本文選題：快遞業(yè) + 投入產(chǎn)出　； 參考：《北京郵電大學》2013年博士論文

【摘要】：快遞業(yè)是一個高速發(fā)展的行業(yè)。自2003年來,全球快遞業(yè)營業(yè)額年均增長4%以上,快于世界經(jīng)濟增長的平均速度。中國已成全球快遞業(yè)增長最快區(qū)域。據(jù)不完全統(tǒng)計,自1990年以來,中國快遞物流市場年增長率在30%以上,是同期GDP平均增長率的3倍。這種增長對中國國民經(jīng)濟和各個產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展具有著怎樣的意義?快遞業(yè)的發(fā)展到底怎樣影響著國民經(jīng)濟?這些疑問已經(jīng)成為業(yè)內非常關心的話題,對這些疑問的解答也將對中國快遞業(yè)的發(fā)展產(chǎn)生深遠的影響。本文的研究也基于這種思考而展開。 本文的研究分為七章。 第一章為引言,回顧了中國快遞業(yè)的發(fā)展歷程,對快遞業(yè)相關研究文獻做了綜述,在此基礎上,提出了本文所要研究的問題,論證了本文的研究意義。 第二章為相關理論及方法述評,對本文接下來的研究中所要用到的相關理論進行了介紹,包括投入產(chǎn)出分析、產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈分析以及系統(tǒng)動力學分析的理論基礎。 第三章是中國快遞業(yè)的投入產(chǎn)出分析,在編制2007年投入產(chǎn)出調整表的基礎上,對快遞業(yè)對國民經(jīng)濟和社會發(fā)展的直接貢獻和間接貢獻分別進行了測算,系統(tǒng)、全面的評價了快遞業(yè)對中國國民經(jīng)濟和產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的貢獻。 第四章是中國快遞業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈分析,在對快遞業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈縱向關系鏈條和橫向關系鏈條進行分析的基礎上,繪制了中國快遞業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈結構模型,并對快遞業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的形成機理、存在問題和發(fā)展趨勢進行了深入分析。 第五章是中國快遞業(yè)對國民經(jīng)濟增長作用途徑分析。從對經(jīng)濟增長的概念和理論分析入手,以1985年-2011年中國經(jīng)濟增長的實際數(shù)據(jù)為基礎進行了實證分析,揭示了中國經(jīng)濟增長的基本因素,以及快遞業(yè)與上述基本要素間的相互影響和作用關系,系統(tǒng)歸納和整理了快遞業(yè)對經(jīng)濟增長發(fā)揮作用的三種基本途徑。 第六章是中國快遞業(yè)與國民經(jīng)濟增長間相互作用關系的系統(tǒng)動力學分析,在論文前幾章分析的基礎上,本章建立了快遞業(yè)與國民經(jīng)濟增長間相互作用關系的系統(tǒng)動力學仿真模型,并進行了仿真和控制,并在仿真和控制分析基礎上,得出了一些對快遞產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展有價值的結論。 第七章是促進中國快遞業(yè)發(fā)展的政策措施建議,在前述分析基礎上,提出了促進中國快遞業(yè)發(fā)展的政策和措施建議。 第八章是結束語,闡明了本文的主要研究成果和未盡之處。
[Abstract]:Express delivery industry is a high-speed development of the industry. Since 2003, the annual turnover of the global express delivery industry has increased by more than 4 percent annually, faster than the average growth rate of the world economy. China has become the world's fastest growing express industry. According to incomplete statistics, since 1990, the annual growth rate of Chinese express logistics market is more than 30%, which is three times the average growth rate of GDP in the same period. What is the significance of this growth to the development of China's national economy and various industries? How does the development of express delivery industry affect the national economy? These questions have become a topic of great concern in the industry, and the answers to these questions will have a profound impact on the development of the Chinese express industry. The research of this paper is also based on this kind of thinking. This paper is divided into seven chapters. The first chapter is the introduction, reviews the development of express delivery industry in China, and summarizes the related research literature of express delivery industry. On the basis of this, it puts forward the problems to be studied in this paper and demonstrates the significance of the research. The second chapter is a review of relevant theories and methods, including the theoretical basis of input-output analysis, industry chain analysis and system dynamics analysis. The third chapter is the input-output analysis of Chinese express industry. On the basis of compiling the input-output adjustment table in 2007, the direct and indirect contributions of express delivery industry to the national economy and social development are calculated respectively. The contribution of express delivery industry to China's national economy and industry development is comprehensively evaluated. The fourth chapter is the analysis of China express industry chain. Based on the analysis of vertical and horizontal relationship chain of express industry chain, the structure model of Chinese express industry chain is drawn, and the forming mechanism of express industry chain is also discussed. The existing problems and development trend are analyzed in depth. The fifth chapter is the Chinese express industry to the national economy growth function way analysis. Based on the analysis of the concept and theory of economic growth, based on the actual data of China's economic growth from 1985 to 2011, this paper reveals the basic factors of China's economic growth. As well as the interaction and relationship between express delivery industry and the above basic elements, three basic ways for express delivery industry to play a role in economic growth are summarized and sorted out systematically. The sixth chapter is the system dynamics analysis of the interaction between the express industry and the national economic growth in China, based on the analysis of the previous chapters. In this chapter, the system dynamics simulation model of the interaction between express delivery industry and national economic growth is established, and the simulation and control are carried out. On the basis of simulation and control analysis, some valuable conclusions are obtained for the development of express delivery industry. The seventh chapter is the policy and measures to promote the development of express industry in China, based on the above analysis, put forward the policies and measures to promote the development of express industry in China. The eighth chapter is the conclusion, expounding the main research achievements and unfinished parts of this paper.
【學位授予單位】：北京郵電大學
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F259.2;F124.1

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