本文關(guān)鍵詞：改革開放以來中國經(jīng)濟增長動力轉(zhuǎn)換的時空特征，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

改革開放以來中國經(jīng)濟增長動力轉(zhuǎn)換的時空特征

Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of the Propulsion Transform of China＇s Economic Growth since the Reform and Opening up

[1]

Yu Yongze （Industry Development Research Institute, Nanjing University of Finance Economics~ Institute of Industrial Economics of CASS）

[1]南京財經(jīng)大學(xué); [2]中國社會科學(xué)院工業(yè)經(jīng)濟研究所

文章摘要：基于中國1978～2012年的省級面板數(shù)據(jù)，采用檢驗后的超越對數(shù)生產(chǎn)函數(shù)的隨機前沿模型，利用兩套資本存量核算方法，對中國經(jīng)濟增長動力的來源及其時空特征進行分析，并對2008年金融危機的4萬億元投資政策進行了效率評價。研究結(jié)果表明，中國屬于典型的投資主導(dǎo)型經(jīng)濟，資本投入是中國經(jīng)濟增長持續(xù)穩(wěn)定的最主要來源，TFP貢獻率呈現(xiàn)逐年下降的趨勢；中國經(jīng)濟增長動力由改革開放初期的資本、勞動力和TFP三駕馬車平衡拉動，形成了現(xiàn)階段的資本投入與TFP反向角力態(tài)勢；區(qū)域經(jīng)濟差距主要源于資本投入與TFP雙重差異，但TFP差異是最重要因素；4萬億元經(jīng)濟刺激政策下中國經(jīng)濟復(fù)蘇屬于典型的“投資主導(dǎo)型復(fù)蘇”，是以犧牲中國生產(chǎn)率為代價的，TFP在2008年后呈現(xiàn)斷崖式下降，平均拉低中國TFP達0．23～0．32個百分點。

Abstr：This paper analyses the sources of China impetus of economic growth and its spatial and temporal characteristics using tested stochastic frontier translog production func- tion based on Chinese 1978~2012 provincial panel data, and evaluates the efficiency of four trillion investment policy on the financial crisis of 2008. Research result shows that： China＇s economy belongs to the economy led by typical investment, capital investment is the main source of economic growth in China, TFP contribution rate shows a declining trend year by year; The propulsion of China＇s economic growth changes from evenly pull by troika includ- ed capital, labor and TFP in prime of reform to reversed wrestle within capital and TFP at the present stage; the regional economic disparity mainly comes from capital input and TFP double difference, but the difference of TFP is the most important factor; four trillion eco- nomic stimulus policy in Chinese economic recovery is a typical investment led recovery, which is at the expense of Chinese productivity. TFP in 2008 presents a cliff drop, and pulls down the TFP as 0. 23~0. 32 percentage points in average.

文章關(guān)鍵詞：

Keyword：:Economic Growth Growth Momentum TFP~ Spatial and Temporal Character-istics

課題項目：國家自然科學(xué)基金“創(chuàng)新模式優(yōu)化與區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率提升：基于創(chuàng)新價值鏈與空間外溢視角”（71403115）、博士后科學(xué)基金一等資助項目“創(chuàng)新價值鏈視角下區(qū)域差異性技術(shù)進步路徑選擇研究”（2014M550114）、江蘇省高校優(yōu)勢學(xué)科、江蘇現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)協(xié)同創(chuàng)新中心的資助.

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：改革開放以來中國經(jīng)濟增長動力轉(zhuǎn)換的時空特征，，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。