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發(fā)展中國(guó)家基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施與服務(wù)貿(mào)易動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的實(shí)證研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-10-22 11:23
【摘要】:20世紀(jì)80年代以來(lái),國(guó)際服務(wù)貿(mào)易發(fā)展迅速,不僅總量快速增長(zhǎng),結(jié)構(gòu)也在加快升級(jí)。在世界服務(wù)貿(mào)易格局中,發(fā)展中國(guó)家總體處于劣勢(shì)地位,難以與發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家抗衡,發(fā)展中國(guó)家要想在國(guó)際服務(wù)貿(mào)易中處于有利地位,必須要實(shí)現(xiàn)服務(wù)貿(mào)易比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的動(dòng)態(tài)轉(zhuǎn)變。根據(jù)國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者的研究,服務(wù)貿(mào)易比較優(yōu)勢(shì)動(dòng)態(tài)轉(zhuǎn)變的兩種基本途徑是要素積累和技術(shù)進(jìn)步,而一國(guó)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的投入不僅能促進(jìn)各種不同生產(chǎn)要素的積累,而且會(huì)對(duì)技術(shù)進(jìn)步產(chǎn)生一定的影響,各國(guó)學(xué)者的實(shí)證研究也證明了基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施對(duì)貿(mào)易和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要作用。因此,本文嘗試從廣義基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施角度出發(fā),從理論和實(shí)證方面研究基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施與服務(wù)貿(mào)易動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)演化的關(guān)系,對(duì)提升發(fā)展中國(guó)家服務(wù)貿(mào)易的比較優(yōu)勢(shì),具有重要的意義。 理論研究方面,首先從廣義角度對(duì)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施進(jìn)行界定,然后借鑒H.Oniki and H.Uzawa的分析框架以及李默爾的“要素稟賦三角”來(lái)研究基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施、要素積累以及服務(wù)貿(mào)易動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的關(guān)系,將傳統(tǒng)的三種生產(chǎn)要素進(jìn)行修正,詳細(xì)分析了基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施如何對(duì)應(yīng)不同生產(chǎn)要素的積累從而影響服務(wù)貿(mào)易動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)。 實(shí)證研究方面,首先對(duì)發(fā)展中國(guó)家服務(wù)貿(mào)易比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行分析,然后研究了中國(guó)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投入與服務(wù)貿(mào)易動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的相關(guān)關(guān)系,再主要對(duì)發(fā)展中國(guó)家1995-2012年的面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行計(jì)量回歸分析,并與發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家樣本的回歸結(jié)果進(jìn)行比較。結(jié)果表明:基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施投入對(duì)發(fā)展中國(guó)家服務(wù)貿(mào)易比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的動(dòng)態(tài)轉(zhuǎn)變具有重要的影響。其中,生產(chǎn)性基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施對(duì)發(fā)展中國(guó)家服務(wù)貿(mào)易出口總量的提升作用大于貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu);非生產(chǎn)性基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施對(duì)發(fā)展中國(guó)家服務(wù)貿(mào)易出口總量和結(jié)構(gòu)的促進(jìn)作用有待提升;制度性基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施對(duì)發(fā)展中國(guó)家服務(wù)貿(mào)易出口總量的增加有較明顯作用,對(duì)貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的促進(jìn)作用有待提升。而與發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家對(duì)比顯示:發(fā)展中國(guó)家的生產(chǎn)性基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施和制度性基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施對(duì)服務(wù)貿(mào)易比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的提升作用更明顯,而非生產(chǎn)性基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施對(duì)服務(wù)貿(mào)易比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的影響不及發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家。 最后,針對(duì)發(fā)展中國(guó)家服務(wù)貿(mào)易動(dòng)態(tài)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)現(xiàn)狀以及實(shí)證結(jié)果提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since 1980's, international service trade has developed rapidly. In the pattern of world trade in services, developing countries are in an inferior position in general and difficult to compete with developed countries. If developing countries want to be in a favorable position in international trade in services, they must realize the dynamic transformation of comparative advantages of trade in services. According to the research of scholars at home and abroad, the two basic approaches to the dynamic transformation of comparative advantage in service trade are factor accumulation and technological progress, and the investment in infrastructure of a country can not only promote the accumulation of various factors of production. And it will have a certain impact on technological progress. The empirical research of scholars in various countries has also proved that infrastructure plays an important role in trade and economic growth. Therefore, this paper attempts to study the relationship between infrastructure and the evolution of dynamic comparative advantage of service trade from the point of view of generalized infrastructure and from the theoretical and empirical aspects. It is of great significance to enhance the comparative advantage of developing countries in services trade. In theoretical research, we define infrastructure from a broad perspective, and then use H.Oniki and H.Uzawa 's analytical framework and Limer's "Factor Endowment Triangle" to study infrastructure. Based on the relationship between factor accumulation and dynamic comparative advantage of service trade, the traditional three factors of production are revised, and how the infrastructure corresponds to the accumulation of different factors of production is analyzed in detail to influence the dynamic comparative advantage of trade in services. In the aspect of empirical research, this paper first analyzes the current situation of developing countries' comparative advantage in services trade, and then studies the correlation between China's infrastructure investment and the dynamic comparative advantage of trade in services. Then the panel data of developing countries from 1995 to 2012 are analyzed and compared with those of developed countries. The results show that infrastructure investment plays an important role in the dynamic transformation of developing countries' comparative advantage in services trade. Among them, the contribution of productive infrastructure to the total export of services trade of developing countries is greater than that of trade structure, and that of non-productive infrastructure to the total volume and structure of services trade of developing countries needs to be enhanced. Institutional infrastructure plays a significant role in increasing the total exports of developing countries' services trade, while promoting the trade structure needs to be enhanced. Compared with the developed countries, the productive infrastructure and institutional infrastructure of the developing countries play a more important role in enhancing the comparative advantage of trade in services. The influence of non-productive infrastructure on the comparative advantage of trade in services is not as good as that of developed countries. Finally, the paper puts forward corresponding policy recommendations on the dynamic comparative advantage of developing countries' service trade and empirical results.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:廈門(mén)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F746.18;F112.1

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