本文選題：外貿(mào) + 外資��； 參考：《浙江工業(yè)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著全球一體化進(jìn)程的加快,大大加深了各國間經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域的互相往來與交流,外貿(mào)和外資也日益呈現(xiàn)自由化和全球化的趨勢,已成為推動經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的重要推力。然后,隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平變化,外貿(mào)外資這兩種國際化推動方式對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效應(yīng)的變化更加具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文根據(jù)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平差異,將我國劃分為東部、中部和西部地區(qū)。首先回顧了外貿(mào)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系理論、外資與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系理論、外貿(mào)外資組合與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系理論、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系；其次從理論機(jī)制上分析了外貿(mào)外資是通過何種渠道來促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長,在不同經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)水平,出口、進(jìn)口和外商直接投對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效應(yīng)的強(qiáng)弱是如何進(jìn)行變化的；然后分別從總體和區(qū)域發(fā)展角度定性和定量分析了外貿(mào)外資、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀。最后,按照加入世貿(mào)組織為臨界點(diǎn),將東部、中部和西部劃分成不同的兩個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展階段和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展階段,來研究各個(gè)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展變化和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進(jìn)使得國際化推動因素對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效應(yīng)的變化情況,并論證經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平提高是否基于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演進(jìn)。 實(shí)證結(jié)果表明,在不同經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平下,發(fā)達(dá)東部地區(qū)出口的經(jīng)濟(jì)促進(jìn)效應(yīng)最大,但是對經(jīng)濟(jì)的推動作用在減弱；相對落后的中西部地區(qū)進(jìn)口的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效應(yīng)比東部地區(qū)更大,而且進(jìn)口的推動作用在增強(qiáng)；FDI的流入對三大地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長作用都在增強(qiáng)。基本符合理論預(yù)期；在不同產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展水平下,東部地區(qū)出口作用減弱,進(jìn)口作用開始增強(qiáng)；中部地區(qū)出口對經(jīng)濟(jì)促進(jìn)作用變得顯著,進(jìn)口作用增強(qiáng);西部地區(qū)出口對經(jīng)濟(jì)促進(jìn)作用增強(qiáng),進(jìn)口作用有上升；外資的流入除了中部地區(qū)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長作用有略微下降,對東部和西部的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效應(yīng)都在增強(qiáng),其結(jié)果基本符合理論預(yù)期,也同經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平差異下,各經(jīng)濟(jì)增長要素變化趨勢相似。 最后,根據(jù)實(shí)證結(jié)果及描述性分析結(jié)論,我國外貿(mào)外資的政策組合也應(yīng)該隨經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展而調(diào)整,以此對今后外貿(mào)外資的發(fā)展提出政策建議。
[Abstract]:With the acceleration of the process of global integration, the economic exchanges and exchanges between countries have been greatly deepened, and foreign trade and foreign investment have increasingly shown the trend of liberalization and globalization, which has become an important thrust to promote economic growth. Then, with the change of the level of economic development, the two modes of promoting foreign trade and foreign investment play an important role in the change of economic growth effect. According to the difference of economic development level, this paper divides our country into eastern, central and western regions. Firstly, it reviews the theory of the relationship between foreign trade and economic growth, the relationship between foreign capital and economic growth, the combination of foreign trade and economic growth, and the relationship between economic growth and industrial structure. Secondly, from the theoretical mechanism, it analyzes the channels through which foreign trade and foreign investment promote economic growth, export at different levels of economic development and industrial structure. How to change the effect of import and foreign direct investment on economic growth, and then qualitatively and quantitatively analyze foreign investment, economic development level and industrial structure from the perspective of overall and regional development. Finally, according to the entry into the WTO as a critical point, the eastern, central and western regions are divided into two stages of economic development and industrial structure development. To study the changes of economic development and industrial structure evolution in various regions, and to demonstrate whether the improvement of economic development level is based on the evolution of industrial structure. The empirical results show that, under different economic development levels, the economic promotion effect of export in the developed eastern region is the largest, but the economic promotion effect is weakening, and the economic growth effect of import in the relatively backward central and western regions is greater than that in the eastern region. Moreover, the impact of import on the economic growth of the three regions is enhanced. Under the different industrial structure development level, the eastern region's export function weakens, the import function begins to strengthen, the central region export's function to the economy becomes remarkable, the import function strengthens; In the western region, the role of exports in promoting the economy has increased, while the role of imports has increased. Except for the central region, the inflow of foreign capital has a slight decline in the role of economic growth, and the effect on economic growth in the eastern and western regions is increasing. The result basically accords with the theory expectation and the trend of the change of the factors of economic growth is similar with the difference of the economic development level. Finally, according to the empirical results and descriptive analysis conclusions, the policy combination of foreign trade and foreign investment should be adjusted with the economic development in order to put forward policy recommendations for the development of foreign trade and foreign investment in the future.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F752;F124

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