發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-04-28 17:57

  本文選題：技術(shù)選擇 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)　； 參考：《揚(yáng)州大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：關(guān)于如何促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí),多年來一直是學(xué)術(shù)界研究的重點(diǎn),同時(shí)也受到各級(jí)政府的強(qiáng)烈關(guān)注。同時(shí),我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)也出現(xiàn)了許多問題,表現(xiàn)在：第二產(chǎn)業(yè)比重相對(duì)較高,且呈現(xiàn)繼續(xù)上升勢(shì)頭；高耗能產(chǎn)業(yè)比重過大,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的能源效益差。目前我國正處于中上等收入國家向高收入國家邁進(jìn)的關(guān)鍵時(shí)期,進(jìn)行產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整,實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型,對(duì)于成功跨越中等收入陷阱具有至關(guān)重要的作用。 本文首先梳理了技術(shù)選擇與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的相關(guān)理論,發(fā)現(xiàn)了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整以及技術(shù)進(jìn)步促進(jìn)了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)等一些規(guī)律。然后本文分析了江蘇省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的現(xiàn)狀,發(fā)現(xiàn)江蘇省第二產(chǎn)業(yè)仍占國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值的絕大部分,而第三產(chǎn)業(yè)總體上也保持較快增長勢(shì)頭,在第三產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部,現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)占第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的比重,已經(jīng)超過了傳統(tǒng)服務(wù)業(yè)。而江蘇省三大區(qū)域蘇南、蘇中與蘇北的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)狀況有著明顯的差別,蘇中明顯劣于蘇南,而蘇北又略差于蘇中。接著,本文基于柯布一道格拉斯函數(shù),建立了技術(shù)選擇與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的理論模型。最后,選用江蘇省1990-2011年的時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)與各地級(jí)市面板數(shù)據(jù)模型對(duì)該模型進(jìn)行實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)。 研究結(jié)果表明,在長期內(nèi),一方面,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的資本深化有利于推動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)。并且,在各地級(jí)市中,蘇北地區(qū)正處于資本深化快速提高的階段,在這一階段,其第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的資本深化對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的作用尤為突出；而蘇南地區(qū)的資本深化程度也在緩步提高,其第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的資本深化對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)也有一定的作用。另一方面,提高江蘇省第二產(chǎn)業(yè)的人均產(chǎn)出水平,能夠“帶動(dòng)”第三產(chǎn)業(yè)人均產(chǎn)出水平更大程度的提高,但從各個(gè)地級(jí)市來說,這種“帶動(dòng)”效果不太明顯。因此,在推動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的關(guān)鍵在于,加大第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的資本投入。最后,本文針對(duì)實(shí)證研究的結(jié)論,從產(chǎn)業(yè)與企業(yè)角度分別提出了一些政策建議。
[Abstract]:How to promote the upgrading of industrial structure has been the focus of academic research for many years, but also received strong attention from governments at all levels. At the same time, there are many problems in the industrial structure of our country, which are: the proportion of the secondary industry is relatively high, and it continues to rise, and the proportion of the high-energy-consuming industry is too large, the energy efficiency of the industrial structure is poor. At present, our country is in the key period that the middle and upper income countries are striding to the high income countries. It is very important for us to successfully cross the middle income trap by adjusting the industrial structure and realizing the economic transformation. This paper first combs the relevant theories of technology selection and industrial structure, and finds some laws that industrial structure adjustment and technological progress promote industrial structure upgrading. Then this paper analyzes the present situation of Jiangsu's industrial structure, and finds that the secondary industry still accounts for the vast majority of the gross domestic product in Jiangsu Province, and the tertiary industry, as a whole, also maintains a relatively rapid growth momentum, within the tertiary industry. The proportion of modern service industry in the tertiary industry has exceeded the traditional service industry. The industrial structure of the three regions of Jiangsu Province is obviously different from that of the south of Jiangsu province, and the industrial structure of the central Jiangsu is inferior to the south of Jiangsu, and the north of Jiangsu is a little worse than that of the middle of Jiangsu. Then, based on Cobb-Douglas function, a theoretical model of technology selection and industrial structure upgrading is established. Finally, the time series data of Jiangsu Province from 1990 to 2011 and the panel data model of each prefecture-level city are used to test the model. The results show that, in the long run, on the one hand, the capital deepening of the tertiary industry is conducive to promote the upgrading of industrial structure. Moreover, in each prefecture-level city, northern Jiangsu is in the stage of rapid capital deepening, in which the role of capital deepening of the tertiary industry in upgrading the industrial structure is particularly prominent. The degree of capital deepening in southern Jiangsu is also increasing slowly, and the capital deepening of tertiary industry plays a certain role in upgrading the industrial structure. On the other hand, raising the per capita output level of the secondary industry in Jiangsu Province can promote the per capita output level of the tertiary industry to a greater extent, but from each prefectural level city, the effect of this kind of "driving" is not obvious. Therefore, the key to promote the upgrading of industrial structure is to increase the capital input of tertiary industry. Finally, based on the conclusions of empirical research, this paper puts forward some policy recommendations from the angle of industry and enterprise.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：揚(yáng)州大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F279.2

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 田笑豐;技術(shù)創(chuàng)新與我國IT產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)[J];商業(yè)研究;2003年01期

2 劉麗;任保平;;工資對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的影響——基于中國經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)的分析[J];財(cái)經(jīng)科學(xué);2011年06期

3 王春麗;宋連方;;金融發(fā)展影響產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的實(shí)證研究[J];財(cái)經(jīng)問題研究;2011年06期

4 陸長平;對(duì)新古典經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)技術(shù)選擇“悖論”的理論反思[J];財(cái)經(jīng)理論與實(shí)踐;2002年03期

5 曾國平;王燕飛;;中國金融發(fā)展與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷[J];財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2007年08期

6 馬成文;張志平;;居民消費(fèi)對(duì)我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展影響效應(yīng)分析[J];財(cái)貿(mào)研究;2007年04期

7 黃茂興;李軍軍;;海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)技術(shù)選擇與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的關(guān)聯(lián)研究[J];福建論壇(人文社會(huì)科學(xué)版);2008年06期

8 周叔蓮,王偉光;科技創(chuàng)新與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級(jí)[J];管理世界;2001年05期

9 李傳殿;;江蘇產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級(jí)問題探討[J];江蘇社會(huì)科學(xué);2011年05期

10 何曉媛;許麗娜;;浙江中等收入群體消費(fèi)狀況對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇;2010年01期

，

本文編號(hào)：1816293