技術(shù)進(jìn)步促進(jìn)山東省低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展問(wèn)題研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-08-19 06:17
【摘要】：近年來(lái)，全球環(huán)境不斷惡化，二氧化碳排放不斷增加，由此帶來(lái)的氣候變暖問(wèn)題已成為國(guó)際社會(huì)的關(guān)注焦點(diǎn)，而低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)這一名詞受到全球關(guān)注，是從英國(guó)政府2003年提出這一概念開始的。山東作為中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)大省，近些年來(lái)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展迅速，但低碳技術(shù)水平較為落后，經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速增長(zhǎng)主要依靠大量消耗能源，導(dǎo)致二氧化碳排放劇增。因此，研究技術(shù)進(jìn)步抑制二氧化碳排放和促進(jìn)低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展，具有很強(qiáng)的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文主要研究技術(shù)進(jìn)步促進(jìn)山東省低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展問(wèn)題，在研究相關(guān)理論與山東省低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)狀的基礎(chǔ)上，用實(shí)證分析法進(jìn)一步探究技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)山東省碳排放的影響彈性以及技術(shù)進(jìn)步的碳減排效應(yīng)，并從技術(shù)進(jìn)步角度提出相關(guān)政策建議。本文的主要內(nèi)容包括以下幾個(gè)方面： 首先，采用因素分解法把山東省歷年消耗的能源分為9種，根據(jù)IPPC的二氧化碳排放系數(shù)，估算山東省碳排放量相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)。通過(guò)研究，發(fā)現(xiàn)2012年山東省碳排放總量451百萬(wàn)噸，，位居全國(guó)第一；人均碳排放量4.49噸，居全國(guó)第四位。 其次，采用能源強(qiáng)度作為技術(shù)進(jìn)步的指標(biāo)，使用面板數(shù)據(jù)測(cè)算技術(shù)效應(yīng)的碳排放彈性，結(jié)果為0.8595，即碳排放強(qiáng)度下降1%，碳排放總量將減少0.8595%，有較強(qiáng)的抑制作用；之后利用LDMI分解的方式測(cè)算技術(shù)效應(yīng)對(duì)碳排放絕對(duì)量的影響，1998年至2012年間人均碳排量只增加10.5838噸，技術(shù)效應(yīng)使人均碳排量減少8.6856噸，效果顯著。 最后，本文從技術(shù)進(jìn)步的角度為山東省低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展提出相關(guān)政策建議，包括低碳技術(shù)發(fā)展規(guī)劃、低碳技術(shù)的創(chuàng)新、研發(fā)與實(shí)現(xiàn)等。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the global environment has been deteriorating and carbon dioxide emissions have been increasing. The global warming has become the focus of the international community, and the term "low-carbon economy" has attracted global attention. It began in 2003 when the British government put forward the concept. As a big economic province in China, Shandong has developed rapidly in recent years, but the low carbon technology level is relatively backward. The rapid economic growth mainly depends on a large amount of energy consumption, resulting in a sharp increase in carbon dioxide emissions. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to study technology progress to restrain carbon dioxide emissions and promote low-carbon economy. This paper mainly studies the technology progress to promote the development of low-carbon economy in Shandong Province, on the basis of studying the relevant theories and the current situation of low-carbon economy in Shandong Province, This paper further explores the elasticity of technological progress on carbon emissions and the carbon emission reduction effects of technological progress in Shandong Province by means of empirical analysis, and puts forward relevant policy recommendations from the perspective of technological progress. The main contents of this paper include the following aspects: firstly, the energy consumed in Shandong Province is divided into 9 kinds by factor decomposition method. According to the carbon dioxide emission coefficient of IPPC, the relevant data of carbon emissions in Shandong Province are estimated. Through research, it is found that the total carbon emissions of Shandong Province in 2012 were 451 million tons, ranking first in the country, and 4.49 tons of carbon emissions per capita, ranking fourth in the country. Secondly, using energy intensity as the index of technological progress, using panel data to measure the carbon emission elasticity of the technology effect, the result is 0.85955.That is, the carbon emission intensity will decrease by 1, and the total carbon emission will be reduced 0.85955.It has a strong inhibitory effect. Then LDMI decomposition was used to measure the effect of technical effect on the absolute amount of carbon emission. From 1998 to 2012, the per capita carbon emission increased only by 10.5838 tons, and the technological effect reduced the per capita carbon emission by 8.6856 tons. Finally, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions for the development of low-carbon economy in Shandong Province from the point of view of technological progress, including low-carbon technology development planning, low-carbon technology innovation, research and development and realization, and so on.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F124.5
本文編號(hào)：2190903
[Abstract]:In recent years, the global environment has been deteriorating and carbon dioxide emissions have been increasing. The global warming has become the focus of the international community, and the term "low-carbon economy" has attracted global attention. It began in 2003 when the British government put forward the concept. As a big economic province in China, Shandong has developed rapidly in recent years, but the low carbon technology level is relatively backward. The rapid economic growth mainly depends on a large amount of energy consumption, resulting in a sharp increase in carbon dioxide emissions. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to study technology progress to restrain carbon dioxide emissions and promote low-carbon economy. This paper mainly studies the technology progress to promote the development of low-carbon economy in Shandong Province, on the basis of studying the relevant theories and the current situation of low-carbon economy in Shandong Province, This paper further explores the elasticity of technological progress on carbon emissions and the carbon emission reduction effects of technological progress in Shandong Province by means of empirical analysis, and puts forward relevant policy recommendations from the perspective of technological progress. The main contents of this paper include the following aspects: firstly, the energy consumed in Shandong Province is divided into 9 kinds by factor decomposition method. According to the carbon dioxide emission coefficient of IPPC, the relevant data of carbon emissions in Shandong Province are estimated. Through research, it is found that the total carbon emissions of Shandong Province in 2012 were 451 million tons, ranking first in the country, and 4.49 tons of carbon emissions per capita, ranking fourth in the country. Secondly, using energy intensity as the index of technological progress, using panel data to measure the carbon emission elasticity of the technology effect, the result is 0.85955.That is, the carbon emission intensity will decrease by 1, and the total carbon emission will be reduced 0.85955.It has a strong inhibitory effect. Then LDMI decomposition was used to measure the effect of technical effect on the absolute amount of carbon emission. From 1998 to 2012, the per capita carbon emission increased only by 10.5838 tons, and the technological effect reduced the per capita carbon emission by 8.6856 tons. Finally, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions for the development of low-carbon economy in Shandong Province from the point of view of technological progress, including low-carbon technology development planning, low-carbon technology innovation, research and development and realization, and so on.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F124.5
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