河北省金融發(fā)展對經(jīng)濟增長的影響研究
本文選題:金融發(fā)展 切入點:經(jīng)濟增長 出處:《哈爾濱商業(yè)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系問題一直都是金融發(fā)展理論的核心內(nèi)容,國內(nèi)外關(guān)于此方面的研究著作也比較多。大量的文獻研究表明,金融發(fā)展是促進經(jīng)濟增長的一個重要原因,河北省作為華北地區(qū)毗鄰京津的崛起大省,在金融機制改革的關(guān)鍵時期,金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長存在何種依存關(guān)系?金融發(fā)展的各個因素如何促進經(jīng)濟的增長,影響程度有多大?本文主要以實證分析的形式對河北省金融發(fā)展對經(jīng)濟增長的影響進行研究,以期得到初步的回答。 關(guān)于河北省金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長的研究具有很大的現(xiàn)實意義,不同于全國性的宏觀研究,河北省金融發(fā)展既具有全國金融發(fā)展的共性,又具有其獨特性,因此我們對河北省金融發(fā)展各指標(biāo)數(shù)據(jù)的研究對于區(qū)域金融的研究意義重大,研究結(jié)論除了可以指導(dǎo)河北地區(qū)的金融產(chǎn)業(yè)建設(shè)以外,也可為其他地區(qū)金融產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展提供借鑒意義。 本文大致可以分為緒論、理論綜述、現(xiàn)狀分析、實證分析和政策建議五個部分。緒論部分首先明確本文所研究的問題,簡要說明研究背景及研究意義、研究方法以及思路;理論綜述部分主要是對國內(nèi)外金融發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟增長的相關(guān)文獻進行了回顧,并陳述了不同經(jīng)濟學(xué)家關(guān)于金融發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟增長相互傳導(dǎo)機制的觀點;現(xiàn)狀分析部分主要針對的是河北省金融與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的實際,對發(fā)展?fàn)顩r進行了宏觀描述,以第二章為理論基礎(chǔ);實證分析部分運用平穩(wěn)性檢驗、協(xié)整分析和格蘭杰因果檢驗?zāi)P蛯颖笔〗鹑诎l(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系進行實證分析;最后一章在前幾章的基礎(chǔ)上提出相應(yīng)的政策建議,對本研究的結(jié)論進行了總結(jié),將模型的實證分析結(jié)果與當(dāng)前河北省的發(fā)展實際相結(jié)合,尋求一條在現(xiàn)有金融體系下促進河北省經(jīng)濟增長的金融發(fā)展途徑。 本文深入到河北省區(qū)域來分析金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長之間的關(guān)系,而不是僅僅從國家宏觀角度進行分析,這種研究視角可以使我們的目的更加明確,認(rèn)識也更加全面,即僅僅在河北省范圍以內(nèi),研究其自身金融發(fā)展對經(jīng)濟增長的作用機理,并結(jié)合實際發(fā)展情況提出可行性的政策建議。在研究過程中,結(jié)合河北省金融發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟增長的情況,運用了金融機構(gòu)存貸款余額、證券市場交易額、保費收入、金融相關(guān)比率、保險市場深度等多項金融發(fā)展指標(biāo),而經(jīng)濟增長的指標(biāo)用人均實際GDP的增長率來表示,在實際研究過程中,既進行定性的理論描述,又進行定量的實證分析,并且從多個層面用計量分析的方法闡明河北省金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系。
[Abstract]:The relationship between financial development and economic growth has always been the core content of financial development theory.A large number of literature studies have shown that financial development is an important reason for promoting economic growth. Hebei Province, as a rising province adjacent to Beijing and Tianjin in North China, was in the crucial period of financial mechanism reform.What is the relationship between financial development and economic growth?How and to what extent do various factors of financial development promote economic growth?In this paper, the impact of financial development on economic growth in Hebei Province is studied in the form of empirical analysis, in order to get a preliminary answer.The research on the financial development and economic growth of Hebei Province has great practical significance. Different from the national macro research, the financial development of Hebei Province has both the commonness and the uniqueness of the national financial development.Therefore, our research on the index data of financial development in Hebei Province is of great significance to the research of regional finance. The conclusion of the study can not only guide the construction of financial industry in Hebei, but also guide the construction of financial industry in Hebei Province.It can also provide reference for the development of financial industry in other regions.This paper can be divided into five parts: introduction, theoretical review, current situation analysis, empirical analysis and policy recommendations.The introduction part firstly clarifies the problems studied in this paper, briefly explains the research background and research significance, the research method and the train of thought; the theoretical summary part mainly reviews the domestic and foreign financial development and the economic growth related literature, the theoretical summary part mainly carries on the review to the domestic and foreign financial development and the economic growth related literature.It also states the views of different economists on the mutual transmission mechanism between financial development and economic growth. The present situation analysis mainly focuses on the reality of financial and economic development in Hebei Province, and gives a macro description of the development situation.Based on the second chapter, the empirical analysis part uses the stationary test, cointegration analysis and Granger causality test model to analyze the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Hebei Province.The last chapter puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations on the basis of the previous chapters, summarizes the conclusions of this study, and combines the results of empirical analysis of the model with the actual development of Hebei Province.To seek a way to promote the economic growth of Hebei Province under the existing financial system.This paper goes deep into the region of Hebei Province to analyze the relationship between financial development and economic growth, not just from the macro perspective of the country. This kind of research perspective can make our purpose clearer and our understanding more comprehensive.That is to say, only within the scope of Hebei Province, the mechanism of its own financial development on economic growth is studied, and the feasible policy suggestions are put forward according to the actual development situation.In the course of the research, combined with the financial development and economic growth in Hebei Province, the financial development indicators such as the balance of deposits and loans of financial institutions, the trading volume of the securities market, the premium income, the ratio of financial correlation, the depth of the insurance market, and so on, were used.The index of economic growth is expressed by the growth rate of real GDP per capita. In the process of practical research, both qualitative theoretical description and quantitative empirical analysis are carried out.The relationship between financial development and economic growth in Hebei Province is illustrated by means of econometric analysis at various levels.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:哈爾濱商業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F832.7;F127;F224
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