中國與美國及日本證券市場聯(lián)動性研究
本文關鍵詞: 聯(lián)動性 股權分置改革 次貸危機 中國股市 美國股市 日本股市 出處:《河北工業(yè)大學》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文
【摘要】:隨著經(jīng)濟全球化的迅猛發(fā)展,國際金融市場也正經(jīng)歷一體化的過程,各國金融市場的聯(lián)動性日益提高,一個國家金融市場的波動不僅會受到自身因素的影響,可能還會受到其它金融市場波動的傳染。本文以股權分置改革前、股權分置改革后至次貸危機爆發(fā)前、次貸危機爆發(fā)后三個時期中國股市和美國股市、中國股市和日本股市聯(lián)動性為研究主線,理論與實證相結合,分析三個不同時期中美股市、中日股市的聯(lián)動性及變動方式。最后得出結論并對投資者、金融監(jiān)管機構提出相應建議。 全文共由五部分組成:第一部分導論主要介紹本文的研究背景、目的和意義,并綜合歸納國內外學者對于股市間聯(lián)動性的理論與實證成果;第二部分介紹證券市場股價聯(lián)動的幾種基本理論及兩種股市聯(lián)動的內在機制;第三部分從理論層面研究股權分置改革前、股權分置改革后至次貸危機前、次貸危機爆發(fā)后三個不同時期中美股市、中日股市的聯(lián)動機制及三個時期中國證券市場制度改革對中美股市、中日股市聯(lián)動性的影響方式及程度;第四部分對中美股市、中日股市在股權分置改革前、股權分置改革后至次貸危機前、次貸危機爆發(fā)后三個不同時期的聯(lián)動性進行了實證分析;第五部分對三個不同時期中美股市、中日股市聯(lián)動性變化得出結論,并根據(jù)我國證券市場實情,提出了加強投資者教育和保護,加大金融監(jiān)管力度等建議。 本文在定量分析上,,主要采用協(xié)整分析、Granger非因果關系檢驗、方差分解目前比較權威的分析方法,并分別對三個不同時期中美股市、中日股市的聯(lián)動性做了總結對比。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of economic globalization, the international financial market is also going through the process of integration, the linkage of financial markets of various countries is increasing day by day, the fluctuation of a country's financial market will not only be affected by its own factors. It may also be affected by the volatility of other financial markets. This paper refers to the Chinese stock market and the American stock market in the three periods before the split share structure reform, after the split share structure reform and before the subprime mortgage crisis, and after the subprime mortgage crisis broke out. The linkage between Chinese stock market and Japanese stock market is the main line of study. The combination of theory and practice is used to analyze the linkage and change mode of Chinese and American stock markets in three different periods. Finally, the conclusion is drawn and the investors are given. Financial regulators put forward corresponding recommendations. The thesis consists of five parts: the first part mainly introduces the research background, purpose and significance of this paper, and summarizes the theoretical and empirical results of domestic and foreign scholars on stock market interaction; The second part introduces several basic theories of stock price linkage and the internal mechanism of stock market linkage. Three different periods after the subprime mortgage crisis broke out in China and the United States stock market, the linkage mechanism of China and Japan stock market, and the influence of China's stock market system reform on the Chinese and American stock markets, and the ways and degrees of the interaction between China and Japan stock markets in the three periods; the 4th part of the impact on the Chinese and American stock markets, Before the reform of split share structure, before the reform of split share structure and before the subprime mortgage crisis, the paper makes an empirical analysis on the linkage of three different periods after the breakout of the subprime mortgage crisis. Part 5th analyzes the three different periods of Sino-American stock market. According to the reality of China's securities market, this paper puts forward some suggestions, such as strengthening investor education and protection, and strengthening financial supervision. In quantitative analysis, this paper mainly adopts cointegration analysis Granger non-causality test, variance decomposition of the current more authoritative analysis methods, and three different periods of Sino-American stock market, Sino-Japanese stock market linkage are summarized and compared.
【學位授予單位】:河北工業(yè)大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F832.51;F831.51
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