本文關鍵詞： 經(jīng)濟增長績效 經(jīng)濟增長代價 經(jīng)濟增長質量 統(tǒng)計分析 經(jīng)濟增長質量指數(shù) 主成分分析法　出處：《浙江工商大學》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：經(jīng)濟增長不僅包括反映經(jīng)濟增長速度的數(shù)量方面,還包括反映經(jīng)濟增長優(yōu)劣程度的質量方面。多年來,我國一味追求經(jīng)濟增長數(shù)量而忽略了經(jīng)濟增長質量,于是伴隨著經(jīng)濟的高速增長,我國經(jīng)濟出現(xiàn)了越來越多的質量問題。由于經(jīng)濟增長質量的好壞足以對經(jīng)濟、社會、環(huán)境等各方面都產(chǎn)生深遠影響,因此,如何提高經(jīng)濟增長質量,走出高投入、高消耗、高污染、低效率的經(jīng)濟增長困境,成為我國當前經(jīng)濟發(fā)展面臨的關鍵問題。基于此,本文對我國的經(jīng)濟增長質量水平進行了統(tǒng)計測度和分析,以明確我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的優(yōu)勢和問題所在。 首先,對本文的研究背景和研究意義進行了闡述,并全面梳理了國內(nèi)外現(xiàn)有的經(jīng)濟增長質量相關研究文獻,在此基礎上介紹了本文的研究思路及研究框架,提出了本文的創(chuàng)新及不足之處。 然后,概述我國的經(jīng)濟增長實踐,并通過對我國經(jīng)濟增長的績效與代價的分析,提出我國的經(jīng)濟增長質量問題。在此基礎上,本文分別從經(jīng)濟增長的有效性、協(xié)調(diào)性、穩(wěn)定性、創(chuàng)新性、持續(xù)性和共享性六個方面明確界定了經(jīng)濟增長質量的內(nèi)涵,并介紹了經(jīng)濟增長質量的測度方法。 其次,本文采用時間序列分析和國際比較分析相結合的方法對我國經(jīng)濟增長質量進行相關方面基礎影響因素的統(tǒng)計分析。其中有效性分析了我國全要素生產(chǎn)率、勞動生產(chǎn)率和資本生產(chǎn)率；協(xié)調(diào)性從產(chǎn)業(yè)結構、城鄉(xiāng)結構、需求結構和貿(mào)易結構四個方面進行了分析；穩(wěn)定性分析了我國的產(chǎn)出缺口、通貨膨脹率、失業(yè)率情況以及三者之間的影響機制；創(chuàng)新性從創(chuàng)新投入和創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出兩個方面進行了分析；持續(xù)性從資源利用效率、環(huán)境污染及治理兩方面進行了分析；共享性分析了居民生活水平、城鄉(xiāng)和區(qū)域差距、國民收入分配情況等。 再次,本文根據(jù)經(jīng)濟增長質量的內(nèi)涵,構造了由6個方面指數(shù)和34個基礎指標合成的經(jīng)濟增長質量指數(shù),采用均值化后的協(xié)方差矩陣作為輸入的主成分分析法,對六個方面指數(shù)和經(jīng)濟增長質量綜合指數(shù)進行測定,并根據(jù)測定結果分析我國經(jīng)濟增長質量的主要影響因素。得出結論：我國經(jīng)濟增長質量水平總體上得到了顯著提高,但各方面的發(fā)展并不同步,特別是穩(wěn)定性水平不僅沒有呈現(xiàn)出改善的跡象而且波動頻繁、劇烈。此外,我國的經(jīng)濟增長方式尚未從根本上得到轉變,仍面臨著投資效率低下、需求結構不合理、經(jīng)濟二元特征明顯、經(jīng)濟運行不穩(wěn)定、能源利用效率低下、環(huán)境約束尚未得到有效緩解、城鄉(xiāng)差距越來越大和經(jīng)濟增長成果分配不合理等問題。因此,我國經(jīng)濟增長尚且不是高質量的增長。 最后,本文針對我國經(jīng)濟增長質量存在的主要問題提出了具有較強操作性的對策建議,希望能為政府部門的管理決策提供重要參考,從而更加有效、更有針對性的改善我國的經(jīng)濟增長質量。
[Abstract]:Economic growth includes not only the quantity of economic growth, but also the quality of economic growth. For many years, China has been blindly pursuing the quantity of economic growth and neglecting the quality of economic growth. As a result, with the rapid economic growth, more and more quality problems appear in our economy. Because the quality of economic growth is good enough to have a profound impact on the economy, society, environment and other aspects, therefore, How to improve the quality of economic growth and get out of the dilemma of high investment, high consumption, high pollution and low efficiency has become the key problem in the current economic development of our country. In this paper, the quality level of economic growth in China is statistically measured and analyzed in order to clarify the advantages and problems of China's economic development. First of all, the research background and significance of this paper are described, and the existing domestic and foreign economic growth quality related research literature is comprehensively combed, on the basis of this, this paper introduces the research ideas and research framework. The innovation and deficiency of this paper are put forward. Then, the paper summarizes the practice of China's economic growth, and through the analysis of the performance and cost of China's economic growth, puts forward the quality of China's economic growth. On this basis, this paper respectively from the effectiveness of economic growth, coordination, This paper defines the connotation of economic growth quality in six aspects: stability, innovation, persistence and sharing, and introduces the measurement method of economic growth quality. Secondly, this paper uses the method of time series analysis and international comparative analysis to analyze the basic factors affecting the quality of China's economic growth. Labor productivity and capital productivity; coordination from four aspects of industrial structure, urban and rural structure, demand structure and trade structure; stability analysis of China's output gap, inflation rate, The unemployment rate and the influence mechanism between them, the innovation analysis from the innovation input and the innovation output, the sustainability from the resource utilization efficiency, the environment pollution and the management two aspects have carried on the analysis; the innovation has carried on the analysis from the innovation input and the innovation output two aspects; Sharing analysis of the standard of living, urban and rural and regional disparities, national income distribution and so on. Thirdly, according to the connotation of economic growth quality, this paper constructs the economic growth quality index which is composed of 6 aspect indices and 34 basic indexes, and adopts the mean covariance matrix as the input principal component analysis method. Based on the analysis of the main influencing factors of the quality of economic growth in China, it is concluded that the quality level of economic growth in China has been significantly improved on the whole. However, the development of various aspects is not synchronized, especially the stability level not only shows no signs of improvement, but also fluctuates frequently and violently. In addition, the mode of economic growth in China has not yet been fundamentally changed, and the investment efficiency is still low. The structure of demand is unreasonable, the dual characteristic of economy is obvious, the economic operation is unstable, the efficiency of energy utilization is low, the environmental constraints have not been effectively alleviated, the gap between urban and rural areas is widening, and the distribution of economic growth results is unreasonable, etc. China's economic growth is not a high-quality growth. Finally, aiming at the main problems existing in the quality of economic growth in China, this paper puts forward some feasible countermeasures and suggestions, hoping to provide an important reference for the management decisions of government departments, thus making them more effective. More targeted improvement of China's economic growth quality.
【學位授予單位】：浙江工商大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F124.1

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