本文關(guān)鍵詞： 低碳經(jīng)濟(jì) 路徑選擇 協(xié)整 GFI因素分解 SD模型 系統(tǒng)仿真　出處：《內(nèi)蒙古財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：從國際的角度來看，近年來，全球氣候變暖和她所連帶的一系列問題引起了全世界的普遍關(guān)注。國際社會(huì)已經(jīng)開始著手反思現(xiàn)有的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式和能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)，力求盡快構(gòu)建一個(gè)有強(qiáng)勁執(zhí)行力的行動(dòng)綱領(lǐng)解決由碳排放引起的全球氣候變暖問題。如何應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變暖，不僅是一個(gè)環(huán)境領(lǐng)域的問題，更是一個(gè)涉及經(jīng)濟(jì)、政治、外交、法律等多個(gè)領(lǐng)域的復(fù)雜的國際問題，可能使人類的生活和生產(chǎn)方式發(fā)生翻天覆地的變化。 從國內(nèi)發(fā)展形勢來看，中國經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展一定要向低碳、低熵、低代價(jià)的生態(tài)文明轉(zhuǎn)變。這是不可改變的趨勢。內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)自改革開放以來，經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)快速健康發(fā)展，呈現(xiàn)出又好又快的發(fā)展勢頭。內(nèi)蒙古是能源、資源大省，更是一個(gè)典型的高碳經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)。順應(yīng)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展趨勢，抓住先機(jī)，積極發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)是內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)發(fā)展的不二選擇。 面對(duì)如此嚴(yán)峻的國際、國內(nèi)氣候變化形勢和繁重的節(jié)能任務(wù)，內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)如何在工業(yè)化發(fā)展和溫室氣體減排之間尋求平衡，繼續(xù)保持近幾年“內(nèi)蒙古模式”的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展速度是一個(gè)亟待解決的問題。國內(nèi)學(xué)者對(duì)此也進(jìn)行了眾多研究，但這些研究大部分還是停留在定性研究方面，定量的研究比較少，這必然對(duì)自治區(qū)政府發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)存在一定局限。本文擬運(yùn)用定性與定量相結(jié)合的方法，主要做了以下工作： 第一部分，作為論文的開端，是論文的基礎(chǔ)，主要介紹論文的選題背景、研究意義和相關(guān)理論基礎(chǔ)，其中重點(diǎn)介紹低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的有關(guān)理論，使讀者對(duì)低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的概念達(dá)到一定的認(rèn)知水平。在此基礎(chǔ)上，對(duì)國內(nèi)外的相關(guān)研究、發(fā)展實(shí)踐進(jìn)行梳理，明確現(xiàn)階段低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)方面的研究動(dòng)態(tài)和發(fā)展實(shí)踐水平，進(jìn)而提出本文的研究思路，，主要內(nèi)容和研究方法。 第二部分,主要研究內(nèi)蒙古經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與碳排放之間的關(guān)系，檢驗(yàn)內(nèi)蒙古發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的適應(yīng)性。 第三部分,本文計(jì)劃對(duì)內(nèi)蒙古低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行一個(gè)描述。具體而言，筆者計(jì)劃從內(nèi)蒙古低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展環(huán)境和內(nèi)蒙古低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的探索入手進(jìn)行分析，分析內(nèi)蒙古低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)未來持續(xù)發(fā)展的有利條件和基礎(chǔ)，及其在發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)方面做出的努力和發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀。 第四部分是準(zhǔn)備部分。通過對(duì)內(nèi)蒙古低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展系統(tǒng)的研究，明確內(nèi)蒙古低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展系統(tǒng)的結(jié)構(gòu)，之后通過因素分解法分析各部分對(duì)碳排量的影響程度，確定影響內(nèi)蒙古低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的主要因素。 第五部分是本文的核心。這部分主要根據(jù)第四部分得到的影響內(nèi)蒙古低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的主要因素來構(gòu)建內(nèi)蒙古低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)（SD）模型。 第六部分是本文的路徑選擇部分。通過第五部分構(gòu)建的（SD）模型進(jìn)行系統(tǒng)仿真，找到內(nèi)蒙古低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的最優(yōu)路徑。 第七部分是結(jié)論及建議部分。根據(jù)本文的理論和實(shí)證分析，對(duì)內(nèi)蒙古低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展給出一些建議。
[Abstract]:From an international perspective, in recent years. A series of problems associated with global warming and climate change have aroused worldwide concern. The international community has begun to rethink the existing economic development patterns and energy consumption structure. Strive to build a strong implementation of the action program to solve the problem of global warming caused by carbon emissions. How to deal with global warming is not only an environmental problem, but also a related economy. The complex international problems in politics, diplomacy, law and other fields may revolutionize the way of human life and production. Judging from the domestic development situation, China's economic and social development must shift to a low carbon, low entropy and low cost ecological civilization. This is an irrevocable trend. Inner Mongolia is a large province of energy and resources, but also a typical high-carbon economic zone. Conform to the trend of economic and social development, seize the opportunity. Active development of low-carbon economy is the development of Inner Mongolia Autonomous region choice. In the face of such severe international, domestic climate change situation and heavy energy saving task, how to find a balance between industrial development and greenhouse gas emission reduction in Inner Mongolia Autonomous region. It is an urgent problem to maintain the speed of economic development of "Inner Mongolia Model" in recent years. Domestic scholars have also carried out a lot of research on this, but most of these studies remain in the qualitative research. The quantitative research is relatively few, which is bound to the development of low-carbon economy of the autonomous region government has some limitations. This paper intends to use the combination of qualitative and quantitative methods, mainly do the following work: The first part, as the beginning of the paper, is the basis of the paper, mainly introduces the background of the topic, research significance and related theoretical basis, which focuses on the introduction of low-carbon economy theory. On the basis of this, the author sorts out the relevant research and development practice at home and abroad, and clarifies the research trends and development practice level of low-carbon economy at this stage. Then put forward the research ideas, main content and research methods. The second part mainly studies the relationship between economic development and carbon emission in Inner Mongolia to test the adaptability of developing low carbon economy in Inner Mongolia. In the third part, this paper plans to describe the development of low carbon economy in Inner Mongolia. Specifically, the author plans to analyze the development environment of low carbon economy in Inner Mongolia and the development of low carbon economy in Inner Mongolia. This paper analyzes the favorable conditions and foundations for the sustainable development of the low carbon economy in Inner Mongolia in the future, as well as its efforts and present situation in the development of the low carbon economy. The 4th part is the preparation part. Through the study of the development system of the low carbon economy in Inner Mongolia, the structure of the development system of the low carbon economy in Inner Mongolia is clarified, and the influence of each part on the carbon emission is analyzed by factor decomposition method. Determine the main factors that affect the development of low carbon economy in Inner Mongolia. Part 5th is the core of this paper. This part constructs the system dynamics model of the development of low carbon economy in Inner Mongolia according to the main factors that affect the development of low carbon economy in Inner Mongolia obtained in part 4th. The 6th part is the path selection part of this paper. Through the system simulation of the 5th part of the model, we find the optimal path for the development of low carbon economy in Inner Mongolia. Part 7th is the conclusion and suggestion part. According to the theoretical and empirical analysis of this paper, some suggestions on the development of low carbon economy in Inner Mongolia are given.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：內(nèi)蒙古財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F224

