本文選題：西部地區(qū) + 經(jīng)濟可持續(xù)發(fā)展��； 參考：《成都理工大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：西部經(jīng)濟的可持續(xù)發(fā)展離不開石油能源系統(tǒng)的強力支撐。本文主要研究結(jié)果如下：（1）基于經(jīng)典C-D模型的PE關(guān)聯(lián)模型研究發(fā)現(xiàn)西部石油消費對經(jīng)濟增長具有支撐促進作用，并且石油消費對于經(jīng)濟增長作用表現(xiàn)出正向促進作用。（2）基于主成分分析法和灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度分析的西部石油消費與環(huán)境關(guān)系研究發(fā)現(xiàn)西部地區(qū)石油消費對生態(tài)環(huán)境有負(fù)向促進作用。(3）西部地區(qū)石油-經(jīng)濟-環(huán)境三大系統(tǒng)的協(xié)調(diào)度研究發(fā)現(xiàn)，西部地區(qū)各個系統(tǒng)之間的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展?fàn)顟B(tài)還有提升的空間。（4）多目標(biāo)規(guī)劃仿真模型研究發(fā)現(xiàn)，基本行為模式和單純追求經(jīng)濟高速增長的快速發(fā)展模式是不可持續(xù)發(fā)展模式；與基本行為模式相比，可持續(xù)發(fā)展模式考慮西部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟持續(xù)穩(wěn)定增長,又兼顧石油能源資源的合理開發(fā)與利用，以及生態(tài)環(huán)境保護，能夠降低西部地區(qū)石油資源供需缺口，能夠提高其對經(jīng)濟可持續(xù)發(fā)展的支撐效能。 本項目將研究對象鎖定西部地區(qū)石油、經(jīng)濟、環(huán)境之間關(guān)系；采用雙向分析方法分析石油-經(jīng)濟，石油-環(huán)境之間的關(guān)系，揭示復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)之間的關(guān)系；基于復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)建模的思想，，研究三者的可持續(xù)發(fā)展測度，建立包含經(jīng)濟、石油和環(huán)境系統(tǒng)的仿真系統(tǒng)，對西部石油支撐效能進行綜合評價。石油能源作為經(jīng)濟增長重要因素，其在經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中的應(yīng)當(dāng)發(fā)揮重要作用，同時要注重生態(tài)環(huán)境的承受能力.
[Abstract]:The sustainable development of western economy can not be separated from the strong support of petroleum energy system. The main results of this paper are as follows: (1) the PE correlation model based on the classical C-D model shows that oil consumption in the west of China can support and promote economic growth. And oil consumption has a positive promoting effect on economic growth. (2) based on principal component analysis and grey correlation analysis, the relationship between oil consumption and environment in western China is studied. It is found that oil consumption in western China has a positive effect on ecological environment. The study on the coordination degree of the petroleum, economic and environmental systems in the western part of China shows that, The coordinated development of various systems in the western region also has a space of improvement. The simulation model of multi-objective programming shows that the basic behavior model and the rapid development mode of pursuing the rapid economic growth are the unsustainable development models. Compared with the basic behavior model, the sustainable development model can reduce the gap between the supply and demand of petroleum resources in the western region by considering the sustained and stable economic growth in the western region, taking into account the rational development and utilization of petroleum energy resources and the protection of the ecological environment. It can improve its support efficiency for sustainable economic development. This project will focus on the relationship among petroleum, economy and environment in the western region, analyze the relationship between petroleum economy and petroleum environment by using two-way analysis method, and reveal the relationship between complex systems. Based on the idea of complex system modeling, this paper studies the measurement of sustainable development of the three systems, establishes a simulation system including economic, petroleum and environmental systems, and comprehensively evaluates the petroleum support effectiveness in western China. As an important factor of economic growth, petroleum energy should play an important role in economic development and pay attention to the bearing capacity of ecological environment at the same time.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：成都理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F127;F426.22;F224

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