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勞動收入占比與居民消費率:機理與中國經(jīng)驗

發(fā)布時間:2018-09-18 10:01
【摘要】:勞動收入占比對居民消費的影響機理主要是通過影響國民收入在居民部門分配的比例進而影響居民的消費能力(可支配收入水平),通過影響社會的消費傾向進而影響居民的消費需求;同樣的,主要通過影響居民消費規(guī)模和GDP(經(jīng)濟增長)進而影響居民消費率。由于居民消費和GDP之間存在相互影響、相互制約關(guān)系,勞動收入占比對居民消費率的影響會有不同。若勞動收入占比對居民消費規(guī)模表現(xiàn)出正向影響,且勞動收入占比對GDP的影響不顯著,則勞動收入占比對居民消費率一定表現(xiàn)出正向的影響。中國經(jīng)驗數(shù)據(jù)的實證檢驗發(fā)現(xiàn):勞動收入占比上升是近年來中國居民消費率提升的一大重要因素。勞動收入占比上升對中國居民消費率的促進效應(yīng)不是因為勞動收入占比對居民消費的正向推動,中國的勞動收入占比與居民消費率正相關(guān)關(guān)系顯著是由勞動收入占比對GDP表現(xiàn)出負向影響引致的。在推進功能性分配結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的同時應(yīng)有效地發(fā)揮勞動收入占比對中國居民消費率的促進效應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:The influence mechanism of the proportion of labor income on resident consumption is mainly by influencing the proportion of national income in the household sector and then the consumption ability (disposable income level) of the residents, and by influencing the consumption tendency of the society, and then influencing the consumption tendency of the society. Affecting the consumption demand of residents; Similarly, mainly by affecting the scale of household consumption and GDP (economic growth) and then affect the rate of consumption. Because of the mutual influence and restriction between residents' consumption and GDP, the proportion of labor income will have different influence on the consumption rate of residents. If the proportion of labor income has a positive effect on the consumption scale of residents, and the proportion of labor income has no significant effect on GDP, then the proportion of labor income has a positive effect on the consumption rate of residents. The empirical test of Chinese empirical data shows that the increase of labor income is one of the most important factors to increase the consumption rate of Chinese residents in recent years. The effect of the increase in the proportion of labor income on the consumption rate of Chinese residents is not due to the positive impact of the proportion of labor income on the consumption of Chinese residents. The positive correlation between the labor income ratio and the resident consumption rate in China is due to the negative influence of the labor income share on GDP. While promoting the optimization of functional distribution structure, we should give full play to the contribution of labor income to the consumption rate of Chinese residents.
【作者單位】: 江蘇理工學(xué)院商學(xué)院;南京大學(xué)商學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家社會科學(xué)基金青年項目“勞動力成本上升支撐經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的機制與政策影響研究”(14CJL011) 江蘇省“青藍工程”青年骨干教師培養(yǎng)項目 江蘇理工學(xué)院優(yōu)秀中青年骨干教師境外研修項目
【分類號】:F126

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