本文關(guān)鍵詞：改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)動(dòng)力轉(zhuǎn)換的時(shí)空特征，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)動(dòng)力轉(zhuǎn)換的時(shí)空特征

Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of the Propulsion Transform of China＇s Economic Growth since the Reform and Opening up

[1]

Yu Yongze （Industry Development Research Institute, Nanjing University of Finance Economics~ Institute of Industrial Economics of CASS）

[1]南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué); [2]中國(guó)社會(huì)科學(xué)院工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究所

文章摘要：基于中國(guó)1978～2012年的省級(jí)面板數(shù)據(jù)，采用檢驗(yàn)后的超越對(duì)數(shù)生產(chǎn)函數(shù)的隨機(jī)前沿模型，利用兩套資本存量核算方法，對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)動(dòng)力的來(lái)源及其時(shí)空特征進(jìn)行分析，并對(duì)2008年金融危機(jī)的4萬(wàn)億元投資政策進(jìn)行了效率評(píng)價(jià)。研究結(jié)果表明，中國(guó)屬于典型的投資主導(dǎo)型經(jīng)濟(jì)，資本投入是中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)持續(xù)穩(wěn)定的最主要來(lái)源，TFP貢獻(xiàn)率呈現(xiàn)逐年下降的趨勢(shì)；中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)動(dòng)力由改革開(kāi)放初期的資本、勞動(dòng)力和TFP三駕馬車平衡拉動(dòng)，形成了現(xiàn)階段的資本投入與TFP反向角力態(tài)勢(shì)；區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差距主要源于資本投入與TFP雙重差異，但TFP差異是最重要因素；4萬(wàn)億元經(jīng)濟(jì)刺激政策下中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇屬于典型的“投資主導(dǎo)型復(fù)蘇”，是以犧牲中國(guó)生產(chǎn)率為代價(jià)的，TFP在2008年后呈現(xiàn)斷崖式下降，平均拉低中國(guó)TFP達(dá)0．23～0．32個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。

Abstr：This paper analyses the sources of China impetus of economic growth and its spatial and temporal characteristics using tested stochastic frontier translog production func- tion based on Chinese 1978~2012 provincial panel data, and evaluates the efficiency of four trillion investment policy on the financial crisis of 2008. Research result shows that： China＇s economy belongs to the economy led by typical investment, capital investment is the main source of economic growth in China, TFP contribution rate shows a declining trend year by year; The propulsion of China＇s economic growth changes from evenly pull by troika includ- ed capital, labor and TFP in prime of reform to reversed wrestle within capital and TFP at the present stage; the regional economic disparity mainly comes from capital input and TFP double difference, but the difference of TFP is the most important factor; four trillion eco- nomic stimulus policy in Chinese economic recovery is a typical investment led recovery, which is at the expense of Chinese productivity. TFP in 2008 presents a cliff drop, and pulls down the TFP as 0. 23~0. 32 percentage points in average.

文章關(guān)鍵詞：

Keyword：:Economic Growth Growth Momentum TFP~ Spatial and Temporal Character-istics

課題項(xiàng)目：國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金“創(chuàng)新模式優(yōu)化與區(qū)域全要素生產(chǎn)率提升：基于創(chuàng)新價(jià)值鏈與空間外溢視角”（71403115）、博士后科學(xué)基金一等資助項(xiàng)目“創(chuàng)新價(jià)值鏈視角下區(qū)域差異性技術(shù)進(jìn)步路徑選擇研究”（2014M550114）、江蘇省高校優(yōu)勢(shì)學(xué)科、江蘇現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)協(xié)同創(chuàng)新中心的資助.

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)動(dòng)力轉(zhuǎn)換的時(shí)空特征，，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。