【摘要】：2015年11月,中央經(jīng)濟(jì)工作會(huì)議第一次提出了供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革經(jīng)濟(jì)政策,經(jīng)濟(jì)新常態(tài)時(shí)期中國經(jīng)濟(jì)需要供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革來著力提高供給體系質(zhì)量和效率,增強(qiáng)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)增長動(dòng)力,推動(dòng)我國社會(huì)生產(chǎn)力水平實(shí)現(xiàn)整體躍升。供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革,是適應(yīng)和引領(lǐng)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展新常態(tài)的重大創(chuàng)新,是適應(yīng)國際金融危機(jī)發(fā)生后綜合國力競爭新形勢的主動(dòng)選擇,是適應(yīng)我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展新常態(tài)的必然要求。因此,從供給側(cè)角度探究經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的動(dòng)力機(jī)制具有現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文研究的主要內(nèi)容放在了去產(chǎn)能、去庫存、去杠桿、降成本、補(bǔ)短板,全面實(shí)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級和供需結(jié)構(gòu)平衡,提高經(jīng)濟(jì)效率,走出經(jīng)濟(jì)困局。隨著世界經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化發(fā)展,全球金融體系的健全,一國經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展態(tài)勢受到世界經(jīng)濟(jì)周期趨勢的影響。同時(shí),對于該國的經(jīng)濟(jì)體和金融體系提出了更加高效和完善的要求,需要構(gòu)建更為全面合理的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展體系。針對貨幣政策對供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革的影響和支持路徑的選擇研究,主要分為兩個(gè)方向:一方面是供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革的側(cè)重點(diǎn)和主要內(nèi)容,另一方面是研究貨幣政策各項(xiàng)可行路徑的選擇。通過分析研究可以得到,貨幣政策對供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革支持路徑有如下幾項(xiàng):(1)利率市場化的定價(jià)體系,更加穩(wěn)健的市場有利于去產(chǎn)能、去庫存、降成本;(2)完善多層次的資本市場,多渠道融資來降低成本和去杠桿;(3)匯率政策的健全,匯率市場化有利于去產(chǎn)能;(4)金融體系的創(chuàng)新,彌補(bǔ)我國金融體系的短板;(5)貨幣政策工具的創(chuàng)新,適應(yīng)新常態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展時(shí)期的供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革。從行業(yè)發(fā)展情況建立的綜合評價(jià)體系中得到各項(xiàng)貨幣政策指標(biāo)的評價(jià)值,針對本文研究結(jié)果,最終提出以下幾點(diǎn)政策建議:第一,著眼于國內(nèi)外經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢,培育供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革新政策。首先,分析清楚當(dāng)前的經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢,提出結(jié)構(gòu)性改革;其次,認(rèn)識到供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革的迫切性,提出改革的主要內(nèi)容;最后,找準(zhǔn)供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革的出發(fā)點(diǎn),鋪墊好結(jié)構(gòu)性改革的基礎(chǔ)。第二,著眼于貨幣政策的機(jī)理分析,構(gòu)建供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革的支持路徑。首先,貨幣政策各項(xiàng)支持路徑的實(shí)施,既具有針對性又互相交錯(cuò)影響;其次,貨幣政策與供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革的融合互動(dòng),創(chuàng)新出新的體制機(jī)制。第三,根據(jù)新時(shí)期的需要重構(gòu)貨幣政策體系。首先,根據(jù)供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革,選取貨幣政策指標(biāo)的側(cè)重點(diǎn);其次,以貨幣政策與實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)的聯(lián)系,來促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長;最后,貨幣政策要響應(yīng)供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:In November 2015, the Central Economic work Conference first proposed a supply-side structural reform economic policy. In the new normal period, China's economy needs supply-side structural reform to focus on improving the quality and efficiency of the supply system. We will strengthen the impetus for sustained economic growth and promote the overall jump in the level of social productivity in China. Supply-side structural reform is an important innovation to adapt to and lead the new normal of economic development, an active choice to adapt to the new situation of comprehensive national strength competition after the occurrence of the international financial crisis, and an inevitable requirement to adapt to the new normal of China's economic development. Therefore, it is of practical significance to explore the dynamic mechanism of economic growth from the perspective of supply side. The main content of this paper is to reduce the production capacity, deleverage, reduce the cost, make up the deficiency, realize the upgrading of the industrial structure and balance the supply and demand structure in an all-round way, improve the economic efficiency, and get out of the economic difficult situation. With the development of the world economic integration and the perfection of the global financial system, the development trend of a country's economy is influenced by the trend of the world economic cycle. At the same time, the country's economy and financial system put forward more efficient and perfect requirements, need to build a more comprehensive and reasonable economic development system. The research on the influence of monetary policy on supply-side structural reform and the choice of supporting path can be divided into two directions: on the one hand, it is the focus and main content of supply-side structural reform; On the other hand, it is to study the choice of feasible path of monetary policy. Through the analysis and research, it can be concluded that the monetary policy supports the supply-side structural reform as follows: (1) the pricing system of interest rate marketization, a more robust market is conducive to the reduction of production capacity, inventory and cost reduction; (2) perfect multi-level capital market, multi-channel financing to reduce cost and deleveraging; (3) perfect exchange rate policy, exchange rate marketization is beneficial to capacity reduction; (4) innovation of financial system to make up for the deficiency of our financial system; (5) the innovation of monetary policy tools should adapt to the supply-side structural reform in the new normal period of economic development. The evaluation value of various monetary policy indicators is obtained from the comprehensive evaluation system of industry development. According to the research results of this paper, the following policy suggestions are finally put forward: first, focusing on the domestic and foreign economic situation, We will foster a new policy for supply-side structural reform. First of all, analyze the current economic situation clearly, put forward structural reform, second, recognize the urgency of supply-side structural reform, put forward the main content of the reform; Finally, find the starting point of supply-side structural reform and lay the foundation of structural reform. Secondly, focusing on the mechanism analysis of monetary policy, the supporting path of supply-side structural reform is constructed. First of all, the implementation of various support paths of monetary policy has both pertinence and interlacing influence; secondly, the integration of monetary policy and supply-side structural reform has created a new institutional mechanism. Third, according to the needs of the new period, the reconstruction of the monetary policy system. First of all, according to the supply-side structural reform, select the focus of monetary policy indicators; secondly, the relationship between monetary policy and real economy to promote economic growth; finally, monetary policy should respond to the development of supply-side structural reform.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華東交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F822.0;F121

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