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黑龍江省金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長的相關(guān)性研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-08-18 12:18
【摘要】:當(dāng)今世界的經(jīng)濟是以少數(shù)發(fā)達經(jīng)濟體為主導(dǎo)的經(jīng)濟,幾大主要經(jīng)濟體都是以市場經(jīng)濟為主體,金融的發(fā)展又是現(xiàn)代市場經(jīng)濟的重要支撐。根據(jù)大國崛起的發(fā)展歷程,一個國家的崛起的歷程就是這個國家金融不斷變強的過程,金融體系越來越健全,能更好地服務(wù)于實體經(jīng)濟;反之,如果一國的金融行業(yè)發(fā)展十分緩慢,甚至扭曲,則會對其經(jīng)濟產(chǎn)生負面影響。黑龍江省地處我國的最北邊,這里的土壤有機物含量高,富饒的土地養(yǎng)育了勤勞而勇敢的人們,人們在這片黑土地上開墾、致富。但是,它是我國的內(nèi)陸地區(qū),沒有出?,貿(mào)易往來也僅僅是與俄羅斯進行。我國的改革開放是由南向北逐漸推進的,黑龍江位于我國的最北部,沒有受到改革的政策優(yōu)惠,尤其在經(jīng)濟進入新常態(tài)的背景下,近幾年,黑龍江省的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展一直落后于我國發(fā)達省份。即使國家?guī)状尾扇×恕罢衽d東北老工業(yè)基地”的戰(zhàn)略,但是始終沒有見到明顯的效果,東北地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟增長仍然在全國居倒數(shù)的位置,金融業(yè)的發(fā)展更是沒有沿海地區(qū)發(fā)達。正是基于這一點,本文選擇了金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長這一切入點,來研究黑龍江省經(jīng)濟增長緩慢是否與金融發(fā)展落后有關(guān)系,有多大的相關(guān)性。研究明白了這一點,我們就可以知道我們應(yīng)該如何解決黑龍江經(jīng)濟增長的問題,是否應(yīng)該進行金融改革,正是以這樣的出發(fā)點,我選擇了這個題目。首先,運用自己所學(xué)的知識,分析了黑龍江省金融發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀、經(jīng)濟增長的現(xiàn)狀以及二者關(guān)系現(xiàn)狀,在此基礎(chǔ)上,指出了該地區(qū)金融行業(yè)存在的問題及這些問題對經(jīng)濟增長的影響;其次,選取了能夠反映金融發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟增長的相關(guān)指標(biāo),收集了2000年——2015年黑龍江省的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),進行實證分析,實證分析這部分主要是運用研究生期間學(xué)習(xí)的知識:單位根檢驗,協(xié)整關(guān)系檢驗,回歸性分析,探究經(jīng)濟增長與金融發(fā)展的不同方面之間存在多大程度的相關(guān)性;再次,用Granger因果關(guān)系檢驗的方法驗證了它們之間的影響是單向的——只是金融發(fā)展影響經(jīng)濟增長,還是雙向的——金融發(fā)展對經(jīng)濟增長有影響,經(jīng)濟增長對金融發(fā)展也有影響;最后,根據(jù)實證研究和理論分析,提出有助于黑龍江省經(jīng)濟增長的一些建議。
[Abstract]:Nowadays, the world economy is dominated by a few developed economies, several major economies are dominated by the market economy, and the development of finance is an important support of the modern market economy. According to the development process of the rise of a great power, the process of a country's rising is the process of the country's financial development becoming stronger and stronger. The financial system is becoming more and more sound and can better serve the real economy. If a country's financial sector is slow or even distorted, it will have a negative impact on its economy. Heilongjiang Province is located in the northernmost part of our country, where the soil organic matter content is high, the rich land has nurtured industrious and brave people, people in this black land reclamation, rich. However, it is the inland region of our country, there are no sea ports, trade only with Russia. China's reform and opening up has been gradually advanced from the south to the north. Heilongjiang is located in the northernmost part of our country and has not received preferential policies from the reform, especially in the context of the new normal economy, in recent years. Heilongjiang Province's economic development has been lagging behind China's developed provinces. Even though the country has adopted the strategy of "revitalizing the old industrial base in Northeast China" several times, it has never seen any obvious effect. The economic growth of the Northeast region still occupies the lowest position in the whole country, and the development of the financial industry is not as developed as the coastal area. Based on this, this paper chooses the breakthrough point of financial development and economic growth to study whether or not the slow economic growth of Heilongjiang Province is related to the backwardness of financial development, and how relevant it is. When we understand this point, we can see how we should solve the problem of economic growth in Heilongjiang and whether we should carry out financial reform. It is with such a starting point that I have chosen this topic. First of all, using the knowledge we have learned, we analyze the present situation of financial development, economic growth and the current situation of the relationship between the two in Heilongjiang Province. This paper points out the problems existing in the financial industry in this region and their impact on economic growth. Secondly, the relevant indicators reflecting the financial development and economic growth are selected, and the relevant data of Heilongjiang Province from 2000 to 2015 are collected. Empirical analysis, empirical analysis of this part is mainly the use of postgraduate learning knowledge: unit root test, cointegration test, regression analysis, To explore the degree of correlation between economic growth and different aspects of financial development; thirdly, the Granger causality test is used to verify that the impact between them is one-way-only financial development affects economic growth. Or two-way financial development has an impact on economic growth, economic growth on financial development, and finally, according to empirical research and theoretical analysis, some suggestions are put forward to help economic growth in Heilongjiang Province.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F832.7;F127

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