本文關(guān)鍵詞： 協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展測(cè)度 綠色GDP HDI 聯(lián)立方程組 榆林　出處：《西安建筑科技大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：傳統(tǒng)的發(fā)展觀單純?yōu)樽非蠼?jīng)濟(jì)高速發(fā)展為唯一價(jià)值目標(biāo),GDP成為政府政績(jī)最重要的衡量標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，這種發(fā)展觀已經(jīng)被事實(shí)證明存在諸多缺陷，不再適應(yīng)現(xiàn)代社會(huì)發(fā)展需要[2]。本文將依據(jù)科學(xué)發(fā)展觀和發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的相關(guān)理論和評(píng)價(jià)方法，從生態(tài)學(xué)、經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、社會(huì)學(xué)和系統(tǒng)學(xué)四個(gè)研究方向建立區(qū)域科學(xué)發(fā)展的評(píng)價(jià)方案，以榆林市為例，對(duì)自然資源開(kāi)發(fā)與資源性區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)系從理論及實(shí)踐兩方面深入探討，依據(jù)中外學(xué)者所研究的發(fā)展理論，構(gòu)建一種長(zhǎng)效的新型協(xié)調(diào)機(jī)制，并將其與制度相結(jié)合討論，最后在上述研究基礎(chǔ)上提出相關(guān)政策。 本文共分為七章。第一章為緒論，闡明本文研究的選題背景、目的意義、研究方法、技術(shù)路線及研究范圍概述；第二章概述國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者對(duì)本研究領(lǐng)域所做研究的現(xiàn)狀，并對(duì)相關(guān)理論的基本內(nèi)容做了簡(jiǎn)要的介紹；第三章核算榆林市12區(qū)縣的綠色GDP并在此基礎(chǔ)上，，用人均綠色GDP替換人均GDP構(gòu)建了GHDI并做了實(shí)證分析；第四章在GHDI三個(gè)維度的基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)指標(biāo)進(jìn)行拓展，采用主成分分析和模糊隸屬度等分析方構(gòu)建了榆林區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)-人口社會(huì)-資源環(huán)境復(fù)合系統(tǒng)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展模型，并在此基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)各區(qū)縣系統(tǒng)間的協(xié)調(diào)程度進(jìn)行測(cè)度；由于第5章時(shí)間跨度上的統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)很難獲得，所以在第六章采用了2006～2010年榆林12區(qū)縣的面板數(shù)據(jù)，構(gòu)建了包括經(jīng)濟(jì)、環(huán)境與就業(yè)效應(yīng)的聯(lián)立方程模型，這樣即能夠?qū)Ω鲄^(qū)縣的橫截面數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行分析，同時(shí)也進(jìn)行了時(shí)間序列分析，由此進(jìn)一步深入分析了影響區(qū)域發(fā)展的主要影響因素；第六章是結(jié)論與政策建議；第七章為主要?jiǎng)?chuàng)新點(diǎn)及展望。 實(shí)證結(jié)果顯示，“2010年榆林市各區(qū)縣系統(tǒng)之間總體處于弱協(xié)調(diào)狀態(tài)，南部六縣的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展程度相對(duì)較北六縣要高，但分析說(shuō)明這種協(xié)調(diào)是處于低水平發(fā)展基礎(chǔ)之上的[3]”。因此，要加快推進(jìn)榆林市可持續(xù)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展水平，消除局部地區(qū)生態(tài)環(huán)境問(wèn)題突出、區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差距擴(kuò)大等問(wèn)題。榆林地區(qū)工業(yè)廢水、工業(yè)二氧化硫、工業(yè)固體廢物與人均GDP之間呈倒“U”型EKC曲線關(guān)系，符合環(huán)境庫(kù)茲涅茨曲線假說(shuō)，但還遠(yuǎn)沒(méi)有越過(guò)環(huán)境曲線的拐點(diǎn)；相關(guān)檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果說(shuō)明榆林地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)仍然是以要素投入為主，并長(zhǎng)期依賴于高碳行業(yè)，社會(huì)保障和教育投資還沒(méi)有產(chǎn)生重大的增長(zhǎng)效益。 本研究得到市校聯(lián)合基金項(xiàng)目：榆林市科學(xué)發(fā)展測(cè)度與解析基金的資助。
[Abstract]:The traditional concept of development is simply the pursuit of rapid economic development as the only value goal. GDP has become the most important measure of government performance. This concept of development has been proved to have many defects. No longer adapt to the needs of the development of modern society [2]. According to the scientific development concept and the relevant theories and evaluation methods of development economics, this paper will establish the evaluation scheme of regional scientific development from the four research directions of ecology, economics, sociology and systematics. Taking Yulin City as an example, the relationship between the development of natural resources and the development of resource-based regional economy is discussed in theory and practice. According to the development theory studied by Chinese and foreign scholars, a new long-term coordination mechanism is constructed. Finally, on the basis of the above research, the relevant policies are put forward. This paper is divided into seven chapters. The first chapter is an introduction to clarify the background, purpose, significance, research methods, technical routes and research scope of this study; the second chapter summarizes the current situation of domestic and foreign scholars' research in this field. In chapter three, the green GDP of 12 districts and counties in Yulin city is calculated, and on this basis, the GHDI is constructed with per capita green GDP instead of per capita GDP, and an empirical analysis is made. Chapter 4th expands the index on the basis of three dimensions of GHDI, and constructs the coordinated development model of Yulin regional economic-population-social-resource-environment compound system by principal component analysis and fuzzy membership analysis. On this basis, the degree of coordination among the districts and counties is measured. Because the statistical data on the time span of chapter 5 are difficult to obtain, the panel data of 12 districts and counties in Yulin from 2006 to 2010 are used in Chapter 6th to construct the including economy. The simultaneous equation model of environment and employment effect, which can analyze the cross-section data of each district and county, at the same time, it also carries on the time series analysis, which further analyzes the main influencing factors of the regional development. Chapter 6th is the conclusion and policy suggestion, and Chapter 7th is the main innovation point and prospect. The empirical results show that "in 2010, the system of districts and counties in Yulin City was in a state of weak coordination, and the degree of coordinated development of the southern six counties was higher than that of the northern six counties, but the analysis showed that the coordination was based on a low level of development." It is necessary to speed up the sustainable and coordinated development of Yulin City, eliminate the outstanding ecological and environmental problems in some areas, and widen the regional economic gap. The relationship between industrial solid waste and per capita GDP is inverted "U" type EKC curve, which accords with the hypothesis of environmental Kuznets curve, but it is far from crossing the inflection point of environmental curve. The results show that the economic growth in Yulin area is still mainly based on factor input and depends on high carbon industry for a long time. Social security and education investment have not produced significant growth benefits. This study is supported by the Yulin City Science Development Measurement and Analysis Fund.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西安建筑科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;D67

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