【摘要】：20世紀(jì)中期以來，由于人口的急劇膨脹和陸地資源的日趨枯竭，世界各國(guó)開始更加重視海洋資源的開發(fā)與利用。中國(guó)作為一個(gè)發(fā)展中的經(jīng)濟(jì)大國(guó)，在世界各國(guó)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)速度加快，高新技術(shù)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展支撐力逐步增強(qiáng)的情形下，亟需找到新的突破口以實(shí)現(xiàn)彎道超越。鑒于我國(guó)豐富的海洋資源現(xiàn)狀以及海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的廣闊前景，有必要加大對(duì)海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的扶持力度，從而使海洋經(jīng)濟(jì)成為我國(guó)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要支撐點(diǎn)。隨著我國(guó)海權(quán)意識(shí)的不斷增強(qiáng)及科學(xué)技術(shù)水平的不斷提高，海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)必將有著更廣闊的發(fā)展前景和更大的社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)帶動(dòng)性。 本文通過定性分析和運(yùn)動(dòng)偏離份額分析演進(jìn)模型為主的定量分析的方法，建立了山東半島藍(lán)色經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)海洋三次產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力評(píng)估模型，，有步驟、有條理、有邏輯的量化山東半島藍(lán)色經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)海洋三次產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力水平。借鑒國(guó)外發(fā)展海洋的先進(jìn)經(jīng)驗(yàn)，提出藍(lán)區(qū)海洋三次產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力提升的政策建議。 本文構(gòu)筑了全面、科學(xué)、嚴(yán)謹(jǐn)?shù)钠x-份額分析法的演進(jìn)模型。包括動(dòng)態(tài)偏離-份額模型、偏離-份額空間模型以及動(dòng)態(tài)偏離-份額空間模型。動(dòng)態(tài)偏離-份額模型是以年為單位，在時(shí)間維度上考察三次產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的變化規(guī)律；偏離-份額空間模型是將區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)間的空間影響引入到模型中來，考察了研究區(qū)域與鄰近區(qū)域的產(chǎn)業(yè)增長(zhǎng)的相對(duì)速度；動(dòng)態(tài)偏離-份額空間模型集合了時(shí)間維度和空間維度上的考量，全面嚴(yán)謹(jǐn)?shù)亓炕怂{(lán)區(qū)海洋三次產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r。分析顯示，在動(dòng)態(tài)偏離-份額模型中，藍(lán)區(qū)海洋第一、第二產(chǎn)業(yè)均處于競(jìng)爭(zhēng)劣勢(shì)地位，其競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力分量年均值分別為-14.60和-23.51億元，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)處于競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)地位，其競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力分量年均值為21.77億元；在動(dòng)態(tài)偏離-份額空間模型中，藍(lán)區(qū)海洋三次產(chǎn)業(yè)均處于競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力劣勢(shì)地位，其競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力分量年均值分別為-32.93億元、-231.60億元以及-29.04億元。 借鑒國(guó)外海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的先進(jìn)經(jīng)驗(yàn)，如科技推進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、機(jī)構(gòu)設(shè)置優(yōu)化等，提出了山東半島藍(lán)色經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)海洋三次產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力提升的戰(zhàn)略層面和對(duì)策層面的政策建議。戰(zhàn)略層面建議包括優(yōu)化海洋產(chǎn)業(yè)布局，突出地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)特色、促進(jìn)地區(qū)間產(chǎn)業(yè)的聯(lián)動(dòng)發(fā)展以及注重微觀層面的海洋三次產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)劃；對(duì)策層面建議包括靈活的宏觀政策調(diào)控、積極地財(cái)政金融政策支持以及鼓勵(lì)并推動(dòng)科技創(chuàng)新等。
[Abstract]:Since the middle of the 20th century, due to the rapid expansion of population and the depletion of land resources, countries in the world began to pay more attention to the exploitation and utilization of marine resources. As a developing economic power, China is in urgent need of finding a new breakthrough in order to achieve the surpassing of the bend road under the circumstances that the industrial upgrading speed is quickening and the support of high and new technology to the economic development is being strengthened step by step in various countries of the world. In view of the present situation of rich marine resources and the broad prospect of marine economic development, it is necessary to strengthen the support for the development of marine industry, so as to make the marine economy become an important supporting point for the development of our national economy. With the continuous enhancement of the consciousness of sea power and the improvement of science and technology, the marine industry will have a broader development prospect and a greater social and economic belt. Based on the qualitative analysis and the quantitative analysis of the evolution model of movement deviation share analysis, this paper establishes the evaluation model of the competitiveness of the three marine industries in the blue economic zone of Shandong Peninsula, which is organized and organized step by step. There is a logical quantification of the Shandong Peninsula Blue Economic Zone marine three-industry competitiveness level. Based on the advanced experiences of foreign countries, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions on the promotion of the competitiveness of the three industries in the blue area. This paper constructs a comprehensive, scientific, rigorous deviation-share analysis of the evolution of the model. It includes dynamic deviation-share model, deviation-share space model and dynamic deviation-share space model. The dynamic deviation-share model is to investigate the change law of the three industries' competitiveness in the time dimension, and the deviation-share space model is to introduce the spatial influence between the regional industries into the model, and the dynamic deviation-share model is to study the change rule of the three industries' competitiveness in the time dimension. The relative speed of industrial growth between the study area and the adjacent region is investigated, and the dynamic deviation-share space model combines the consideration of time dimension and space dimension, and quantifies the development of the three industrial competitiveness of the blue area in a comprehensive and rigorous way. The analysis shows that, in the dynamic deviation-share model, the first and second industries in the blue area are in the inferior position of competition, the annual mean of competitiveness component is -14.60 yuan and-2.351 billion yuan respectively, and the tertiary industry is in the competitive advantage position. In the dynamic deviation-share space model, the three industries in the blue area are in the inferior position of competitiveness, and the annual average of the competitiveness component is -3.293 billion yuan -23.16 billion yuan and -2.904 billion yuan respectively. Learn from the advanced experiences of foreign countries in the development of marine industries, such as promoting industrial development by science and technology, adjusting industrial structure, optimizing the setting up of institutions, etc. This paper puts forward the policy suggestions on the promotion of the competitiveness of the three marine industries in the blue economic zone of Shandong Peninsula. The strategic suggestions include optimizing the layout of marine industry, highlighting the characteristics of regional industry, promoting the linkage development of inter-regional industry and paying attention to the micro-level of the three-stage marine industry planning, and the countermeasures include flexible macro-policy regulation and control. Actively support fiscal and financial policies and encourage and promote scientific and technological innovation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國(guó)海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F127;P74

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