威海FDI與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證分析
本文選題:外商直接投資 切入點(diǎn):經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) 出處:《長(zhǎng)春工業(yè)大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文
【摘要】:外商直接投資(Foreign Direct Investment)是指一國(guó)的投資者(自然人或法人)跨國(guó)境投入資本或其他生產(chǎn)要素,以獲取或控制相應(yīng)的企業(yè)經(jīng)營(yíng)管理權(quán)為核心,以獲得利潤(rùn)或稀缺生產(chǎn)要素為目的的投資活動(dòng)。近年來(lái)隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化進(jìn)程的不斷加深,FDI成為促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的主要力量之一。而FDI的引入對(duì)東道國(guó)地區(qū)的就業(yè)、進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易、技術(shù)發(fā)展、國(guó)民收入等有重要的影響。FDI與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系也成為經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)界研究的熱點(diǎn)。很多研究證實(shí)FDI的引入有利于東道國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展,尤其是發(fā)展中國(guó)家。我國(guó)自改革開(kāi)放以來(lái),不斷加大引進(jìn)外資的力度,有效彌補(bǔ)了中國(guó)投資不足的問(wèn)題,是推動(dòng)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的三大馬車之一。山東省作為沿海省份,FDI的引入數(shù)額一直走在全國(guó)前列,而威海作為山東省的沿海城市之一,也是韓資最早進(jìn)入的城市,FDI對(duì)威海的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)究竟有怎么樣的影響?因此有必要對(duì)威海市的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平和FDI引入狀況進(jìn)行研究,也有必要對(duì)威海市的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和FDI的之間的相互關(guān)系進(jìn)行研究分析,更有必要對(duì)FDI如何影響威海市的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展進(jìn)行深入系統(tǒng)的研究,從而為以后威海市的FDI引入政策的調(diào)整提供一定的實(shí)證支持。本文首先回顧了FDI的相關(guān)理論文獻(xiàn),并對(duì)FDI的相關(guān)實(shí)證分析做了綜述。在FDI與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的相關(guān)理論基礎(chǔ)上和新經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)模型的基礎(chǔ)上,利用威海市的數(shù)據(jù),從外資來(lái)源地、FDI投入行業(yè)、外資規(guī)模、外資引入形式等來(lái)分析威海市引進(jìn)FDI的結(jié)構(gòu)域特征。同時(shí)對(duì)威海市的FDI對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng)的進(jìn)行了理論分析。在理論分析的基礎(chǔ)上,借鑒有效地實(shí)證研究方法,利用平穩(wěn)性檢驗(yàn)和協(xié)整性相關(guān)檢驗(yàn)對(duì)FDI與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的相關(guān)性進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究,通過(guò)平穩(wěn)性檢驗(yàn)和協(xié)整性檢驗(yàn)分析得出外商直接投資與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間不存在長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定的均衡關(guān)系,通過(guò)格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)證明FDI與GDP之間存在雙向的短期的Granger因果關(guān)系。在雙向的因果關(guān)系中,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)FDI的影響比較強(qiáng),而FDI對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響相對(duì)較弱。最后在實(shí)證分析的基礎(chǔ)上,進(jìn)行總結(jié)并對(duì)威海市如何有效引進(jìn)和利用外資提出相關(guān)的對(duì)策建議。威海市要加快經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展,今后必須采取以下措施:促進(jìn)FDI的技術(shù)外溢效應(yīng)并充分利用FDI的技術(shù)外溢效應(yīng);改善市場(chǎng)以促進(jìn)FDI的技術(shù)轉(zhuǎn)移和技術(shù)外溢;改善外資的來(lái)源地和投入的結(jié)構(gòu)產(chǎn)業(yè),引導(dǎo)外商直接投資由勞動(dòng)密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)向技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移。
[Abstract]:Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) refers to a country's investors (natural or legal persons) who invest capital or other production elements across the national border, with the core of obtaining or controlling the corresponding business operation and management power. In recent years, with the deepening of economic globalization, FDI has become one of the main forces to promote economic growth. The relationship between FDI and economic growth has also become a hot topic in the field of economics. Many studies have confirmed that the introduction of FDI is conducive to the economic development of the host country. In particular, developing countries. Since the beginning of the reform and opening up, China has continuously increased its efforts to introduce foreign capital, effectively making up for the problem of insufficient investment in China. Shandong Province, as a coastal province, has been leading the country in introducing FDI, while Weihai, as one of the coastal cities in Shandong Province, has been one of the coastal cities in Shandong Province. Is also the earliest South Korean capital into the city of FDI on Weihai's economic growth what kind of impact? Therefore, it is necessary to study the level of economic development and the introduction of FDI in Weihai City, as well as the relationship between economic growth and FDI in Weihai City. It is more necessary to make a deep and systematic study on how FDI affects the economic development of Weihai City, so as to provide some empirical support for the adjustment of FDI introduction policy in Weihai City in the future. Firstly, this paper reviews the relevant theoretical documents of FDI. On the basis of the theory of FDI and economic growth and the new economic growth model, using the data of Weihai City, the author makes use of the data of Weihai City to put FDI into the industry and the scale of foreign investment from the source of foreign investment. At the same time, the paper makes a theoretical analysis of the effect of FDI on economic growth in Weihai City. On the basis of theoretical analysis, the paper draws lessons from effective empirical research methods. By using the stationary test and cointegration correlation test, this paper makes an empirical study on the correlation between FDI and economic growth. Through the analysis of stationary test and cointegration test, it is concluded that there is no long-term stable equilibrium relationship between FDI and economic growth. Through Granger causality test, it is proved that there is a bidirectional short-term Granger causality between FDI and GDP. In the two-way causality, the influence of economic growth on FDI is relatively strong. The impact of FDI on economic growth is relatively weak. Finally, on the basis of empirical analysis, this paper summarizes and puts forward relevant countermeasures and suggestions on how to effectively introduce and utilize foreign capital in Weihai. The following measures must be taken in the future: to promote the technology spillover effect of FDI and to make full use of the technology spillover effect of FDI; to improve the market to promote the technology transfer and technology spillover of FDI; to improve the origin of foreign capital and the structural industry of investment; To guide foreign direct investment from labor-intensive industries to technology-intensive industries.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:長(zhǎng)春工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號(hào)】:F832.6;F127
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