本文關(guān)鍵詞： 江蘇低碳經(jīng)濟 發(fā)展水平評價 聚類分析 影響因素分解　出處：《南京財經(jīng)大學》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：自2009年哥本哈根氣候大會及2010年墨西哥坎昆氣候會議召開以后，發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟成為各國的共識。2009年，國家主席胡錦濤在聯(lián)合國氣候變化峰會上也明確表示要大力發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟。毫無疑問，低碳經(jīng)濟已經(jīng)成為當前的熱點研究問題。江蘇省作為我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的重要省份之一，研究江蘇省低碳經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展問題對江蘇省乃至全國具有重大的意義。 本文在對國內(nèi)外低碳經(jīng)濟發(fā)展相關(guān)文獻進行回顧和研究方法進行對比分析的基礎(chǔ)上，首先，從能源消耗、溫室氣體排放、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、生態(tài)環(huán)境四個方面分別分析江蘇省低碳經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的基本情況，并進一步指出江蘇省低碳經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中存在的主要問題，即能源需求量大、消費結(jié)構(gòu)不合理，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)重型化，政策法規(guī)不完善。然后，建立江蘇省低碳經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平評價指標體系，運用層次分析法計算出指標體系中各指標的權(quán)重，從而計算出江蘇省及各地市2005至2010年低碳經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平指數(shù)（LCI）,并對各地市的LCI進行聚類分析，得到三個碳區(qū)：相對高碳區(qū)，，相對中碳區(qū)和相對低碳區(qū)。進而，綜合運用對數(shù)平均迪氏指數(shù)法（LMDI）分別對江蘇省總體及各碳區(qū)進行影響因素分解，找出影響江蘇省低碳經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的主要因素。最后，鑒于評價結(jié)果，文章提出了一些提升江蘇省低碳經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的相關(guān)對策與建議，并歸納了相關(guān)研究結(jié)論，提出了后續(xù)需改進與完善的方向。
[Abstract]:Since the Copenhagen Climate Conference in 2009 and the Cancun Climate Conference in Mexico on 2010, the development of low-carbon economy has become the consensus of all countries. 2009. Chinese President Hu Jintao also made it clear at the UN climate change summit that efforts will be made to develop a low-carbon economy. There is no doubt. As one of the most important provinces of economic development in China, it is of great significance to study the development of low-carbon economy in Jiangsu Province. Based on the review and comparative analysis of domestic and foreign low-carbon economic development literature, firstly, from energy consumption, greenhouse gas emissions, industrial structure. Four aspects of ecological environment analysis of the basic situation of low-carbon economy in Jiangsu Province, and further pointed out the main problems in the development of low-carbon economy in Jiangsu Province, that is, large energy demand, unreasonable consumption structure. The industrial structure is heavy and the policies and regulations are not perfect. Then, the evaluation index system of the development level of low carbon economy in Jiangsu Province is established, and the weight of each index in the index system is calculated by using the Analytic hierarchy process (AHP). From 2005 to 2010, the index of low carbon economic development level of Jiangsu Province and each city was calculated, and the cluster analysis of LCI of each city was carried out, and three carbon regions were obtained: relatively high carbon area. Furthermore, the LMDI method is used to decompose the influencing factors of the whole and each carbon region of Jiangsu Province respectively by using the logarithmic average Dee exponent method (LMDI), which is relative to the middle carbon area and the relatively low carbon area. Finally, in view of the evaluation results, the paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions to promote the development of low-carbon economy in Jiangsu Province, and summarizes the relevant research conclusions. The direction of further improvement and improvement is put forward.
【學位授予單位】：南京財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F127;F205

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