威海FDI與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系的實證分析
本文選題:外商直接投資 切入點:經(jīng)濟增長 出處:《長春工業(yè)大學》2015年碩士論文
【摘要】:外商直接投資(Foreign Direct Investment)是指一國的投資者(自然人或法人)跨國境投入資本或其他生產(chǎn)要素,以獲取或控制相應的企業(yè)經(jīng)營管理權(quán)為核心,以獲得利潤或稀缺生產(chǎn)要素為目的的投資活動。近年來隨著經(jīng)濟全球化進程的不斷加深,FDI成為促進經(jīng)濟增長的主要力量之一。而FDI的引入對東道國地區(qū)的就業(yè)、進出口貿(mào)易、技術(shù)發(fā)展、國民收入等有重要的影響。FDI與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系也成為經(jīng)濟學界研究的熱點。很多研究證實FDI的引入有利于東道國的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展,尤其是發(fā)展中國家。我國自改革開放以來,不斷加大引進外資的力度,有效彌補了中國投資不足的問題,是推動中國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的三大馬車之一。山東省作為沿海省份,FDI的引入數(shù)額一直走在全國前列,而威海作為山東省的沿海城市之一,也是韓資最早進入的城市,FDI對威海的經(jīng)濟增長究竟有怎么樣的影響?因此有必要對威海市的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平和FDI引入狀況進行研究,也有必要對威海市的經(jīng)濟增長和FDI的之間的相互關(guān)系進行研究分析,更有必要對FDI如何影響威海市的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展進行深入系統(tǒng)的研究,從而為以后威海市的FDI引入政策的調(diào)整提供一定的實證支持。本文首先回顧了FDI的相關(guān)理論文獻,并對FDI的相關(guān)實證分析做了綜述。在FDI與經(jīng)濟增長的相關(guān)理論基礎(chǔ)上和新經(jīng)濟增長模型的基礎(chǔ)上,利用威海市的數(shù)據(jù),從外資來源地、FDI投入行業(yè)、外資規(guī)模、外資引入形式等來分析威海市引進FDI的結(jié)構(gòu)域特征。同時對威海市的FDI對經(jīng)濟增長效應的進行了理論分析。在理論分析的基礎(chǔ)上,借鑒有效地實證研究方法,利用平穩(wěn)性檢驗和協(xié)整性相關(guān)檢驗對FDI與經(jīng)濟增長的相關(guān)性進行了實證研究,通過平穩(wěn)性檢驗和協(xié)整性檢驗分析得出外商直接投資與經(jīng)濟增長之間不存在長期穩(wěn)定的均衡關(guān)系,通過格蘭杰因果檢驗證明FDI與GDP之間存在雙向的短期的Granger因果關(guān)系。在雙向的因果關(guān)系中,經(jīng)濟增長對FDI的影響比較強,而FDI對經(jīng)濟增長的影響相對較弱。最后在實證分析的基礎(chǔ)上,進行總結(jié)并對威海市如何有效引進和利用外資提出相關(guān)的對策建議。威海市要加快經(jīng)濟發(fā)展,今后必須采取以下措施:促進FDI的技術(shù)外溢效應并充分利用FDI的技術(shù)外溢效應;改善市場以促進FDI的技術(shù)轉(zhuǎn)移和技術(shù)外溢;改善外資的來源地和投入的結(jié)構(gòu)產(chǎn)業(yè),引導外商直接投資由勞動密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)向技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移。
[Abstract]:Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) refers to a country's investors (natural or legal persons) who invest capital or other production elements across the national border, with the core of obtaining or controlling the corresponding business operation and management power. In recent years, with the deepening of economic globalization, FDI has become one of the main forces to promote economic growth. The relationship between FDI and economic growth has also become a hot topic in the field of economics. Many studies have confirmed that the introduction of FDI is conducive to the economic development of the host country. In particular, developing countries. Since the beginning of the reform and opening up, China has continuously increased its efforts to introduce foreign capital, effectively making up for the problem of insufficient investment in China. Shandong Province, as a coastal province, has been leading the country in introducing FDI, while Weihai, as one of the coastal cities in Shandong Province, has been one of the coastal cities in Shandong Province. Is also the earliest South Korean capital into the city of FDI on Weihai's economic growth what kind of impact? Therefore, it is necessary to study the level of economic development and the introduction of FDI in Weihai City, as well as the relationship between economic growth and FDI in Weihai City. It is more necessary to make a deep and systematic study on how FDI affects the economic development of Weihai City, so as to provide some empirical support for the adjustment of FDI introduction policy in Weihai City in the future. Firstly, this paper reviews the relevant theoretical documents of FDI. On the basis of the theory of FDI and economic growth and the new economic growth model, using the data of Weihai City, the author makes use of the data of Weihai City to put FDI into the industry and the scale of foreign investment from the source of foreign investment. At the same time, the paper makes a theoretical analysis of the effect of FDI on economic growth in Weihai City. On the basis of theoretical analysis, the paper draws lessons from effective empirical research methods. By using the stationary test and cointegration correlation test, this paper makes an empirical study on the correlation between FDI and economic growth. Through the analysis of stationary test and cointegration test, it is concluded that there is no long-term stable equilibrium relationship between FDI and economic growth. Through Granger causality test, it is proved that there is a bidirectional short-term Granger causality between FDI and GDP. In the two-way causality, the influence of economic growth on FDI is relatively strong. The impact of FDI on economic growth is relatively weak. Finally, on the basis of empirical analysis, this paper summarizes and puts forward relevant countermeasures and suggestions on how to effectively introduce and utilize foreign capital in Weihai. The following measures must be taken in the future: to promote the technology spillover effect of FDI and to make full use of the technology spillover effect of FDI; to improve the market to promote the technology transfer and technology spillover of FDI; to improve the origin of foreign capital and the structural industry of investment; To guide foreign direct investment from labor-intensive industries to technology-intensive industries.
【學位授予單位】:長春工業(yè)大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F832.6;F127
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