入境旅游發(fā)展與我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系
發(fā)布時間:2018-01-29 00:18
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 入境旅游 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長 市場選擇 時間序列分析 出處:《經(jīng)濟(jì)管理》2014年02期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:關(guān)于入境旅游發(fā)展與我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系,國內(nèi)研究多認(rèn)為是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長推動了入境旅游的發(fā)展,類似結(jié)論與國外相關(guān)研究有較大差異。在時間序列分析框架下,本文通過對比國內(nèi)外文獻(xiàn)探討了該差異形成的可能原因。實證研究發(fā)現(xiàn),在擴(kuò)大信息集和樣本容量后,基于向量誤差修正模型的計總分析及其效應(yīng)分解分析均表明,國內(nèi)先前的相關(guān)研究結(jié)論可能需要商榷。在計總效應(yīng)分解分析的基礎(chǔ)上,本文進(jìn)一步討論了我國入境旅游市場選擇的優(yōu)先次序。
[Abstract]:As to the relationship between the development of inbound tourism and the economic growth of our country, most domestic studies think that the economic growth promotes the development of inbound tourism, and the similar conclusions are quite different from those of other countries. Under the framework of time series analysis, this paper discusses the relationship between the development of inbound tourism and economic growth in China. This paper discusses the possible causes of this difference by comparing the domestic and foreign literature. The empirical study found that after expanding the information set and sample size. Based on the vector error correction model, the total counting analysis and the effect decomposition analysis show that the previous research conclusions may need to be discussed, on the basis of the total effect decomposition analysis. This paper further discusses the priority of the choice of inbound tourism market in China.
【作者單位】: 華東師范大學(xué)商學(xué)院;上海師范大學(xué)商學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家社會科學(xué)基金重點項目“我國反季旅游市場潛力的區(qū)域差異及開發(fā)策略研究”(12AJY008)
【分類號】:F592;F124;F224
【正文快照】: 問題e筇岢鱸詮噬,
本文編號:1471965
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