【摘要】：由2007年美國(guó)次貸危機(jī)引起的全球性金融危機(jī)一波未平,歐洲債務(wù)危機(jī)一波又起,這使得對(duì)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)二次探底的擔(dān)憂始終未能消除,也使得人們需要重新審視經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與金融發(fā)展的關(guān)系。國(guó)外學(xué)者對(duì)該領(lǐng)域的研究起步較早,理論研究趨于完善,實(shí)證成果較為豐富。國(guó)內(nèi)學(xué)者結(jié)合我國(guó)實(shí)際數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究的比較多,且大多集中在國(guó)家層面和發(fā)達(dá)省份的層面上。 近年來(lái),吉林省經(jīng)濟(jì)和金融增長(zhǎng)速度較快,但起步晚、基礎(chǔ)較差,整體發(fā)展較為滯后。由此考慮選擇將吉林省作為研究對(duì)象,以期對(duì)今后發(fā)展提出建議更具現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文現(xiàn)從理論方面,分析吉林省金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的影響關(guān)系。通過(guò)收集吉林省金融和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的實(shí)際數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)其進(jìn)行趨勢(shì)分析,總結(jié)發(fā)展的特點(diǎn),歸納制約發(fā)展的因素和問(wèn)題。另一方面,從實(shí)證角度,選取經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、金融業(yè)整體、銀行業(yè)、保險(xiǎn)業(yè)、證券業(yè)等相應(yīng)指標(biāo),利用VAR模型描述吉林省金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的影響關(guān)系。Granger因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)分析指標(biāo)間的因果關(guān)系,利用脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)表達(dá)指標(biāo)受到?jīng)_擊時(shí)對(duì)整個(gè)系統(tǒng)的影響,用方差分解定量分析指標(biāo)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)度。結(jié)合兩方面結(jié)論,從促進(jìn)金融創(chuàng)新、提高金融體系市場(chǎng)化程度、促進(jìn)省內(nèi)金融機(jī)構(gòu)均衡分布等角度提出建議,希望通過(guò)推動(dòng)吉林省的金融發(fā)展能對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)做出更大的貢獻(xiàn)。
[Abstract]:The global financial crisis caused by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2007 and the debt crisis in Europe have risen again and again, which has made it impossible to allay concerns about the secondary bottoming out of the world economy. It also makes it necessary to re-examine the relationship between economic growth and financial development. Foreign scholars started early in this field, the theoretical research tends to perfect, and the empirical results are more abundant. There are many empirical studies based on the actual data in China, and most of them focus on the national level and the developed provinces. In recent years, Jilin Province's economic and financial growth rate is relatively fast, but the start is late, the foundation is poor, and the overall development lags behind. So it is important to choose Jilin Province as the research object in order to put forward some suggestions for the future development. In this paper, the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Jilin Province is analyzed theoretically. By collecting the actual data of financial and economic development in Jilin Province, this paper analyzes the trend, summarizes the characteristics of development, and sums up the factors and problems that restrict the development of Jilin Province. On the other hand, from an empirical point of view, select economic growth, financial sector as a whole, banking, insurance, securities and other relevant indicators, The VAR model is used to describe the influence relationship between financial development and economic growth in Jilin Province. Granger causality test is used to analyze the causal relationship between the indicators and the impulse response function is used to express the impact on the whole system when the indexes are impacted. Variance decomposition was used to quantitatively analyze the contribution of indicators to economic growth. Combined with two conclusions, this paper puts forward some suggestions from the angles of promoting financial innovation, improving the degree of marketization of financial system and promoting the balanced distribution of financial institutions in the province, hoping that the financial development of Jilin Province can make a greater contribution to the economic growth through promoting the financial development of Jilin Province.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：東北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F832.7

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本文編號(hào)：2446260