【摘要】：改革開放以來，長三角經(jīng)濟與產(chǎn)業(yè)都實現(xiàn)了跨越式發(fā)展，取得了優(yōu)異的成績。隨著全球經(jīng)濟一體化趨勢的發(fā)展，國際化分工日益明顯，中國憑借勞動力優(yōu)勢成為制造大國，長三角更是以其制造業(yè)的絕對優(yōu)勢成為了推動全國經(jīng)濟快速增長的重要地區(qū)。然而，面臨近幾年我國勞動力優(yōu)勢逐漸降低、能源日漸緊缺以及環(huán)境保護限制，長三角地區(qū)的制造業(yè)優(yōu)勢正在日漸喪失，現(xiàn)今長三角地區(qū)的主導產(chǎn)業(yè)空間結構是否合理，未來其主導產(chǎn)業(yè)空間結構的如何變化，才能保證長三角地區(qū)經(jīng)濟繼續(xù)穩(wěn)固增長是社會各界共同關注的焦點。 本文將主導產(chǎn)業(yè)理論與產(chǎn)業(yè)空間結構理論相結合，并利用重心方法，研究長三角主導產(chǎn)業(yè)的空間結構演化的演化軌跡及影響因素。首先利用主成分分析法選擇長三角主導產(chǎn)業(yè)，從中選擇三個代表性產(chǎn)業(yè)，，即黑色金屬冶煉及壓延加工業(yè)、通用設備制造業(yè)和計算機與通信設備制造業(yè)作為研究對象。然后確定主導產(chǎn)業(yè)空間結構演化的測算參數(shù)-產(chǎn)業(yè)重心、產(chǎn)業(yè)重心移動距離、區(qū)域勻質(zhì)指數(shù)和區(qū)域重量，對以上三個產(chǎn)業(yè)的空間結構演化進行軌跡描述，得到以黑色金屬冶煉及壓延加工業(yè)、通用設備制造業(yè)和計算機與通信設備制造業(yè)為代表的長三角主導產(chǎn)業(yè)的空間結構演化軌跡：產(chǎn)業(yè)重心的轉移方向都是從東南向西北轉移；產(chǎn)業(yè)重心都是從浙江省轉移到江蘇省。并對長三角主導產(chǎn)業(yè)的空間結構演化特征進行分析，得出長三角主導產(chǎn)業(yè)的空間結構演化特征。最后提出長三角主導產(chǎn)業(yè)空間結構演化影響因素的理論假設，建立計量模型，從自然優(yōu)勢、集聚經(jīng)濟、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構和市場需求四個方面對長三角主導產(chǎn)業(yè)的空間結構演化的影響因素進行量化分析，得出長三角各城市的黑色金屬冶煉及壓延加工業(yè)、通用設備制造業(yè)和計算機與通信設備制造業(yè)的影響因子以及影響大小。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the Yangtze River Delta economy and industry have achieved leapfrog development and achieved excellent results. With the development of global economic integration, the international division of labor becomes more and more obvious. China has become a manufacturing country by virtue of its labor advantages, and the Yangtze River Delta has become an important region to promote the rapid economic growth of the whole country with the absolute advantage of its manufacturing industry. However, in recent years, the advantages of labor force in our country have gradually decreased, the energy resources are becoming increasingly scarce and the environmental protection is restricted. The manufacturing advantage of the Yangtze River Delta region is losing day by day. Is the spatial structure of the leading industry in the Yangtze River Delta region reasonable or not? How to change the spatial structure of leading industries in the future can ensure the steady economic growth of the Yangtze River Delta region is the focus of common concern of all walks of life. In this paper, the theory of leading industry and the theory of industrial spatial structure are combined, and the evolution of spatial structure of leading industries in Yangtze River Delta is studied by using the method of gravity. Firstly, the principal component analysis (PCA) is used to select the leading industries in the Yangtze River Delta, and three representative industries, namely, the ferrous metal smelting and calender processing industry, the general equipment manufacturing industry and the computer and communication equipment manufacturing industry, are selected as the research objects. Then determine the measurement parameters of the spatial structure evolution of leading industries-industrial gravity center, industrial gravity center moving distance, regional homogeneity index and regional weight, and describe the evolution of the spatial structure of the three industries. The evolution trajectory of spatial structure of leading industries in Yangtze River Delta, represented by ferrous metal smelting and calender processing industry, general equipment manufacturing industry and computer and communication equipment manufacturing industry, is obtained: the shift direction of industry center of gravity is from southeast to northwest; The industrial center of gravity is transferred from Zhejiang Province to Jiangsu Province. The spatial structure evolution characteristics of the leading industries in the Yangtze River Delta are analyzed, and the evolution characteristics of the spatial structure of the leading industries in the Yangtze River Delta are obtained. Finally, the theoretical hypothesis of the factors influencing the evolution of the spatial structure of leading industries in the Yangtze River Delta is put forward, and the econometric model is established to gather the economy from the natural advantages. The factors influencing the evolution of spatial structure of leading industries in the Yangtze River Delta are analyzed quantitatively from four aspects of industrial structure and market demand, and it is concluded that the ferrous metal smelting and calender processing industry in the cities of the Yangtze River Delta. General equipment manufacturing and computer and communication equipment manufacturing factors and the impact of the size.
【學位授予單位】：哈爾濱工業(yè)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127

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