本文選題：四川省 + 可持續(xù)發(fā)展��； 參考：《西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：20世紀(jì)80年代以來,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)經(jīng)歷了飛速發(fā)展,國家綜合實(shí)力和人民生活水平都得到了顯著的提高,人均收入不斷增長,增速居于世界前列。然而,以經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)為中心的發(fā)展方式遭遇了越來越多的問題,在積累了大量的物質(zhì)、資源財(cái)富之后,人與社會(huì)、經(jīng)濟(jì)、環(huán)境之間發(fā)展不和諧的情況逐漸顯著,甚至阻礙了經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,環(huán)境污染、資源過度開發(fā)等問題的日益嚴(yán)重,使人們意識(shí)到：經(jīng)濟(jì)上過快的發(fā)展,過度透支了未來的資源,也造成了發(fā)展的不可持續(xù),因此需要尋求一種可以延伸至未來的發(fā)展方式——可持續(xù)發(fā)展。 四川省的人口數(shù)量在全國所有省份中居第四位,屬于人口大省,除了與其他省有相同的發(fā)展問題之外,還存在“人口多、底子薄、不平衡、欠發(fā)達(dá)”的獨(dú)特省情,同時(shí)還面臨著增強(qiáng)的資源環(huán)境束縛、加劇的社會(huì)矛盾等等的壓力和挑戰(zhàn)。在四川省“十二五”規(guī)劃的指導(dǎo)思想中分別重點(diǎn)強(qiáng)調(diào)了經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、環(huán)境及人口等方面的協(xié)調(diào)、可持續(xù)發(fā)展。因此,對(duì)于四川省可持續(xù)發(fā)展水平的評(píng)測(cè)就極為必要。 本文首先從可持續(xù)發(fā)展的定義出發(fā),梳理可持續(xù)發(fā)展理念的發(fā)展過程,綜合國內(nèi)外的理論研究,將可持續(xù)發(fā)展的范疇界定為在橫向上各個(gè)子系統(tǒng)之間不分伯仲、協(xié)調(diào)一致,在縱向上注重未來的發(fā)展?jié)摿ε囵B(yǎng)的發(fā)展。并對(duì)已有的區(qū)域可持續(xù)發(fā)展研究進(jìn)行了回顧與評(píng)述,基于評(píng)價(jià)方法多元化、子系統(tǒng)劃分差異化以及評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)選擇多樣化的情況,結(jié)合四川省基本省情,提出了本文對(duì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展研究所關(guān)注的問題。同時(shí),本文對(duì)已有的相關(guān)研究方法進(jìn)行了總結(jié),進(jìn)而結(jié)合本文對(duì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的研究要求與方法的優(yōu)劣性排序,選擇了改進(jìn)功效系數(shù)法作為對(duì)四川省可持續(xù)發(fā)展水平的研究方法。 在此基礎(chǔ)上,綜合各方研究,本文確立了經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、環(huán)境三個(gè)子系統(tǒng)作為對(duì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展系統(tǒng)的分解,又結(jié)合四川省人口眾多的特殊情況,加入了人口子系統(tǒng)進(jìn)行研究,并對(duì)各個(gè)指標(biāo)及子系統(tǒng)進(jìn)行采用了等權(quán)處理。本文將動(dòng)態(tài)發(fā)展與靜態(tài)比較結(jié)合研究,先對(duì)四川省總體的發(fā)展情況進(jìn)行了概括,進(jìn)而對(duì)各市州的可持續(xù)發(fā)展水平分別作出了評(píng)價(jià),最后對(duì)四個(gè)子系統(tǒng)中各市州的表現(xiàn)進(jìn)行了比較。通過總結(jié)評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn)：1、與全國先進(jìn)水平相比,四川省人口、經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)和自然四個(gè)子系統(tǒng)得分及綜合評(píng)價(jià)總得分都不高,且各個(gè)子系統(tǒng)之間也存在較為明顯的差距。2、全省21個(gè)市州普遍存在系統(tǒng)間發(fā)展不均衡的情況。主要體現(xiàn)在經(jīng)濟(jì)與自然發(fā)展相沖突和自然發(fā)展的帶動(dòng)能力極為有限兩個(gè)方面,即經(jīng)濟(jì)子系統(tǒng)發(fā)展領(lǐng)先的市州自然子系統(tǒng)普遍處于全省落后水平；自然子系統(tǒng)發(fā)展較好的市州的其他子系統(tǒng)發(fā)展一般較差,單純的自然環(huán)境的良好發(fā)展無法有效帶動(dòng)其他子系統(tǒng)的發(fā)展。 最后,依據(jù)四川省“十二五”規(guī)劃綱要,結(jié)合評(píng)價(jià)與分析的結(jié)果,本文分別從四川省戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃和各市州因地制宣兩個(gè)維度對(duì)“十二五”規(guī)劃政策的合理性進(jìn)行了反思,并給出了相應(yīng)的建議。 本文的研究有如下價(jià)值： 第一,既借鑒了已有的區(qū)域可持續(xù)發(fā)展的研究,又密切結(jié)合四川省各市州的實(shí)際情況,構(gòu)建了一個(gè)新的評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系； 第二,采用動(dòng)態(tài)與靜態(tài)相結(jié)合的研究方法,并使用最新且具有代表性的2001年、2006年和2011年的數(shù)據(jù)分別對(duì)市州之間以及市州自身的發(fā)展情況作出了評(píng)價(jià)； 第三,結(jié)合評(píng)價(jià)與分析的結(jié)果,本文分別從四川省戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃和各市州因地制宜兩個(gè)層次為四川省可持續(xù)發(fā)展提供了政策建議。 同時(shí),由于個(gè)人能力有限,本文也存在如下不足： 第一,受到數(shù)據(jù)的可獲取性和采信度的影響,在實(shí)證時(shí)僅使用了56個(gè)理論指標(biāo)中的17個(gè)核心指標(biāo)進(jìn)行研究,無法做到最為全面、細(xì)致地評(píng)價(jià)和分析。 第二,從理論上選取了改進(jìn)功效系數(shù)法,且通過對(duì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的理解而對(duì)各子系統(tǒng)和指標(biāo)進(jìn)行了等權(quán)處理,在方法選擇和對(duì)指標(biāo)賦權(quán)方面存在較強(qiáng)主觀性。 第三,受限于各年份統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)指標(biāo)的差異,存在部分?jǐn)?shù)據(jù)缺失的情況,并且僅選擇了2001年、2006年和2011年3個(gè)年份來進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià),數(shù)據(jù)量略顯不足。
[Abstract]:Since 1980s, China's economy has experienced a rapid development, the national comprehensive strength and the people's living standard have been greatly improved, the per capita income is growing and the growth rate is in the forefront of the world. However, the development mode centered on economic construction has encountered more and more problems, after accumulating a large amount of material and resource wealth, The disharmony between people and society, the economy and the environment is becoming more and more obvious, and even hinders the increasingly serious problems such as economic development, environmental pollution, and overexploitation of resources, which makes people realize that the rapid development of the economy, overoverdrawn the future resources and the unsustainable development, therefore, need to seek a kind of possibility. The way of development that extends to the future is sustainable development.
The population of Sichuan province is fourth in all provinces and is a large province of population. In addition to the same development problems as other provinces, there is a unique situation of "large population, thin, unbalanced and underdeveloped". At the same time, it also faces the pressure and challenge of strengthening the binding of resources and environment, aggravating social contradictions and so on. In four The guiding ideology of the "12th Five-Year" plan of Sichuan province emphasizes the coordination and sustainable development of the economy, society, environment and population respectively. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate the sustainable development level of Sichuan province.
