本文關(guān)鍵詞： 廣東經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展 城鄉(xiāng)收入差距 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)　出處：《華南理工大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：廣東作為改革開放的窗口，長(zhǎng)期以來一直是我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的排頭兵，對(duì)廣東省城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之關(guān)系的研究具有一定的代表性。本文首先從城鄉(xiāng)絕對(duì)收入差距與城鄉(xiāng)收入比兩個(gè)方面對(duì)1978-2011年廣東省城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系進(jìn)行經(jīng)驗(yàn)描述，并和全國(guó)的進(jìn)行對(duì)比，初步了解和認(rèn)識(shí)廣東城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的軌跡或特征，且將1978年到2011年這34個(gè)統(tǒng)計(jì)年度的廣東與全國(guó)城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的歷程分成五個(gè)階段，詳細(xì)說明、分析二者關(guān)系的規(guī)律和特征。然后討論了二元經(jīng)濟(jì)理論模型的適用性，并利用勞動(dòng)剩余型發(fā)展中國(guó)家二元經(jīng)濟(jì)理論模型解釋了廣東省城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系，并進(jìn)一步從經(jīng)濟(jì)體制改革、政府干預(yù)和宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)等方面對(duì)兩者的關(guān)系進(jìn)行理論解釋。最后利用回歸模型、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、誤差修正模型和格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析，驗(yàn)證“倒U”型曲線和分析城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的互動(dòng)關(guān)系。 經(jīng)過分析，本文主要得出以下幾點(diǎn)結(jié)論：（1）廣東城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)大致呈“倒U”型曲線的關(guān)系，二元經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模型在廣東省具有一定的適用性；（2）1978-2011年廣東長(zhǎng)期處于二元經(jīng)濟(jì)理論模型的第一階段，，城鄉(xiāng)收入差距促進(jìn)了經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速增長(zhǎng)，但由于存在遷徙的壁壘以及城市人口的承載能力的限制，使得經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速增長(zhǎng)并未起到很好的縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的作用；（3）1978-2011年廣東城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系會(huì)受到經(jīng)濟(jì)體制改革、政府干預(yù)和宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)等因素的影響，呈現(xiàn)出一定的波動(dòng)性；（4）廣東城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的“拐點(diǎn)”已近出現(xiàn)，但并不穩(wěn)定，未來出現(xiàn)反彈或在高位波動(dòng)等情況都是有可能的。
[Abstract]:Guangdong, as the window of reform and opening up, has long been the vanguard of China's economic development. The research on the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Guangdong province has certain representativeness. Firstly, this paper analyzes the urban and rural income of Guangdong province from 1978 to 2011 from the two aspects of absolute urban-rural income gap and urban-rural income ratio. The relationship between entry gap and economic growth is described empirically. And compared with the whole country, preliminary understanding and understanding of the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Guangdong track or characteristics. From 1978 to 2011, the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Guangdong and China was divided into five stages. The law and characteristics of the relationship between the two are analyzed, and then the applicability of the dual economic theory model is discussed. It also explains the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Guangdong Province by using the dualistic economic theory model of labor surplus developing countries, and further reforms the economic system. Finally, we use regression model, cointegration test, error correction model and Granger causality test to make empirical analysis. Verify the "inverted U" curve and analyze the interaction between urban and rural income gap and economic growth. Through analysis, this paper draws the following conclusions: (1) the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Guangdong is roughly "inverted U" curve, and the dual economic development model has certain applicability in Guangdong Province; From 1978 to 2011, Guangdong was in the first stage of dual economic theory model, and the income gap between urban and rural areas promoted the rapid economic growth. However, due to the existence of barriers to migration and the limitation of urban population carrying capacity, the rapid economic growth has not played a good role in narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas. From 1978 to 2011, the relationship between income gap between urban and rural areas and economic growth in Guangdong will be affected by economic system reform, government intervention and macroeconomic factors, showing certain volatility. 4) the "inflection point" of the relationship between urban and rural income gap and economic growth in Guangdong is near, but it is not stable. It is possible to rebound or fluctuate at a high level in the future.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華南理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F124.7;F127

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本文編號(hào)：1462266