四川省城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距對居民消費需求的影響分析
本文選題:城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距 切入點:消費需求 出處:《西南財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:改革開放以來,四川省經(jīng)濟得到了飛速的發(fā)展,總體經(jīng)濟水平有了顯著的提高,但由于四川省固有的二元經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)以及中國經(jīng)濟體制改革處于不斷探索和發(fā)展中,凸顯出了不少問題。其中一個比較明顯的問題就是四川省經(jīng)濟快速發(fā)展的同時,城鄉(xiāng)居民各自的收入都有了不同程度的提高,但是城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距也呈現(xiàn)出逐年擴大的趨勢,相反四川省城鄉(xiāng)居民整體的平均消費傾向卻呈現(xiàn)出了逐漸下降的趨勢。 本文在研究城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距對居民消費需求影響的相關(guān)文獻基礎(chǔ)之上,應(yīng)用對比分析,考察自改革開放以來四川省城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距和居民整體平均消費水平的變化趨勢及特征,以及對城鄉(xiāng)居民各自消費特征進行比較分析,并利用協(xié)整檢驗分析從持久收入假說、絕對收入假說兩個方面分析四川省城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距對居民消費需求的影響。具體通過以下三個方面進行分析研究:首先,對1978年至2011年四川省城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距的變動趨勢進行分析;其次,從消費水平和消費結(jié)構(gòu)兩個方面,分析四川省城鄉(xiāng)居民邊際消費傾向各自特點以及城鄉(xiāng)居民各自消費結(jié)構(gòu)特征;最后,基于持久收入假說、絕對收入假說,從兩個方面檢驗分析城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距對消費需求的抑制作用。 本文研究結(jié)果顯示:(1)自改革開放以來,與城鎮(zhèn)居民人均可支配收入相比,四川省農(nóng)村居民人均純收入起點低,增長率偏低,是造成四川省城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距不斷擴大,城鄉(xiāng)居民整體平均消費傾向卻逐漸降低的原因所在;(2)通過對城鄉(xiāng)居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)的對比分析,城鎮(zhèn)居民消費模式已經(jīng)處于逐漸向富裕型轉(zhuǎn)變的狀態(tài),而農(nóng)村居民收入的主要部分用到了食品和居住上,其消費模式還處于剛剛步入小康型生活層面;城鄉(xiāng)居民邊際消費傾向的對比分析,城鎮(zhèn)居民邊際消費傾向變動穩(wěn)定,平均水平偏低,與之相比,農(nóng)村居民邊際消費傾向波動較大,平均水平偏高;(3)基于凱恩斯絕對收入假說,在其他變量保持不變的情況下,四川省城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距的擴大拉大了城鄉(xiāng)居民的消費差距,從而不利于整體消費水平的提高;(4)受持久收入影響,在其他因素不變的情況下,城鄉(xiāng)居民的持久收入差距對城鄉(xiāng)居民消費差距起著正向效應(yīng),抑制了居民整體消費水平的提高。綜合以上研究結(jié)果,表明縮小城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距,有利于縮小城鄉(xiāng)居民的消費差距,從而提高居民整體的消費水平。 希望通過本文的分析,客觀的揭示四川省城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距和四川省城鄉(xiāng)居民平均消費傾向的變化趨勢和現(xiàn)狀,以及城鄉(xiāng)居民收入差距對消費需求的抑制作用。為四川省居民整體消費水平的提高,探索性的提出幾點客觀的可供參考性建議。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up to the outside world, Sichuan's economy has been developing rapidly and the overall economic level has been greatly improved. However, due to the inherent dual economic structure in Sichuan Province and the ongoing exploration and development of China's economic system reform, Many problems have been highlighted. One of the more obvious problems is that with the rapid economic development of Sichuan Province, the income of urban and rural residents has increased to varying degrees, but the income gap between urban and rural residents has also shown a trend of increasing year by year. On the contrary, the average consumption tendency of urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province has gradually decreased. Based on the study of the influence of income gap between urban and rural residents on the consumption demand of residents, this paper applies comparative analysis. This paper investigates the trend and characteristics of income gap between urban and rural residents and the average consumption level of residents in Sichuan Province since the reform and opening up, and makes a comparative analysis of the respective consumption characteristics of urban and rural residents, and uses cointegration test to analyze the hypothesis of lasting income. The absolute income hypothesis analyzes the impact of the income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province on the consumption demand of residents from two aspects. The change trend of income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province from 1978 to 2011 is analyzed. Secondly, from the two aspects of consumption level and consumption structure, This paper analyzes the characteristics of marginal consumption tendency of urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province and the characteristics of consumption structure of urban and rural residents. Finally, based on the hypothesis of lasting income, the hypothesis of absolute income is analyzed. This paper analyzes the restraining effect of income gap between urban and rural residents on consumption demand from two aspects. The results of this study show that since the reform and opening up, compared with the per capita disposable income of urban residents, Sichuan rural residents' per capita net income starting point is low, and the growth rate is low, which is the result of the widening income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province. Through the comparative analysis of the consumption structure of urban and rural residents, the consumption pattern of urban and rural residents has been in the state of gradually changing to the rich type. The main part of rural residents' income is food and housing, and their consumption pattern is just entering the level of Xiao Kang life. The comparative analysis of the marginal consumption tendency of urban and rural residents shows that the marginal consumption tendency of urban residents is stable. The average level is on the low side. Compared with this, the marginal consumption tendency of rural residents fluctuates more, and the average level is higher. (3) based on the Keynesian absolute income hypothesis, while other variables remain unchanged, The widening income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province widens the consumption gap between urban and rural residents, which is not conducive to the improvement of the overall consumption level. The persistent income gap between urban and rural residents has a positive effect on the consumption gap between urban and rural residents, which inhibits the improvement of the overall consumption level of residents. It helps to narrow the gap between urban and rural consumption, thus improving the overall consumption level of residents. Through the analysis of this paper, I hope to objectively reveal the change trend and current situation of income gap between urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province and the average consumption tendency of urban and rural residents in Sichuan Province. As well as the income gap between urban and rural residents on the suppression of consumer demand. For the improvement of the overall level of consumption in Sichuan Province, explore several objective suggestions for reference.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F124.7;F126.1;F224
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