the extensive economic growth mode, the efficency of investm
本文關(guān)鍵詞:中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)真是“粗放式增長(zhǎng)”嗎——中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)質(zhì)量的經(jīng)驗(yàn)研究,由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。
中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)真是“粗放式增長(zhǎng)”嗎——中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)質(zhì)量的經(jīng)驗(yàn)研究
Is Chinese Economy "the Extensive Growth Mode" -- Research on the Growth of China's Economic Quality
[1]
Tang Yi'nan
復(fù)旦大學(xué)公司金融與資本市場(chǎng)研究中心,上海200433
文章摘要:中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的方向要求客觀評(píng)價(jià)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)成長(zhǎng)的成就和原因。西方主流經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家把金融危機(jī)的部分原因歸之于中國(guó)的發(fā)展模式。國(guó)內(nèi)不少經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家也斷言中國(guó)過去三十年的發(fā)展模式是“粗放增長(zhǎng)”,,要求中國(guó)的結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型向西方尤其是美國(guó)模式靠攏。通過比較研究發(fā)現(xiàn):中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)是“高投資、高效率、高技術(shù)進(jìn)步”和“低能耗”的高質(zhì)量增長(zhǎng),其結(jié)果是GDP和消費(fèi)同步高速增長(zhǎng)。認(rèn)為中國(guó)是“高投資、低效率、低消費(fèi)”的“粗放增長(zhǎng)”沒有多少經(jīng)驗(yàn)證據(jù)?浯蟀l(fā)展必經(jīng)的社會(huì)代價(jià)、否定中國(guó)發(fā)展的成功道路、扭曲國(guó)家發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的制定,可能帶來嚴(yán)重后果。如何客觀評(píng)價(jià)中國(guó)和西方的發(fā)展道路,重新討論如何用實(shí)踐檢驗(yàn)真理,是中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)界不可回避的大問題。
Abstr:Chinese strategy of economic structure upgrade requires an objective evaluation of achievements and reasons of Chinese economic growth. Western mainstream economists put part of the cause of the financial crisis to the development model of China. In the meanwhile, many economists have asserted Chinese developments over the past thirty years as "extensive growth", and urge China to transform to the western, especially the U.S., model. However, the real scenario of Chinese development can be summarized as "high investment ratio, high invest efficiency, rapid technology progress" and "energy-saving". The high development quality has led a synchronous rapid growth of GDP and consumption in China. "Chinese extensive growth" severely contradicts to material facts, which is a failure of the academic discipline, and undermining academic researches and government policies.
文章關(guān)鍵詞:
Keyword::the extensive economic growth mode, the efficency of investment, labour productivity,technology progress, consumption growth
課題項(xiàng)目:感謝史正富教授對(duì)本文的建議和指導(dǎo),史正富教授的近著《超常增長(zhǎng):1979-2049年的中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)》給了作者巨大的啟發(fā);還感謝陳平教授、林毅夫教授、蔡陳菲、勾金海與作者進(jìn)行的富有啟發(fā)性的討論,錯(cuò)誤之處由作者負(fù)責(zé).
作者信息:會(huì)員可見
本文關(guān)鍵詞:中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)真是“粗放式增長(zhǎng)”嗎——中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)質(zhì)量的經(jīng)驗(yàn)研究,由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。
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