【摘要】：改革開放以來,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長主要依靠物質(zhì)消耗、要素投入和低成本比較優(yōu)勢,但是這種發(fā)展模式已經(jīng)難以持續(xù),資源能源難以支撐,生態(tài)環(huán)境難以承受。因此,必須充分發(fā)揮“創(chuàng)新作為引領(lǐng)發(fā)展第一動(dòng)力”的作用,推動(dòng)傳統(tǒng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方式向創(chuàng)新驅(qū)動(dòng)加速轉(zhuǎn)變,大幅度提高科技進(jìn)步對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的貢獻(xiàn)作用,使自主創(chuàng)新成為經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)又好又快發(fā)展的內(nèi)在動(dòng)力。甘肅省作為我國典型的西部欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)的省份,科技創(chuàng)新資源相對豐富,近年來科技進(jìn)步也相對較快。基于此,本研究在國家創(chuàng)新驅(qū)動(dòng)的戰(zhàn)略下,以典型地區(qū)為例,探索欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)依靠科技創(chuàng)新推動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長具有重要理論價(jià)值和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本研究通過建立VAR模型和面板數(shù)據(jù)模型深入分析了科技創(chuàng)新對甘肅省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響及其區(qū)域差異。首先構(gòu)建測算甘肅省科技創(chuàng)新能力值的指標(biāo)體系,使用熵值法測出1998-2014年甘肅省科技創(chuàng)新能力值;其次,通過檢驗(yàn)科技創(chuàng)新和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的相關(guān)性、平穩(wěn)性、因果性,使用自回歸模型實(shí)證分析科技創(chuàng)新對甘肅省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響;再次,基于甘肅省14個(gè)地州市的面板數(shù)據(jù)分析了科技創(chuàng)新對甘肅省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響;最后探討了科技創(chuàng)新對甘肅省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響的區(qū)域差異。基于上述研究,本研究主要得出以下結(jié)論:(1)甘肅省科技創(chuàng)新能力明顯提升。通過熵值法測算了1998-2014年甘肅省科技創(chuàng)新能力,結(jié)果顯示,甘肅省科技創(chuàng)新水平在研究期間有明顯的提高;(2)科技創(chuàng)新能夠顯著促進(jìn)甘肅省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長。通過建立VAR模型,結(jié)果顯示科技創(chuàng)新能夠顯著促進(jìn)甘肅省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長。然后,基于甘肅省14個(gè)地州市的面板數(shù)據(jù)的分析結(jié)果同樣得出科技創(chuàng)新對甘肅省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有顯著影響;(3)科技創(chuàng)新對甘肅省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有明顯的區(qū)域差異。影響程度最強(qiáng)的為蘭州市,影響程度較強(qiáng)的有嘉峪關(guān)市、白銀市、慶陽市、酒泉市,影響程度一般的有臨夏州、定西市、甘南州、金昌市,影響程度最弱的有武威市、天水市、張掖市、平?jīng)鍪?而科技創(chuàng)新對隴南市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響不顯著;(4)科技創(chuàng)新對甘肅省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長產(chǎn)生顯著性影響的地區(qū)具有明顯的演化趨勢,影響的顯著性地區(qū)逐步演化為以蘭州市、酒嘉地區(qū)以及天水市為主的區(qū)域。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economic growth mainly depends on material consumption, factor input and low cost comparative advantage, but this mode of development has been unsustainable, resources and energy is difficult to support, ecological environment is difficult to bear. Therefore, it is necessary to give full play to the role of "innovation as the first driving force in leading development", to accelerate the transformation from traditional economic growth to innovation-driven, and to greatly enhance the contribution of scientific and technological progress to economic growth. Make independent innovation become the internal motive force of economic society good and fast development. Gansu Province is a typical underdeveloped province in the west of China, with relatively abundant scientific and technological innovation resources and relatively rapid scientific and technological progress in recent years. Based on this, this study has important theoretical value and practical significance to explore the economic growth in underdeveloped areas by relying on scientific and technological innovation under the national innovation-driven strategy, taking typical areas as an example. Through the establishment of VAR model and panel data model, this study deeply analyzes the impact of scientific and technological innovation on economic growth in Gansu Province and its regional differences. Firstly, the index system of measuring the scientific and technological innovation ability of Gansu Province is constructed, and the value of scientific and technological innovation ability of Gansu Province from 1998 to 2014 is measured by entropy method. Secondly, by testing the correlation between scientific and technological innovation and economic growth, stability, causality, using autoregressive model empirical analysis of the impact of scientific and technological innovation on economic growth in Gansu Province; Thirdly, based on the panel data of 14 prefectures in Gansu province, this paper analyzes the impact of scientific and technological innovation on the economic growth of Gansu province, and finally discusses the regional differences of the impact of scientific and technological innovation on the economic growth of Gansu province. Based on the above research, the main conclusions are as follows: (1) Gansu province's scientific and technological innovation ability is obviously improved. The scientific and technological innovation ability of Gansu Province from 1998 to 2014 is calculated by entropy method. The results show that the level of scientific and technological innovation in Gansu Province has obviously improved during the research period; (2) Science and technology innovation can significantly promote the economic growth of Gansu Province. By establishing VAR model, the results show that scientific and technological innovation can significantly promote economic growth in Gansu Province. Then, based on the panel data of 14 prefectures and cities in Gansu Province, it is also concluded that scientific and technological innovation has a significant impact on the economic growth of Gansu Province; (3) there are significant regional differences between scientific and technological innovation and economic growth in Gansu Province. The most influential cities are Lanzhou, Jiayuguan, Baiyin, Qingyang, Jiuquan, and Linxia, Dingxi, Gannan, Jinchang, and Wuwei and Tianshui. Zhangye city, Pingliang city, but scientific and technological innovation has no significant impact on economic growth in Longnan city; (4) there is an obvious evolutionary trend in the areas where scientific and technological innovation has a significant impact on the economic growth of Gansu Province, and the significant area of the impact is gradually evolving into a region dominated by Lanzhou City, Jiujia area and Tianshui City.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：蘭州財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F127

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