本文選題：復(fù)雜網(wǎng)絡(luò) + DEA方法��； 參考：《天津大學(xué)》2013年博士論文

【摘要】：濰坊作為山東半島都市群的核心城市，在山東省的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長中扮演了重要的角色。濰坊市正處在轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式，調(diào)整優(yōu)化經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)，全面建設(shè)小康社會(huì)的關(guān)鍵時(shí)期。2011年山東半島藍(lán)色經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)建設(shè)正式上升為國家戰(zhàn)略為濰坊市提供了重要的發(fā)展機(jī)遇。本文綜合使用DEA、SFA和和復(fù)雜網(wǎng)絡(luò)分析方法，從宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)、科技園區(qū)以及工業(yè)企業(yè)三個(gè)層面對濰坊市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展效率進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析與評價(jià)，為地方政府及相關(guān)決策部門評估區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀、調(diào)整相關(guān)政策、協(xié)調(diào)各方關(guān)系提供了重要的參考資料和政策分析工具。本文主要分為以下幾個(gè)部分： 第一章為緒論。本章主要提出本論文選題的背景、理論意義和實(shí)踐意義，接下來對國內(nèi)外相關(guān)本領(lǐng)域內(nèi)的相關(guān)研究文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行綜述和評價(jià)，提出本論文研究的思路、主要內(nèi)容和使用的研究方法，本章最后概括出本文的主要?jiǎng)?chuàng)新點(diǎn)。 第二章為理論概述。本部分主要對本文的理論基礎(chǔ)進(jìn)行介紹，主要包括灰色系統(tǒng)理論、全要素效率評價(jià)理論、新經(jīng)濟(jì)地理理論、區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)“中心-外圍”理論。 第三章為基于DEA的濰坊市宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行效率評價(jià)與預(yù)測。本部分首先對濰坊市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的基本面進(jìn)行分析，從GDP及其增速、總體投資水平、全社會(huì)總體消費(fèi)狀況、進(jìn)出口總額以及產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)五個(gè)方面考察了濰坊市的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，接下來對濰坊市的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平進(jìn)行縱向和橫向比較，并對濰坊市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的宏觀效率、全要素生產(chǎn)率進(jìn)行了評價(jià)，最后通過灰色馬爾科夫預(yù)測方法對濰坊市的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展指標(biāo)進(jìn)行了預(yù)測。通過分析得出，濰坊市的GDP、投資總額和消費(fèi)支出總額都呈現(xiàn)快速增長趨勢，進(jìn)出口總額低于省內(nèi)其他沿海城市，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)存在不合理問題，自主創(chuàng)新能力不強(qiáng)，經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式亟需轉(zhuǎn)變。通過DEA評價(jià)的濰坊市全要素生產(chǎn)率良好，但整體發(fā)展不均衡，主要原因?yàn)樾袠I(yè)發(fā)展不均衡、資本運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)不合理以及外部市場環(huán)境的影響。濰坊市的產(chǎn)業(yè)集群具有明顯的集聚效應(yīng)，明顯提高了地區(qū)生產(chǎn)率水平，促進(jìn)了區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新，促進(jìn)了技術(shù)進(jìn)步指數(shù)和技術(shù)效率的提高。 第四章為基于復(fù)雜網(wǎng)絡(luò)的濰坊科技園區(qū)發(fā)展研究。本章首先對國內(nèi)外科技園區(qū)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了總結(jié)，并著重分析了科技園區(qū)的產(chǎn)業(yè)路徑和經(jīng)營風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，接下來對濰坊市科技園區(qū)的規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)及其影響因素進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究，最后分別通過區(qū)間層次分析法以及超效率DEA模型對濰坊市科技園區(qū)的競爭力進(jìn)行了評價(jià)。通過分析得出以下結(jié)論：產(chǎn)業(yè)園區(qū)的發(fā)展模式主要包括自有企業(yè)發(fā)展模式、外部企業(yè)發(fā)展模式和產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈模式。從惡意攻擊和隨機(jī)攻擊的魯棒性分析和比較中可以發(fā)現(xiàn)，具有多個(gè)核心的產(chǎn)業(yè)園區(qū)抵御風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的能力明顯優(yōu)于前兩種園區(qū)類型，在招商模式上，產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈招商的優(yōu)勢非常明顯。濰坊并不具備全面發(fā)展服務(wù)外包的條件，濰坊在產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展中的優(yōu)勢在于人口基數(shù)和穩(wěn)健的GDP增長水平。濰坊與示范城市的差距主要來自以航空交通線路為代表的交通條件和以高等院校數(shù)量為代表的高等人力資源水平。通過超效率DEA模型對濰坊科技園區(qū)競爭力進(jìn)行評價(jià)看出，濰坊的得分較低，具備發(fā)展新興科技產(chǎn)業(yè)的必要條件，在全國基本處于中上游的水平，與全國領(lǐng)先城市的差距較大。 第五章為濰坊市企業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率評價(jià)。主要是應(yīng)用隨機(jī)前沿模型對濰坊市工業(yè)企業(yè)的技術(shù)效率進(jìn)行全面的評價(jià)分析。根據(jù)分析結(jié)果，從不同行業(yè)、企業(yè)規(guī)模、產(chǎn)權(quán)結(jié)構(gòu)以及市場勢力四個(gè)方面對濰坊市工業(yè)企業(yè)的技術(shù)效率進(jìn)行了統(tǒng)計(jì)分析。根據(jù)分析結(jié)果以及分類統(tǒng)計(jì)可以看出，在不同行業(yè)分類中，醫(yī)藥制造業(yè)和裝備制造業(yè)的技術(shù)效率較高；在不同產(chǎn)權(quán)結(jié)構(gòu)的企業(yè)中，國有企業(yè)的技術(shù)效率較高而民營企業(yè)技術(shù)效率最低；不同規(guī)模的企業(yè)中，企業(yè)的技術(shù)效率與企業(yè)規(guī)模之間表現(xiàn)出顯著的正相關(guān)性；根據(jù)不同的市場競爭程度來看，，市場勢力過大或者市場競爭對手過多都會(huì)導(dǎo)致技術(shù)效率的下降。對于濰坊市工業(yè)企業(yè)來講，需要著重關(guān)注技術(shù)效率較低的企業(yè)群體，加大對這部分企業(yè)的政策支持力度。 第六章為研究結(jié)論、政策建議與展望。本部分主要總結(jié)了本論文前幾章研究的主要觀點(diǎn)和結(jié)論，在這些結(jié)論的基礎(chǔ)之上，從宏觀、產(chǎn)業(yè)和企業(yè)三個(gè)層面提出了提升濰坊市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展效率的相關(guān)政策建議，本章最后總結(jié)了本研究存在的局限性以及對未來研究展望。
[Abstract]:Weifang, as the core city of the Shandong peninsula urban agglomeration, plays an important role in the economic growth of Shandong province. Weifang is in the key period of transforming the economic development mode, adjusting the economic structure and building a well-off society in an all-round way in the period of.2011, the construction of the Blue Economic Zone in Shandong peninsula is up to the national strategy for Weifang city. In this paper, we use DEA, SFA and complex network analysis methods to analyze and evaluate the economic development efficiency of Weifang from the three layers of macro economy, science and Technology Park and industrial enterprise, and evaluate the regional economic development status of local government and relevant decision-making departments, adjust relevant policies and coordinate all parties. Relationships provide important reference materials and policy analysis tools. This article is divided into the following sections:
The first chapter is the introduction. This chapter mainly puts forward the background, theoretical and practical significance of this thesis, and then reviews and evaluates the relevant literature in this field at home and abroad, and puts forward the ideas, main contents and methods of research in this thesis. At the end of this chapter, the main innovation of this paper is summarized.
