我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)與國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展及可持續(xù)性研究
本文選題:電信產(chǎn)業(yè) 切入點(diǎn):國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì) 出處:《北京郵電大學(xué)》2013年博士論文 論文類(lèi)型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:電信產(chǎn)業(yè)是我國(guó)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)中重要的基礎(chǔ)產(chǎn)業(yè),在促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、社會(huì)轉(zhuǎn)型中具有重要的戰(zhàn)略意義,我國(guó)政府在“十二五”規(guī)劃中將其列為重點(diǎn)發(fā)展的戰(zhàn)略性新興產(chǎn)業(yè)。但是,用戶(hù)需求的變化、移動(dòng)互聯(lián)網(wǎng)的發(fā)展給我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)帶來(lái)了新的機(jī)遇與挑戰(zhàn),對(duì)我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略提出了新的要求。 在新的形勢(shì)下,我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀是什么?電信產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響是什么?電信產(chǎn)業(yè)與國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間是否協(xié)調(diào)?如何確保電信產(chǎn)業(yè)持續(xù)健康發(fā)展以持續(xù)支撐國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)?這正是本文要解決的問(wèn)題。 基于此,本文重點(diǎn)研究以下內(nèi)容并取得如下成果: 首先,評(píng)價(jià)我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀。用HHI指數(shù)分析、描述性統(tǒng)計(jì)分析、數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析方法對(duì)我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)的市場(chǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)、投資效益、業(yè)務(wù)發(fā)展、通信能力建設(shè)、生產(chǎn)效率等進(jìn)行了分析,結(jié)果表明近年來(lái)我國(guó)電信市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)格局失衡狀況有所好轉(zhuǎn),服務(wù)水平快速提高,資費(fèi)水平繼續(xù)下降,生產(chǎn)效率整體水平較高,有力的支撐了國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的需要。 其次,分析電信產(chǎn)業(yè)在我國(guó)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)中的作用,把握電信產(chǎn)業(yè)在我國(guó)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)中的產(chǎn)業(yè)地位。利用投入產(chǎn)出分析方法,分析了我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)和增長(zhǎng)效應(yīng)。利用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型,分析了電信基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施對(duì)全要素生產(chǎn)率的影響,結(jié)果表明我國(guó)電信基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施對(duì)全要素生產(chǎn)率有著顯著的正向促進(jìn)作用。綜合來(lái)看,我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)具有正向的積極效應(yīng)。 再次,評(píng)價(jià)我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)與國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間的協(xié)調(diào)性,以使電信產(chǎn)業(yè)能夠更合理地支撐我國(guó)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的需要;谧顑(yōu)化理論,構(gòu)建了動(dòng)態(tài)評(píng)價(jià)模型,對(duì)我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)與國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間的協(xié)調(diào)性進(jìn)行了評(píng)價(jià),結(jié)果表明,整體上我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)與國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間是不協(xié)調(diào)的,且存在區(qū)域差異,東部區(qū)域的協(xié)調(diào)水平最高,中部地區(qū)次之,西部地區(qū)最差,而電信投入冗余是導(dǎo)致發(fā)展不協(xié)調(diào)的重要原因。并針對(duì)性的提出了以轉(zhuǎn)型平臺(tái)化運(yùn)營(yíng)及發(fā)展云計(jì)算為契機(jī),盤(pán)活資源利用效率等政策建議。 最后,制定我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)未來(lái)可持續(xù)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,確保電信產(chǎn)業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展,并持續(xù)地支撐我國(guó)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的需要。在全面分析我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)所面臨的新的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)層次、產(chǎn)業(yè)格局、產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的驅(qū)動(dòng)力、產(chǎn)業(yè)利潤(rùn)源泉等基礎(chǔ)上,并結(jié)合大數(shù)據(jù)發(fā)展趨勢(shì),提出了我國(guó)電信產(chǎn)業(yè)全業(yè)務(wù)平臺(tái)化運(yùn)營(yíng)的戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型目標(biāo),構(gòu)建了全業(yè)務(wù)平臺(tái)模型及生態(tài)系統(tǒng)模型,并對(duì)平臺(tái)成員間的協(xié)同競(jìng)爭(zhēng)關(guān)系進(jìn)行了演化博弈分析,結(jié)果表明,利益分配機(jī)制、平臺(tái)使用成本和激勵(lì)機(jī)制都將對(duì)博弈過(guò)程的演化方向及最終穩(wěn)定狀態(tài)的形成產(chǎn)生影響,并基于此,提出了平臺(tái)生態(tài)圈的協(xié)同成長(zhǎng)機(jī)制。
[Abstract]:Telecommunication industry is an important basic industry in the national economic system of our country. It has important strategic significance in promoting economic growth and social transformation. Our government has listed it as a strategic emerging industry in the 12th Five-Year Plan. However, the change of customer demand and the development of mobile Internet have brought new opportunities and challenges to China's telecommunications industry. Put forward the new request to the sustainable development strategy of the telecommunication industry of our country. In the new situation, what is the current situation of the development of China's telecommunications industry? What is the impact of the telecommunications industry on the growth of the national economy? Is the telecommunication industry coordinated with the development of the national economy? How to ensure the sustainable and healthy development of the telecommunications industry in order to sustain the growth of the national economy? This is exactly the problem to be solved in this paper. Based on this, this paper focuses on the following contents and obtains the following results:. First of all, the paper evaluates the present situation of the telecom industry in China. Using HHI index analysis, descriptive statistical analysis and data envelopment analysis, the paper analyzes the market structure, investment benefit, business development and communication ability construction of China's telecom industry. The results show that in recent years, the unbalanced situation of the competition pattern in China's telecom market has been improved, the service level has been raised rapidly, the tariff level has continued to decline, and the overall production efficiency has been relatively high. A strong support for the development of the national economy needs. Secondly, it analyzes the role of telecommunication industry in the growth of our national economy, grasps the industrial position of telecommunication industry in our national economic system, and makes use of the input-output analysis method. This paper analyzes the structural effect and growth effect of telecom industry development in China, and analyzes the effect of telecom infrastructure on total factor productivity by using panel data model. The results show that the telecom infrastructure has a significant positive effect on the total factor productivity, and the telecom industry has a positive effect on the growth of the national economy. Thirdly, the paper evaluates the coordination between the telecommunication industry and the national economy development, so that the telecommunication industry can support the needs of the national economy development more reasonably. Based on the optimization theory, a dynamic evaluation model is constructed. This paper evaluates the coordination between the telecommunication industry and the national economic development in China. The results show that the coordination between the telecommunication industry and the national economy is not coordinated, and there are regional differences, and the coordination level in the eastern region is the highest. The central region takes second place, the western region is the worst, and the redundancy of telecom investment is the important reason for the uncoordinated development. The paper puts forward some policy suggestions such as taking the opportunity of transforming platform operation and developing cloud computing as an opportunity to revitalize the efficiency of resource utilization. Finally, we should formulate the sustainable development strategy of our telecom industry in the future, ensure the sustainable development of the telecommunication industry, and sustain the needs of the development of our national economy. On the basis of industrial pattern, driving force of industry development, headspring of industry profit and so on, combined with big data's development trend, this paper puts forward the strategic transformation target of the whole service platform operation of China's telecommunication industry. The whole business platform model and ecosystem model are constructed, and the evolutionary game analysis of the cooperative competition relationship among the platform members is carried out. The results show that the benefit distribution mechanism, Both platform cost and incentive mechanism will affect the evolution direction of the game process and the formation of the final stable state. Based on this, the cooperative growth mechanism of the platform ecological circle is proposed.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:北京郵電大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F626;F124
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