本文關(guān)鍵詞： 邊疆地區(qū) 經(jīng)濟(jì)周期 總供給 總需求　出處：《云南大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：本文主要研究改革開(kāi)放以來(lái),邊疆地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)周期增長(zhǎng)規(guī)律和影響經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)的因素以及國(guó)家宏觀調(diào)控政策對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)周期的影響。 本文首先通過(guò)邊疆地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)率曲線,運(yùn)用“波谷——波谷”的劃分方法對(duì)邊疆地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)周期進(jìn)行了劃分,運(yùn)用比較分析法比較了邊疆地區(qū)和內(nèi)陸地區(qū)以及全國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)周期異同點(diǎn)。然后又比較分析了邊疆內(nèi)部東北地區(qū)、西北地區(qū)和西南地區(qū)三個(gè)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)周期波動(dòng)的異同點(diǎn)。 其次從總供給和總需求角度分析邊疆地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)周期波動(dòng)的原因,比較不同因素對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)周期波動(dòng)影響的差異程度。具體從第一產(chǎn)業(yè)、第二產(chǎn)業(yè)、第三產(chǎn)業(yè)以及工業(yè)、消費(fèi)、投資和省際貿(mào)易差額等方面分析它們對(duì)邊疆地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)影響的差異,找出制約邊疆地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的因素。同時(shí)還比較了邊疆地區(qū)內(nèi)部三區(qū)域在供給和需求方面對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)周期波動(dòng)不同的影響程度。 本文通過(guò)相關(guān)研究,得出以下結(jié)論：改革開(kāi)放以來(lái),邊疆地區(qū)的平均增長(zhǎng)速度低于內(nèi)陸地區(qū),但是穩(wěn)定性比內(nèi)陸好；三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)中第二產(chǎn)業(yè)占經(jīng)濟(jì)總量的比重最大,第二產(chǎn)業(yè)增長(zhǎng)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的相關(guān)性最強(qiáng),第二產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的貢獻(xiàn)率也最高,同時(shí)第一產(chǎn)業(yè)在經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中的地位在減弱,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的地位在增強(qiáng),對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)在增大,與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的相關(guān)性也在加強(qiáng)；需求方面,比較高的消費(fèi)率和投資率并沒(méi)有導(dǎo)致高的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)速度,這主要是由于巨大的省際貿(mào)易逆差抵消了投資、消費(fèi)和外貿(mào)凈出口對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn),抑制了邊疆省份的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。
[Abstract]:This paper mainly studies the law of economic cycle growth and the factors influencing economic fluctuation in the frontier area since the reform and opening up, as well as the influence of the national macro-control policy on the economic cycle. In this paper, the economic cycle of borderland area is divided by using the method of "trough-trough" through the curve of economic growth rate in frontier area. The similarities and differences of the economic cycles in the border areas, inland areas and the whole country are compared by using the comparative analysis method, and then the similarities and differences of the economic cycle fluctuations in the northeast, northwest and southwest regions of the border areas are compared and analyzed. Secondly, from the angle of total supply and total demand, this paper analyzes the reasons of the economic cycle fluctuation in the frontier area, and compares the different degree of influence of different factors on the economic cycle fluctuation. Specifically, from the primary industry, the second industry, the third industry, and the industry and consumption, Investment and inter-provincial trade balance, etc., are analyzed in terms of their effects on the economic fluctuations in the border areas. Find out the factors that restrict the economic development of the borderland, and compare the different influence degree of the supply and demand on the economic cycle fluctuation in the three regions of the border area at the same time. In this paper, we draw the following conclusions: since the reform and opening up, the average growth rate of the frontier areas is lower than that of the inland areas, but the stability is better than that of the inland areas, and the secondary industry accounts for the largest proportion of the total economic volume in the third industrial structure. The correlation between the growth of the secondary industry and economic growth is strongest, and the contribution rate of the secondary industry to the economy is also the highest. At the same time, the position of the primary industry in economic development is weakening, the position of the tertiary industry is increasing, and the contribution to economic growth is increasing. The correlation with economic growth is also increasing; on the demand side, higher consumption and investment rates have not led to high rates of economic growth, mainly because large inter-provincial trade deficits have offset investment. The contribution of consumption and net exports to economic growth has dampened economic growth in frontier provinces.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：云南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127

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本文編號(hào)：1517052