The second chapter is an overview of the theory. This part mainly introduces the theoretical basis of this article, mainly including the grey system theory, the total factor efficiency evaluation theory, the new economic geography theory and the "center periphery" theory of regional economy.
The third chapter is the evaluation and prediction of the macro economic efficiency of Weifang based on the analysis of the basic aspects of the economic development of Weifang. From the GDP and its growth, the overall investment level, the overall social consumption, the total import and export and the industrial structure of the five aspects of Weifang, the economic development status of the city is examined, and the following is the following. The economic development level of Weifang is compared vertically and horizontally, and the macro efficiency and total factor productivity of Weifang's economic development are evaluated. Finally, the economic development index of Weifang is predicted by the grey Markov forecast method. Through the analysis, the GDP, total investment and total consumption expenditure of Weifang city are obtained. The total import and export volume is lower than the other coastal cities in the province, the industrial structure is not reasonable, the ability of independent innovation is not strong, the economic development mode needs to be changed. The total factor productivity of Weifang city is good, but the overall development is not balanced through DEA. The main reason is the unbalanced development of the industry and the unreasonable operation of the capital. As well as the influence of the external market environment, the industrial cluster in Weifang has obvious agglomeration effect, which has obviously improved the productivity level of the region, promoted the innovation of regional industry, and promoted the improvement of technological progress index and technical efficiency.
The fourth chapter is the development research of Weifang science and Technology Park Based on complex network. This chapter first summarizes the development status of science and Technology Parks at home and abroad, and focuses on the analysis of the industrial path and management risk of the science and technology park. Then, the scale economy and the influencing factors of Weifang science and technology park are empirically studied. Interval analytic hierarchy process and super efficiency DEA model are used to evaluate the competitiveness of Weifang science and technology park. Through analysis, the following conclusions are drawn: the development mode of Industrial Park mainly includes the development model of private enterprise, the development mode of external enterprise and the model of industry chain. It can be found that the ability to resist risks in industrial parks with multiple cores is obviously superior to the first two types of park. In the investment model, the advantages of industrial chain investment are very obvious. Weifang does not have the conditions for the overall development of service outsourcing, and the advantages of Weifang in the industrial development are in the population base and the steady GDP growth level. Weifang and The gap between the demonstration cities mainly comes from the traffic conditions represented by air traffic lines and the level of higher human resources represented by the number of institutions of higher learning. The evaluation of the competitiveness of Weifang science and technology park through the super efficiency DEA model shows that Weifang has a low score and has the necessary conditions for developing new technology industry. In the upper and middle reaches, the gap between China and the leading cities in the country is relatively large.
The fifth chapter is the evaluation of the production efficiency of the enterprises in Weifang. It mainly applies the stochastic frontier model to the comprehensive evaluation and analysis of the technical efficiency of the industrial enterprises in Weifang. According to the analysis results, the technical efficiency of the industrial enterprises in Weifang is statistically analyzed from four aspects of different industries, enterprise scale, property right structure and market power. According to the analysis results and the classification statistics, it can be seen that the technical efficiency of the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry and the equipment manufacturing industry is higher in different industries. In the enterprises with different property rights structure, the technical efficiency of the state-owned enterprises is higher while the private enterprises have the lowest technical efficiency; in different scale enterprises, the technological efficiency of the enterprises and the scale of the enterprises There is a significant positive correlation between them. According to the different market competition, too much market power or too many market competitors will lead to a decline in technical efficiency. For industrial enterprises in Weifang, it is necessary to pay more attention to the lower technical efficiency of the enterprise group and strengthen the policy support for this part of the enterprises.
The sixth chapter is the research conclusion, policy suggestion and prospect. This part mainly summarizes the main views and conclusions of the previous chapters of this paper. On the basis of these conclusions, it puts forward relevant policy suggestions to improve the economic development efficiency of Weifang from three aspects of macro, industrial and enterprise. Finally, this chapter summarizes the limitations of this research. Sex and prospects for future research.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F127;F224

