本文選題：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng) + 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)　； 參考：《西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)一直以來都是國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)。傳統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)理論認(rèn)為,從長(zhǎng)期來看,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)是資本積累、勞動(dòng)力增加和技術(shù)進(jìn)步作用的結(jié)果,要素在部門間的轉(zhuǎn)移是不必要的,這一觀點(diǎn)持續(xù)了很長(zhǎng)的時(shí)間,直到結(jié)構(gòu)主義學(xué)派的出現(xiàn),才粉碎了這一結(jié)論。結(jié)構(gòu)主義學(xué)者將結(jié)構(gòu)和結(jié)構(gòu)的變動(dòng)納入了對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的研究當(dāng)中,他們通過實(shí)證分析得出要素的流動(dòng)會(huì)引起不同產(chǎn)業(yè)部門間的此消彼長(zhǎng),從而導(dǎo)致產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)。自此之后,越來越多的學(xué)者開始關(guān)注產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系,時(shí)至今日,這一研究仍相當(dāng)普遍。目前,經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家們對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在聯(lián)系這一觀點(diǎn)已達(dá)成共識(shí),他們認(rèn)為,一方面,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的變動(dòng)會(huì)形成產(chǎn)業(yè)部門間生產(chǎn)效益的差異,使得資源從低效益的產(chǎn)業(yè)流向高效益的產(chǎn)業(yè),從而提高總產(chǎn)出的效益,促使經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)；另一方面,經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)使得國(guó)民人均收入提高,從而導(dǎo)致需求結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)生變化,進(jìn)而導(dǎo)致產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)出現(xiàn)變動(dòng)。 我國(guó)目前處于發(fā)展中國(guó)家的行列,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展存在著嚴(yán)重的區(qū)域發(fā)展不平衡現(xiàn)象,地區(qū)間差異較大。同時(shí),對(duì)于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的因果關(guān)系,尚未有定論,因此,有針對(duì)不同地區(qū)的實(shí)際情況進(jìn)行研究的必要。四川省作為一個(gè)傳統(tǒng)的西部省份,在2008年更是遭受了“汶川”大地震,全省共39個(gè)地區(qū)受災(zāi),經(jīng)濟(jì)遭到了重創(chuàng)。同時(shí),2008年爆發(fā)了國(guó)際金融危機(jī),這使得經(jīng)濟(jì)危機(jī)背景下的四川經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展成為全國(guó)關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)。目前,我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)正處于加快調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)的重要時(shí)期,國(guó)內(nèi)外產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移步伐不斷加快,這為四川經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展提供了良好的外部環(huán)境和機(jī)遇。因此,選擇四川省作為研究對(duì)象具有一定的代表性。 本文共分為五個(gè)部分：第一部分為緒論,論述了本文的研究背景和意義,提出了主要研究方法和思路；第二部分為文獻(xiàn)綜述,對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了闡述；第三部分為現(xiàn)狀描述,從定量的角度闡述了四川三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的現(xiàn)狀和演變進(jìn)程；第四部分為實(shí)證分析,構(gòu)建了VAR模型并運(yùn)用脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)來進(jìn)行長(zhǎng)期動(dòng)態(tài)研究；第五部分為結(jié)論,對(duì)上述研究進(jìn)行了總結(jié)。
[Abstract]:Economic growth has always been the focus of attention of domestic and foreign scholars.The traditional theory of economic growth holds that, in the long run, economic growth is the result of capital accumulation, the increase of labor force and technological progress, and the transfer of elements between sectors is unnecessary. This view has been going on for a long time.It was not until the emergence of the structuralist school that this conclusion was shattered.Structuralist scholars bring the change of structure and structure into the study of economic growth. Through empirical analysis, they find that the flow of elements will cause the growth and decline of different industrial sectors, which will lead to the change of industrial structure.Since then, more and more scholars have begun to pay attention to the relationship between industrial structure change and economic growth.At present, economists have reached a consensus on the link between industrial structure and economic growth. On the one hand, they believe that changes in industrial structure will result in differences in production benefits among industrial sectors.The flow of resources from low-efficiency industries to high-efficiency industries, thereby increasing the efficiency of total output and promoting economic growth; on the other hand, economic growth has led to an increase in per capita income of the national population, which has led to changes in the structure of demand.This will lead to changes in industrial structure.Our country is in the developing country at present, the economic development exists the serious regional development imbalance phenomenon, the regional difference is big.At the same time, there is no conclusion on the causality between industrial structure change and economic growth. Therefore, it is necessary to study the actual situation in different regions.Sichuan Province, as a traditional western province, was hit by Wenchuan earthquake in 2008.At the same time, the international financial crisis broke out in 2008, which made the economic development of Sichuan under the background of economic crisis become the focus of national attention.At present, China's economy is in an important period of speeding up the adjustment of industrial structure and promoting economic transformation and upgrading, and the pace of industrial transfer at home and abroad has been speeding up, which provides a good external environment and opportunities for the rapid development of Sichuan's economy.Therefore, Sichuan Province as the research object has certain representativeness.This paper is divided into five parts: the first part is the introduction, which discusses the research background and significance of this paper, and puts forward the main research methods and ideas;The third part is the description of the current situation, from the perspective of quantitative analysis of the current situation and evolution of the three industrial structure in Sichuan, the fourth part is empirical analysis, the VAR model and use of impulse response function to carry out long-term dynamic research;The fifth part is the conclusion, has carried on the summary to the above research.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F279.2;F224

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本文編號(hào)：1767378