本文選題：產業(yè)結構變動 + 經(jīng)濟增長��； 參考：《西南財經(jīng)大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：經(jīng)濟增長一直以來都是國內外學者關注的焦點。傳統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟增長理論認為,從長期來看,經(jīng)濟增長是資本積累、勞動力增加和技術進步作用的結果,要素在部門間的轉移是不必要的,這一觀點持續(xù)了很長的時間,直到結構主義學派的出現(xiàn),才粉碎了這一結論。結構主義學者將結構和結構的變動納入了對經(jīng)濟增長的研究當中,他們通過實證分析得出要素的流動會引起不同產業(yè)部門間的此消彼長,從而導致產業(yè)結構變動。自此之后,越來越多的學者開始關注產業(yè)結構變動與經(jīng)濟增長之間的關系,時至今日,這一研究仍相當普遍。目前,經(jīng)濟學家們對產業(yè)結構和經(jīng)濟增長之間存在聯(lián)系這一觀點已達成共識,他們認為,一方面,產業(yè)結構的變動會形成產業(yè)部門間生產效益的差異,使得資源從低效益的產業(yè)流向高效益的產業(yè),從而提高總產出的效益,促使經(jīng)濟增長；另一方面,經(jīng)濟的增長使得國民人均收入提高,從而導致需求結構發(fā)生變化,進而導致產業(yè)結構出現(xiàn)變動。 我國目前處于發(fā)展中國家的行列,經(jīng)濟發(fā)展存在著嚴重的區(qū)域發(fā)展不平衡現(xiàn)象,地區(qū)間差異較大。同時,對于產業(yè)結構變動和經(jīng)濟增長之間的因果關系,尚未有定論,因此,有針對不同地區(qū)的實際情況進行研究的必要。四川省作為一個傳統(tǒng)的西部省份,在2008年更是遭受了“汶川”大地震,全省共39個地區(qū)受災,經(jīng)濟遭到了重創(chuàng)。同時,2008年爆發(fā)了國際金融危機,這使得經(jīng)濟危機背景下的四川經(jīng)濟發(fā)展成為全國關注的焦點。目前,我國經(jīng)濟正處于加快調整產業(yè)結構,促進經(jīng)濟轉型升級的重要時期,國內外產業(yè)轉移步伐不斷加快,這為四川經(jīng)濟的快速發(fā)展提供了良好的外部環(huán)境和機遇。因此,選擇四川省作為研究對象具有一定的代表性。 本文共分為五個部分：第一部分為緒論,論述了本文的研究背景和意義,提出了主要研究方法和思路；第二部分為文獻綜述,對國內外研究現(xiàn)狀進行了闡述；第三部分為現(xiàn)狀描述,從定量的角度闡述了四川三次產業(yè)結構的現(xiàn)狀和演變進程；第四部分為實證分析,構建了VAR模型并運用脈沖響應函數(shù)來進行長期動態(tài)研究；第五部分為結論,對上述研究進行了總結。
[Abstract]:Economic growth has always been the focus of attention of domestic and foreign scholars.The traditional theory of economic growth holds that, in the long run, economic growth is the result of capital accumulation, the increase of labor force and technological progress, and the transfer of elements between sectors is unnecessary. This view has been going on for a long time.It was not until the emergence of the structuralist school that this conclusion was shattered.Structuralist scholars bring the change of structure and structure into the study of economic growth. Through empirical analysis, they find that the flow of elements will cause the growth and decline of different industrial sectors, which will lead to the change of industrial structure.Since then, more and more scholars have begun to pay attention to the relationship between industrial structure change and economic growth.At present, economists have reached a consensus on the link between industrial structure and economic growth. On the one hand, they believe that changes in industrial structure will result in differences in production benefits among industrial sectors.The flow of resources from low-efficiency industries to high-efficiency industries, thereby increasing the efficiency of total output and promoting economic growth; on the other hand, economic growth has led to an increase in per capita income of the national population, which has led to changes in the structure of demand.This will lead to changes in industrial structure.Our country is in the developing country at present, the economic development exists the serious regional development imbalance phenomenon, the regional difference is big.At the same time, there is no conclusion on the causality between industrial structure change and economic growth. Therefore, it is necessary to study the actual situation in different regions.Sichuan Province, as a traditional western province, was hit by Wenchuan earthquake in 2008.At the same time, the international financial crisis broke out in 2008, which made the economic development of Sichuan under the background of economic crisis become the focus of national attention.At present, China's economy is in an important period of speeding up the adjustment of industrial structure and promoting economic transformation and upgrading, and the pace of industrial transfer at home and abroad has been speeding up, which provides a good external environment and opportunities for the rapid development of Sichuan's economy.Therefore, Sichuan Province as the research object has certain representativeness.This paper is divided into five parts: the first part is the introduction, which discusses the research background and significance of this paper, and puts forward the main research methods and ideas;The third part is the description of the current situation, from the perspective of quantitative analysis of the current situation and evolution of the three industrial structure in Sichuan, the fourth part is empirical analysis, the VAR model and use of impulse response function to carry out long-term dynamic research;The fifth part is the conclusion, has carried on the summary to the above research.
【學位授予單位】：西南財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F127;F279.2;F224

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本文編號：1767378