【摘要】：西部大開(kāi)發(fā)戰(zhàn)略的深層次推進(jìn)、北部灣經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)開(kāi)發(fā)開(kāi)放戰(zhàn)略的實(shí)施以及工業(yè)化、城市化進(jìn)程的加快,推動(dòng)廣西經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)入持續(xù)高速增長(zhǎng)的快車(chē)道。處于工業(yè)化中期發(fā)展階段的廣西,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與資源、環(huán)境保護(hù)之間的矛盾日益突出,特別是隨著工業(yè)規(guī)模的迅速擴(kuò)張和人口的增加,水資源、土地資源等相對(duì)不足與結(jié)構(gòu)性失衡的矛盾越來(lái)越尖銳,一定程度上導(dǎo)致了生態(tài)優(yōu)化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的不可持續(xù)性�！笆舜蟆碧岢黾涌旖⑸鷳B(tài)文明制度和推動(dòng)形成人與自然和諧發(fā)展現(xiàn)代化建設(shè)新格局,在此背景下,探討區(qū)域可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力的培育具有重要戰(zhàn)略意義和決策價(jià)值。本文選用定量研究可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力的生態(tài)足跡法,根據(jù)廣西社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒和相關(guān)調(diào)查實(shí)踐獲得的數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)廣西2002年-2011年的生態(tài)足跡和生態(tài)承載力分別進(jìn)行了計(jì)算,并結(jié)合萬(wàn)元GDP生態(tài)足跡、萬(wàn)元GDP生態(tài)赤字、生態(tài)足跡指數(shù)EFI、生態(tài)協(xié)調(diào)度DS、生態(tài)足跡多樣性指數(shù)H和生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)系發(fā)展能力C,定量分析和預(yù)測(cè)了廣西經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的可持續(xù)性,最后提出了實(shí)現(xiàn)廣西可持續(xù)發(fā)展的對(duì)策建議。分析結(jié)果表明： (1)2011年廣西生態(tài)足跡中各土地類(lèi)型影響程度的排序?yàn)椋耗茉从玫夭莸馗亓值厮蚪ㄖ玫亍Ｄ茉从玫�、草地和耕地所占比重達(dá)到了80%,并且呈逐年上升的趨勢(shì)。 (2)隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,生態(tài)足跡的需求越來(lái)越大,廣西人均生態(tài)足跡由2002年的1.3334hm2/cap增加到2011年的2.2343hm2/cap,生態(tài)赤字2002年的0.8254hm2/cap增加到2011年的1.5914hm2/cap,已經(jīng)嚴(yán)重超出了生態(tài)環(huán)境的承載能力。 (3)萬(wàn)元GDP生態(tài)足跡由2002年的2.5477hm2/cap下降到2011年的0.9911hm2/cap,生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展能力C從2002年的1.84提高到2011年的3.27,表明隨著科技的進(jìn)步,人類(lèi)利用自然資源的效率不斷提高。生態(tài)足跡指數(shù)EFI都小于-100%,屬于嚴(yán)重不可持續(xù),生態(tài)協(xié)調(diào)指數(shù)DS也是由2002年的1.29下降到2011年的1.26,說(shuō)明經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展是以可持續(xù)和生態(tài)協(xié)調(diào)的犧牲為代價(jià)的。 基于生態(tài)足跡實(shí)證結(jié)果,綜合考慮廣西可持續(xù)發(fā)展的制約因素及其前景,提出了促進(jìn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力提升的相關(guān)對(duì)策建議,包括：第一,全面貫徹落實(shí)科學(xué)發(fā)展觀；第二,提高生態(tài)承載力；第三,發(fā)展生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)和循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)；第四,合理調(diào)整農(nóng)業(yè)種植結(jié)構(gòu),提高土地創(chuàng)造財(cái)富的能力；第五,改變資源消耗型的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)模式,提高資源利用效率。
[Abstract]:The deep promotion of the western development strategy, the implementation of the development and opening strategy of the Beibu Gulf Economic Zone, and the acceleration of industrialization and urbanization have promoted Guangxi's economy to enter the fast lane of sustained and high-speed growth. In Guangxi, which is in the middle stage of industrialization, the contradiction between economic growth and resources and environmental protection is becoming increasingly prominent, especially with the rapid expansion of industrial scale and the increase of population, water resources, The contradiction between the relative shortage of land resources and the structural imbalance is more and more sharp, which leads to the ecological optimization and the unsustainability of economic growth to some extent. "18th National Congress" proposed to speed up the establishment of ecological civilization system and promote the formation of a new pattern of harmonious development between man and nature. Under this background, it is of great strategic significance and decision-making value to explore the cultivation of regional sustainable development ability. In this paper, the ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity of Guangxi from 2002 to 2011 are calculated by using the ecological footprint method of quantitative study on sustainable development ability, based on the data obtained from Guangxi's social and economic statistical yearbooks and related survey practices. Combined with the ecological footprint of ten thousand yuan GDP, the ecological deficit of ten thousand yuan GDP, the ecological footprint index EFI, ecological coordination degree DS, ecological footprint diversity index H and the development ability of ecological economy department, the sustainability of Guangxi's economic development was quantitatively analyzed and predicted. Finally, the countermeasures and suggestions to realize the sustainable development of Guangxi are put forward. The results show that: (1) in 2011, the order of land types in Guangxi ecological footprint is: energy land, grassland, arable land, forest land, water area, construction land. The proportion of energy land, grassland and cultivated land has reached 80%, and has been increasing year by year. (2) with the development of economy, the demand for ecological footprint is increasing. The per capita ecological footprint of Guangxi increased from 1.3334hm2/cap in 2002 to 2.2343 hm-2 / capa in 2011, and the ecological deficit increased to 1.5914hm2 / capin in 2002, which has seriously exceeded the carrying capacity of ecological environment. (3) the ecological footprint of GDP was increased from 2.5477hm2/cap in 2002 to 1.5914hm2 / cap. Down to 0.9911hm2 / cap. in 2011, the ability to develop the ecological economy increased from 1.84 in 2002 to 3.27 in 2011, indicating that with the progress of science and technology, The efficiency of human use of natural resources is increasing. The ecological footprint index (EFI) is less than -100, which is seriously unsustainable. The ecological coordination index (DS) is also reduced from 1.29 in 2002 to 1.26 in 2011, indicating that the economic development is at the expense of sustainability and ecological coordination. Based on the empirical results of ecological footprint, considering the constraints and prospects of sustainable development in Guangxi, this paper puts forward the relevant countermeasures and suggestions to promote the ability of sustainable development, including: first, to implement the concept of scientific development in an all-round way; second, Improve ecological carrying capacity; third, develop ecological economy and circular economy; fourth, rationally adjust the structure of agricultural planting, improve the ability of land to create wealth; fifthly, change the economic growth model of resource consumption and improve the efficiency of resource utilization.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣西師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F205;F124.5

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