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 薛婕;周景博;羅宏;趙娟;路超君;;基于DEA的產(chǎn)業(yè)園區(qū)循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)效率評價(jià)[J];環(huán)境科學(xué)與管理;2009年12期

2 王良舉;王永培;;我國農(nóng)村流通產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)效率及其影響因素——基于隨機(jī)前沿模型的分析[J];北京工商大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版);2011年03期

3 楊淑云;于良春;;中國電力產(chǎn)業(yè)效率和生產(chǎn)率變動(dòng)的實(shí)證研究[J];財(cái)經(jīng)論叢;2008年03期

4 朱松;夏冬林;;穩(wěn)健會(huì)計(jì)政策、投資機(jī)會(huì)與企業(yè)投資效率[J];財(cái)經(jīng)研究;2010年06期

5 鐘祖昌;;基于三階段DEA模型的中國物流產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)效率研究[J];財(cái)經(jīng)研究;2010年09期

6 徐盈之;管建偉;;中國區(qū)域能源效率趨同性研究:基于空間經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)視角[J];財(cái)經(jīng)研究;2011年01期

7 彭中文;何新城;;所有權(quán)性質(zhì)、產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚與FDI技術(shù)效率溢出——來自中國裝備制造業(yè)的經(jīng)驗(yàn)證據(jù)[J];財(cái)經(jīng)研究;2011年06期

8 何楓;金融中介發(fā)展對中國技術(shù)效率影響的實(shí)證分析[J];財(cái)貿(mào)研究;2003年06期

9 管曦;楊江帆;;中國精制茶加工企業(yè)技術(shù)效率的分析[J];茶葉科學(xué);2011年02期

10 宗寒;;正確認(rèn)識(shí)國有企業(yè)的作用和效率——與劉瑞、石磊先生商榷[J];當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2011年02期

本文編號：1859325