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蒙古國國際貿(mào)易對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-17 23:11

  本文選題:國際貿(mào)易 切入點(diǎn):經(jīng)濟(jì)增長 出處:《山東大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:國際貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系研究歷來是經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家研究的重點(diǎn)。在經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的今天,研究經(jīng)濟(jì)增長離不開對(duì)國際貿(mào)易的研究。國際貿(mào)易對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響越來越大,通過國際貿(mào)易合作,國與國之間以及地區(qū)與地區(qū)之間可以相互調(diào)劑余缺,發(fā)揮各自的比較優(yōu)勢(shì),在世界范圍內(nèi)實(shí)現(xiàn)資源的優(yōu)化配置,獲得更多的經(jīng)濟(jì)利益,促進(jìn)生產(chǎn)力的發(fā)展。因此發(fā)展國際貿(mào)易,對(duì)任何國家的國民經(jīng)濟(jì)而言都是十分重要的。 蒙古國在1990年開始實(shí)行民主化,也就是從那個(gè)時(shí)候起開始逐漸的國際開放。在1997年,蒙古加入世界貿(mào)易組織。在2009年,蒙古國的貿(mào)易伙伴達(dá)到118個(gè),蒙古的貿(mào)易發(fā)展迅速。同時(shí)蒙古經(jīng)濟(jì)在近年來也實(shí)現(xiàn)了快速的增長。 目前,研究關(guān)于蒙古國國際貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系的文獻(xiàn)非常少,研究大都只是簡(jiǎn)單的從統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)的角度來分析蒙古國的國際貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的關(guān)系。本文主要定位于國際貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長研究方向,以一個(gè)全新的視角來解讀國際貿(mào)易。在此基礎(chǔ)上本文從兩方面提出創(chuàng)新,第一是研究對(duì)象的創(chuàng)新,研究了蒙古國國際貿(mào)易對(duì)國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響;第二點(diǎn)是方法上的創(chuàng)新,在實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)的過程中應(yīng)用了ADF檢驗(yàn)的方法。 本文對(duì)蒙古國的國際貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究,在方法上使用了協(xié)整分析、Granger因果檢驗(yàn)以及ADF檢驗(yàn)等方法,有一定的創(chuàng)新性。本文首先對(duì)貿(mào)易促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的理論和文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行了回顧。在理論的基礎(chǔ)上,本文結(jié)合蒙古國貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀,利用蒙古國貿(mào)易數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)蒙古國貿(mào)易增長和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究。本文不僅對(duì)蒙古國的貿(mào)易數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行了分析,還對(duì)蒙古國的貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)以及國際開放程度進(jìn)行了研究。根據(jù)本文的實(shí)證研究結(jié)果,本文認(rèn)為,蒙古國的國際貿(mào)易對(duì)蒙古國的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有著很高的相關(guān)性,發(fā)展國際貿(mào)易能夠促進(jìn)蒙古國經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長。在此基礎(chǔ)上,本文對(duì)產(chǎn)生這一效應(yīng)的原因進(jìn)行了分析,認(rèn)為資源是蒙古國貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的主要驅(qū)動(dòng)要素。 最后本文根據(jù)研究結(jié)論對(duì)蒙古國貿(mào)易發(fā)展提出了政策建議。
[Abstract]:The study of the relationship between international trade and economic growth has always been the focus of economists. In today's economic globalization, the study of economic growth is inseparable from the study of international trade. Through international trade cooperation, countries as well as regions and regions can adjust each other's shortcomings, give play to their respective comparative advantages, optimize the allocation of resources in the world, and gain more economic benefits. Therefore, the development of international trade is very important to the national economy of any country. Mongolia began to democratize in 1990, that is, gradually opening up internationally since then. In 1997, Mongolia joined the World Trade Organization. In 2009, Mongolia had 118 trading partners. Mongolia's trade is growing rapidly. At the same time, Mongolia's economy has also achieved rapid growth in recent years. At present, there is very little literature on the relationship between Mongolia's international trade and economic growth. Most of the studies are simply to analyze the relationship between Mongolia's international trade and economic growth from the point of view of statistical data. This paper mainly focuses on the research direction of international trade and economic growth. On the basis of this, this paper puts forward the innovation from two aspects: the first is the innovation of the research object, the second is the innovation of the method, the second is the innovation of the Mongolian international trade on the national economy, the first is the innovation of the research object, the other is the research on the impact of Mongolia's international trade on the national economy. In the process of empirical testing, the method of ADF test is applied. This paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between international trade and economic growth in Mongolia, using cointegration analysis, Granger causality test and ADF test, etc. First of all, this paper reviews the theory and literature of trade promoting economic growth. On the basis of the theory, this paper combines the current situation of Mongolia's trade and economic development. This paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between Mongolia's trade growth and economic growth by using Mongolian trade data. The paper also studies the trade structure and the degree of international openness of Mongolia. According to the empirical results of this paper, this paper holds that the international trade of Mongolia has a high correlation with the economic growth of Mongolia. The development of international trade can promote the economic growth of Mongolia. On this basis, this paper analyzes the causes of this effect, and concludes that resources are the main driving factors of Mongolia's trade and economic growth. Finally, based on the conclusions of the study, this paper puts forward policy recommendations for Mongolia's trade development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:山東大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F131.1;F753.11

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