資源相對有優(yōu)勢。第四，應用灰色GM（1,1）模型對未來幾年的廈漳泉區(qū)域的資源承載狀況進行動態(tài)預測，得出廈漳泉區(qū)域的相對資源綜合承載力與實際人口相比，承載狀態(tài)將持續(xù)超載，說明廈漳泉區(qū)域的人口與資源關(guān)系矛盾將凸顯。第五，根據(jù)廈漳泉區(qū)域相對資源承載力的橫向和縱向?qū)Ρ�，從相對資源承載力的角度看廈漳泉區(qū)域發(fā)展面臨的問題，主要有人口增長帶來的壓力、自然資源的不合理利用以及區(qū)域之間的經(jīng)濟社會差異等。最后，提出要利用同城化的契機，針對所存在的問題提出相應的對策建議，以期提高廈漳泉區(qū)域的相對資源承載力。
[Abstract]:The relative carrying capacity of resources is an important embodiment of sustainable development, which can reflect the number of population that a certain region can support in a certain period of time relative to a certain reference area. In recent years, Xia-Zhangquan area has quickened the trend of urban integration and entered the construction stage of the same city in metropolitan area. From the perspective of sustainable development, it is of great practical significance to study the relative carrying capacity of resources in this area for promoting the construction of Xia-Zhangquan metropolitan area and enhancing its sustainable development ability. Therefore, under the guidance of the theory of sustainable development and grey system theory, this paper selects the Xia-Zhangquan area as the research area, and applies the research method of relative resource carrying capacity to study its resource carrying capacity. The problems in the process of sustainable development are obtained, and the relevant suggestions are put forward. In this paper, the relative carrying capacity of resources is studied. Firstly, the shortcomings of this method are summarized through literature review. Under the guidance of grey system theory, an improved method of calculating index weight based on grey correlation degree is selected to calculate the index weight on the basis of absorbing the same research results, and the whole calculation model is constructed. Secondly, taking Fujian Province as the reference area and taking 2004-2011 as the reference year, the paper makes a dynamic analysis of the relative resource carrying capacity of Xia-Zhangquan area, and concludes that the relative comprehensive carrying capacity of resources is not high, and compared with the actual resources carrying population, Its bearing state is from surplus to overload, and the relationship between resources and population is not in harmony. Thirdly, taking Fujian Province as a reference area, the paper analyzes the difference of relative resource carrying capacity between Xiazhang and Zhangquan regions, and summarizes the difference between them. The main difference is that Xiamen and Quanzhou have more advantages in economic and social resources, and Zhangzhou has relative advantages in natural resources. Fourthly, the grey GMM1Q1) model is used to dynamically predict the resource carrying capacity of Xia-Zhangquan area in the next few years. It is concluded that the relative comprehensive carrying capacity of resources in Xia-Zhangquan area will continue to be overloaded compared with the actual population. It shows that the contradiction between population and resources in Xia-Zhangquan area will be highlighted. Fifthly, according to the horizontal and vertical comparison of the relative resource carrying capacity in the Xia-Zhangquan area, from the perspective of the relative resource carrying capacity, the problems facing the development of the Xia-Zhangquan region are mainly caused by the pressure of population growth. Unreasonable use of natural resources and regional economic and social differences. Finally, the paper puts forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions in view of the existing problems, in order to improve the relative carrying capacity of resources in Xia-Zhangquan area.
【學位授予單位】：福建農(nóng)林大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F205;F127

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