This paper begins with the definition of sustainable development, combs the development process of the concept of sustainable development, and combines the theoretical research at home and abroad, defines the category of sustainable development as the development of the development of the potential development potential in the vertical, and the existing areas can be held. The research on the continued development is reviewed and reviewed. Based on the diversification of evaluation methods, the differentiation of subsystems and the diversification of evaluation indexes, combined with the basic situation of Sichuan Province, this paper puts forward the problems concerned with the research of sustainable development. At the same time, this paper summarizes the existing research methods and then combines this paper. In order to study the requirements and methods of sustainable development, we choose the improved efficiency coefficient method as the research method of sustainable development level in Sichuan province.
On this basis, comprehensive research, this article established the economic, social, environmental three subsystems as the decomposition of the sustainable development system, and combined with the special situation of the population in Sichuan Province, the population subsystem is added to the research, and the various indicators and subsystems are taken equal rights treatment. This paper will dynamic development and static ratio. Compared with the combined study, the overall development of Sichuan province was summarized, and then the sustainable development level of each city and state was evaluated respectively. Finally, the performance of each city and state in the four sub-systems was compared. The results of the evaluation were summarized as follows: 1, compared with the national advanced leveling, the population, economy, society and nature of Sichuan province were four. The total score of sub-system score and comprehensive evaluation is not high, and there is a clear gap between the subsystems of each subsystem.2. The 21 cities and states in the province generally exist the unbalanced development of the system. It is mainly reflected in the two aspects of the conflict between the economic and natural development and the driving ability of natural development, that is, the development of the economic subsystem. First, the natural subsystems of the city and state are generally in the backward level of the whole province; the other subsystems of the prefectures and states with better natural subsystems are generally poor, and the good development of the simple natural environment can not effectively drive the development of other subsystems.
Finally, according to the plan of "12th Five-Year" in Sichuan province and the results of evaluation and analysis, this paper rethinks the rationality of the "12th Five-Year" planning policy from the two dimensions of Sichuan province's strategic planning and the various cities and prefectures, and gives the corresponding suggestions.
The study of this article is of the following value:
First, drawing on the existing research on regional sustainable development, and combining closely with the actual situation of various cities and prefectures in Sichuan Province, a new evaluation index system has been constructed.
Second, using dynamic and static research methods, and using the latest and representative 2001, 2006 and 2011 data, respectively, to evaluate the development of the city and the city itself.
Third, combined with the results of evaluation and analysis, this paper provides policy proposals for the sustainable development of Sichuan province from the strategic planning of Sichuan province and the two levels of local conditions and local conditions.
At the same time, due to the limited personal ability, there are also the following deficiencies:
First, it is affected by the availability and reliability of the data. In the case of empirical study, only 17 of the 56 core indicators are used to study, and the most comprehensive and detailed evaluation and analysis can not be achieved.
Second, we choose the method of improving the efficiency coefficient in theory, and deal with each subsystem and index through the understanding of the sustainable development, and there is a strong subjectivity in the selection of methods and the empowerment of the index.
Third, limited to the differences in the annual statistical data, there are some missing data, and only selected the 3 years in 2001, 2006 and 2011 to evaluate the data, the amount of data is slightly insufficient.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F224

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