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 王中英;王禮茂;;中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長對(duì)碳排放的影響分析[J];安全與環(huán)境學(xué)報(bào);2006年05期

2 陸虹;中國環(huán)境問題與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)系分析——以大氣污染為例[J];財(cái)經(jīng)研究;2000年10期

3 謝軍安;郝東恒;謝雯;;我國發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的思路與對(duì)策[J];當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟(jì)管理;2008年12期

4 朱四海;;低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式與中國的選擇[J];發(fā)展研究;2009年05期

5 鮑健強(qiáng);苗陽;陳鋒;;低碳經(jīng)濟(jì):人類經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式的新變革[J];中國工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì);2008年04期

6 王群偉;周鵬;周德群;;我國二氧化碳排放績效的動(dòng)態(tài)變化、區(qū)域差異及影響因素[J];中國工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì);2010年01期

7 許廣月;宋德勇;;中國碳排放環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線的實(shí)證研究——基于省域面板數(shù)據(jù)[J];中國工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì);2010年05期

8 莊貴陽;中國經(jīng)濟(jì)低碳發(fā)展的途徑與潛力分析[J];國際技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2005年03期

9 童彥;華紅蓮;張碧星;閆偉華;;云南省環(huán)境庫茲涅茨特征研究[J];環(huán)境保護(hù)科學(xué);2007年06期

10 姬振海;;低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)與清潔發(fā)展機(jī)制[J];中國環(huán)境管理干部學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào);2008年02期

本文編號(hào)：1452545